Fickle-Oil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$54

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.3%

Resolved

361

Trades

2,063

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 05-23 08:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% $-54

Other

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	5	$91	53	53	+0	open	—	05-19 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	4	$87	93	89	+4	open	—	04-25 16:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	4	$85	145	55	+90	open	—	04-25 19:33
btc updown 5m 1776949200	4	$75	62	60	+2	open	—	04-23 13:03
btc updown 5m 1776946200	3	$73	55	53	+2	open	—	04-23 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$60	53	53	+0	open	—	04-28 13:57
btc updown 5m 1776719100	6	$57	61	45	+16	open	—	04-20 21:08
btc updown 5m 1776842400	7	$51	153	144	+9	open	—	04-22 07:24
btc updown 5m 1776945900	2	$50	95	0	+95	open	—	04-23 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	6	$48	49	49	+0	Up	+$5	05-07 06:54
btc updown 5m 1776691800	6	$46	275	256	+19	open	—	04-20 13:33
btc updown 15m 1776254400	3	$46	74	60	+14	open	—	04-15 12:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	5	$46	71	71	+0	open	—	04-28 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	5	$46	1,033	31	+1,001	open	—	04-25 18:55
btc updown 5m 1776549900	3	$45	102	0	+102	open	—	04-18 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	5	$43	32	32	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 11:35
btc updown 5m 1776785400	3	$42	33	32	+1	open	—	04-21 15:33
btc updown 5m 1776719700	2	$41	38	36	+1	open	—	04-20 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	6	$40	52	49	+3	open	—	04-25 18:59
btc updown 5m 1776544500	1	$40	80	0	+80	open	—	04-18 20:31
btc updown 5m 1776946500	1	$40	73	0	+73	open	—	04-23 12:14
btc updown 5m 1776849600	3	$36	31	30	+1	open	—	04-22 09:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$36	64	64	+0	open	—	05-01 08:28
btc updown 5m 1776682500	5	$34	93	0	+93	open	—	04-20 10:57
btc updown 5m 1776948600	7	$34	36	35	+2	open	—	04-23 12:53
btc updown 5m 1776532200	2	$33	116	0	+116	open	—	04-18 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$33	147	21	+126	open	—	04-25 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	4	$33	37	37	+0	Up	+$3	05-07 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	6	$32	33	33	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 04:23
btc updown 5m 1776954900	3	$32	28	27	+1	open	—	04-23 14:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 08:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x7fde12…
05-23 01:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x7bf68c…
05-22 20:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x3375fb…
05-22 19:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x36c702…
05-22 16:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x2ab36f…
05-22 15:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xe85c0b…
05-22 15:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb73159…
05-22 14:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xf86b7d…
05-22 13:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x27cc16…
05-22 13:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x7e2858…
05-22 12:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf933b3…
05-22 09:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x818fd7…
05-22 00:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7e05c6…
05-21 23:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x502c7a…
05-21 18:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x6289e2…
05-21 18:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1ab297…
05-21 18:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x692c9a…
05-21 17:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x21cea9…
05-21 16:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x499d6d…
05-21 16:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x041a9a…
05-21 14:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x5d8905…
05-21 13:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x9d883a…
05-21 13:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xbe86a2…
05-21 12:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9fd394…
05-21 12:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x752000…
05-21 12:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x4af52c…
05-21 11:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9b3d70…
05-21 10:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3bac81…
05-21 08:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x2ae4fc…
05-21 01:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xdf6f67…
05-20 23:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6a756d…
05-20 05:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc92f30…
05-20 05:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x54f58b…
05-20 03:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x51389e…
05-20 02:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x5c2969…
05-20 01:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x45a335…
05-20 01:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x4dc6a3…
05-20 01:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0xbc164e…
05-20 00:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe369c8…
05-19 22:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x5d786e…
05-19 22:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3dffa4…
05-19 19:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x03022a…
05-19 19:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8fae90…
05-19 18:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0x4b0688…
05-19 18:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0x0e0d0a…
05-19 17:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0xce350e…
05-19 17:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x6827b1…
05-19 16:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x10e072…
05-19 16:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xefe2ac…
05-19 15:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0xb8ff15…
05-19 15:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xd04c1a…
05-19 15:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$11	0x706748…
05-19 14:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$11	0x54aa99…
05-19 14:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0xd7fce0…
05-19 14:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x01ad19…
05-19 14:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0x224d60…
05-19 13:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x475647…
05-19 11:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$9	0x0dd0a0…
05-19 10:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0xf1e479…
05-19 09:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	45¢	$13	0x1d861b…
05-19 09:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0xa3babd…
05-19 08:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x34e51f…
05-19 08:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x062f31…
05-19 07:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	48¢	$8	0xf2d532…
05-19 05:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbf1a8e…
05-19 05:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x4f98e8…
05-19 05:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0x2aa08d…
05-19 05:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x8da6b3…
05-19 05:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x14728b…
05-19 05:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x352f6b…
05-19 05:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x0971df…
05-19 03:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x881653…
05-19 02:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd12caf…
05-19 01:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x165f5d…
05-19 01:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3fa932…
05-19 00:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x8ec5b6…
05-18 23:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xee01c5…
05-18 22:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x35c98e…
05-18 22:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xc91176…
05-18 21:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xde4228…
05-18 20:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xee0412…
05-18 20:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x55b633…
05-18 19:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3e4121…
05-18 19:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x5f3c7d…
05-18 18:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb0ad25…
05-18 18:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x36cdad…
05-18 18:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xeb5d98…
05-18 18:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb914cc…
05-18 17:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x29f03c…
05-18 17:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb6bb8b…
05-18 17:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6f0fa5…
05-18 16:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6a4f5b…
05-18 16:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xb85b8b…
05-18 15:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x089e9d…
05-18 15:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x489e00…
05-18 13:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x133456…
05-18 13:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc8b3a1…
05-18 12:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xbb23f1…
05-18 12:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xeaf971…
05-18 11:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0xde3da2…