Immense-Crawdad — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$807

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

1.7%

Resolved

Trades

201

lifetime

Volume

$13.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 05-25 08:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

38% — —

Other

35% — —

Crypto

14% 50% $-7

Sports

13% 0% $-800

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	4	$2.3K	1,872	1,872	+0	open	—	04-07 23:28
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$1.2K	1,223	1,223	+0	open	—	04-07 23:09
will silver si hit low 75 by end of february 739 471 473 237 171 573 124 784	5	$1.1K	2,451	2,451	+0	open	—	02-16 03:20
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$1.1K	20,498	20,498	+0	open	—	03-17 22:06
will novak djokovic win the 2026 australian open	5	$891	5,576	5,576	+0	open	—	02-01 10:41
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$800	39,460	0	+39,460	No	$-800	04-20 04:14
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$500	9,318	0	+9,318	open	—	04-15 08:21
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	5	$445	35,967	35,967	+0	open	—	04-06 08:08
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	2	$400	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-20 10:04
will carlos alcaraz win the 2026 australian open	3	$384	312	312	+0	open	—	02-01 10:40
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	3	$279	4,202	35	+4,167	open	—	02-10 07:31
btc updown 5m 1774953900	5	$253	247	237	+10	open	—	03-31 10:47
will crude oil cl settle at 80 85 in march	1	$250	2,044	0	+2,044	open	—	03-09 06:21
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	5	$208	333	333	+0	open	—	04-17 15:07
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$202	473	473	+0	open	—	04-24 14:08
spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	2	$197	104	104	+0	open	—	02-02 09:20
btc updown 5m 1773037500	7	$190	146	144	+2	open	—	03-09 06:28
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$188	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	02-05 07:59
btc updown 5m 1773037800	9	$182	261	257	+4	open	—	03-09 06:34
btc updown 5m 1774954200	4	$170	1,052	987	+65	open	—	03-31 10:54
btc updown 5m 1773026700	8	$163	110	109	+2	open	—	03-09 03:29
btc updown 5m 1773032400	6	$150	217	0	+217	open	—	03-09 05:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$105	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	04-30 02:37
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	2	$102	1,022	1,022	+0	open	—	04-20 09:35
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	2	$101	1,762	0	+1,762	open	—	02-10 04:42
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$100	52	52	+0	open	—	03-06 08:57
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$100	833	0	+833	open	—	01-27 07:35
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	2	$94	429	429	+0	open	—	04-12 01:59
btc updown 5m 1773026400	5	$93	56	56	+1	open	—	03-09 03:21
will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	2	$88	363	363	+0	open	—	02-05 08:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 08:03:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0xecd566…
05-25 08:03:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x37c5c6…
05-22 04:20:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	263	4¢	$10	0xe22ae3…
05-22 04:20:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xe0f7b7…
05-22 04:20:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x14b76a…
05-20 09:04:24	Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Tien	Learner Tien	BUY	121	35¢	$42	0x81e813…
05-08 10:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	27	9¢	$2	0xe9a684…
05-08 10:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	52¢	$14	0x6de37e…
05-08 10:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xccbeea…
05-08 10:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe7c211…
05-08 10:27:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	19¢	$10	0x90980c…
05-06 08:56:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	14¢	$8	0xa8c271…
04-30 02:37:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,250	0¢	$5	0x0d717a…
04-28 08:39:54	Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xfaa741…
04-27 04:14:16	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0f223b…
04-24 14:08:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0x64cc9a…
04-24 14:08:34	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	473	22¢	$102	0x221242…
04-21 03:49:32	Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x130c0b…
04-21 03:48:16	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	473	21¢	$100	0xa2d49d…
04-20 09:35:26	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,022	5¢	$52	0xb8746a…
04-20 07:09:34	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,022	5¢	$50	0x74445c…
04-20 04:14:00	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	19,100	3¢	$500	0x602f68…
04-17 15:07:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	144	44¢	$63	0xd92130…
04-17 14:01:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	189	39¢	$74	0x1e1d09…
04-16 04:15:04	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20,361	1¢	$300	0xe13d39…
04-15 08:21:00	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	3,588	6¢	$200	0x177824…
04-14 14:41:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	91	21¢	$19	0xdb6358…
04-14 14:40:59	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	48	22¢	$11	0x74fc56…
04-14 14:40:47	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	43	25¢	$11	0x8b5063…
04-14 14:40:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	195	21¢	$41	0x0eee05…
04-12 09:40:17	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x4e73f0…
04-12 01:59:37	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	Yes	SELL	429	15¢	$64	0xb974f3…
04-10 03:43:11	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	Yes	BUY	429	7¢	$30	0xf8dd1d…
04-09 00:06:27	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	5,731	5¢	$300	0x94a1fb…
04-07 23:28:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	1,872	99¢	$1,861	0xf24e80…
04-07 23:09:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	1,223	88¢	$1,079	0x970577…
04-06 08:09:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	159	19¢	$30	0x9a52c0…
04-06 08:08:47	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	30,178	0¢	$30	0x7dae71…
04-06 08:06:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1,223	8¢	$98	0xcb595a…
04-06 08:05:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	417	18¢	$75	0x7ff592…
03-31 10:54:31	btc updown 5m 1774954200	Down	SELL	987	2¢	$20	0x957730…
03-31 10:51:01	btc updown 5m 1774954200	Down	BUY	696	7¢	$50	0x9cd126…
03-31 10:50:31	btc updown 5m 1774954200	Down	BUY	249	20¢	$50	0xc21403…
03-31 10:50:13	btc updown 5m 1774954200	Down	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xefa2ec…
03-31 10:47:57	btc updown 5m 1774953900	Down	SELL	29	19¢	$5	0xb8260e…
03-31 10:47:23	btc updown 5m 1774953900	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xbc2960…
03-31 10:46:37	btc updown 5m 1774953900	Up	SELL	209	66¢	$138	0x658ece…
03-31 10:45:35	btc updown 5m 1774953900	Up	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0xe57730…
03-31 10:45:11	btc updown 5m 1774953900	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x492b2e…
03-23 09:39:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	1,296	27¢	$350	0x9bbcac…
03-17 22:06:39	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	11,384	3¢	$342	0xf647ad…
03-17 22:05:31	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	9,114	3¢	$283	0xeb6ca4…
03-15 17:05:19	btc updown 5m 1773594300	Down	BUY	70	51¢	$36	0xb876f8…
03-15 17:04:23	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	8,000	2¢	$200	0x8edfd8…
03-15 16:51:01	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	12,498	2¢	$300	0xaa110b…
03-10 04:20:09	btc updown 5m 1773116400	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0x72b6a3…
03-10 04:18:57	btc updown 5m 1773116100	Up	SELL	347	1¢	$3	0x9a81bf…
03-10 04:18:49	btc updown 5m 1773116100	Up	BUY	347	4¢	$14	0x6e187d…
03-10 04:18:19	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	SELL	77	18¢	$14	0xc15c80…
03-09 07:52:41	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	BUY	77	47¢	$36	0x863a8f…
03-09 06:34:23	btc updown 5m 1773037800	Up	SELL	257	14¢	$36	0x12dd4e…
03-09 06:31:39	btc updown 5m 1773037800	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x3311b3…
03-09 06:31:29	btc updown 5m 1773037800	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x7c103b…
03-09 06:31:17	btc updown 5m 1773037800	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x6d3871…
03-09 06:31:07	btc updown 5m 1773037800	Up	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0x34e86b…
03-09 06:31:01	btc updown 5m 1773037800	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x6a5d1f…
03-09 06:30:35	btc updown 5m 1773037800	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xd6f80a…
03-09 06:30:27	btc updown 5m 1773037800	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x741bb8…
03-09 06:30:23	btc updown 5m 1773037800	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xcf1ecc…
03-09 06:28:53	btc updown 5m 1773037500	Down	SELL	144	90¢	$130	0x4c1e45…
03-09 06:26:33	btc updown 5m 1773037500	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x1ad23e…
03-09 06:26:11	btc updown 5m 1773037500	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xcb0ea0…
03-09 06:25:57	btc updown 5m 1773037500	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xed5c38…
03-09 06:25:45	btc updown 5m 1773037500	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x893c70…
03-09 06:25:15	btc updown 5m 1773037500	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xb4be26…
03-09 06:25:05	btc updown 5m 1773037500	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xda3beb…
03-09 06:21:51	will crude oil cl settle at 80 85 in march	Yes	BUY	2,044	12¢	$250	0x1f482e…
03-09 05:39:45	btc updown 5m 1773034500	Up	SELL	78	22¢	$17	0xa60416…
03-09 05:36:59	btc updown 5m 1773034500	Up	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0x8d5599…
03-09 05:11:57	btc updown 5m 1773033000	Down	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0x09be8e…
03-09 05:11:49	btc updown 5m 1773033000	Down	SELL	32	72¢	$23	0x34f326…
03-09 05:10:59	btc updown 5m 1773033000	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x241a36…
03-09 05:10:55	btc updown 5m 1773033000	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x63b865…
03-09 05:10:49	btc updown 5m 1773033000	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x1fbbba…
03-09 05:03:41	btc updown 5m 1773032400	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x36f08a…
03-09 05:01:11	btc updown 5m 1773032400	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xf9b1be…
03-09 05:01:01	btc updown 5m 1773032400	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x4c7ecc…
03-09 05:00:41	btc updown 5m 1773032400	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x630024…
03-09 05:00:11	btc updown 5m 1773032400	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xec8b95…
03-09 05:00:07	btc updown 5m 1773032400	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x6fc85d…
03-09 04:58:19	btc updown 5m 1773032100	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x693bae…
03-09 03:35:33	btc updown 5m 1773027300	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x03447c…
03-09 03:35:19	btc updown 5m 1773027300	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd4c78e…
03-09 03:32:01	btc updown 5m 1773027000	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x0fd2b9…
03-09 03:31:43	btc updown 5m 1773027000	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x447972…
03-09 03:30:35	btc updown 5m 1773027000	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0762b1…
03-09 03:30:29	btc updown 5m 1773027000	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x14b322…
03-09 03:29:29	btc updown 5m 1773026700	Up	SELL	109	90¢	$98	0x3e00b3…
03-09 03:27:03	btc updown 5m 1773026700	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x2e9deb…
03-09 03:25:51	btc updown 5m 1773026700	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xac6d7e…