Fake-Tsunami — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$89

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

17.0%

Resolved

Trades

404

lifetime

Volume

$3.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 05-16 23:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 9% $-89

Other

11% — —

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	7	$164	100	100	-0	open	—	03-14 23:00
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$160	15,970	15,970	+0	open	—	01-31 23:54
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3	$132	3,002	0	+3,002	open	—	03-17 00:46
btc updown 5m 1773437400	2	$115	238	0	+238	open	—	03-13 21:35
btc updown 5m 1773439800	1	$100	318	0	+318	open	—	03-13 22:15
btc updown 5m 1773179100	1	$100	133	0	+133	open	—	03-10 21:48
btc updown 5m 1773359100	1	$100	109	0	+109	open	—	03-12 23:49
btc updown 5m 1773224400	1	$100	130	0	+130	open	—	03-11 10:24
btc updown 5m 1773357600	1	$100	121	0	+121	open	—	03-12 23:24
btc updown 5m 1772963700	2	$65	60	60	+0	open	—	03-08 10:00
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on february 2	1	$64	1,179	0	+1,179	open	—	02-01 00:02
btc updown 5m 1773443100	3	$63	4,543	12	+4,530	open	—	03-13 23:10
btc updown 5m 1773182400	2	$55	50	50	+0	open	—	03-10 22:46
iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	2	$49	55	55	+0	open	—	03-02 19:53
btc updown 5m 1773358500	2	$47	28	28	+0	open	—	03-12 23:40
btc updown 5m 1772127900	2	$43	38	38	+0	open	—	02-26 17:51
btc updown 5m 1772740500	2	$36	31	31	+0	open	—	03-05 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	4	$27	161	15	+146	open	—	05-16 22:34
btc updown 5m 1772471700	2	$27	23	23	+0	open	—	03-02 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$25	33	0	+33	open	—	05-16 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	3	$25	349	0	+349	Up	$-25	05-08 00:04
btc updown 5m 1773579000	3	$22	36	15	+21	open	—	03-15 12:53
btc updown 5m 1773664800	2	$21	16	16	+0	open	—	03-16 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$21	19	19	+0	Down	+$11	05-07 23:59
btc updown 5m 1773600600	2	$20	17	17	+0	open	—	03-15 18:54
btc updown 5m 1772493600	2	$20	51	0	+51	open	—	03-02 23:22
btc updown 5m 1773356100	3	$20	136	0	+136	open	—	03-12 22:58
btc updown 5m 1773005400	2	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	03-08 21:35
btc updown 5m 1773180000	2	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	03-10 22:05
btc updown 5m 1773100800	2	$19	16	15	+0	open	—	03-10 00:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 23:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x0b7cba…
05-16 23:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x11ddc7…
05-16 23:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x336242…
05-16 23:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	153	3¢	$5	0x23e868…
05-16 23:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x02f44b…
05-16 23:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x28390b…
05-16 22:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	110	5¢	$5	0x22a9cc…
05-16 22:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x0bb9ff…
05-16 22:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x6504d6…
05-16 22:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xfddc3c…
05-16 22:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x2d42d3…
05-16 22:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0xb3f61d…
05-16 22:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xebd033…
05-16 22:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x6644ad…
05-16 22:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x5b2bb5…
05-16 22:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	61	8¢	$5	0x8309d6…
05-16 22:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x7ac5b0…
05-16 21:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xe96839…
05-16 21:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xc2f2b8…
05-16 21:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x7a45da…
05-16 21:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x44b0fe…
05-16 21:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x99f1bc…
05-16 21:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x3f9869…
05-16 21:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x8510a7…
05-16 21:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	77¢	$25	0xd099b5…
05-16 21:11:12	World Championships: Italy vs. Slovakia	Italy	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0xfca55f…
05-16 21:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x6557f9…
05-16 21:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc0bb29…
05-16 21:03:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x2633c0…
05-16 20:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x3256ce…
05-16 20:58:46	World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechia	Sweden	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0xa719ac…
05-16 20:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x3ea7fb…
05-08 09:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x800ecc…
05-08 08:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x54c177…
05-08 08:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x9ccfab…
05-08 07:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x381459…
05-08 07:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x26270a…
05-08 00:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xb4e2dc…
05-08 00:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0x9cf3f1…
05-08 00:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x4af918…
05-07 23:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	19	84¢	$16	0xd1c07c…
05-07 23:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xc69e62…
05-07 23:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xc01eb1…
05-07 22:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x4833b9…
05-07 22:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xd923d2…
05-07 22:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x7f274a…
05-07 22:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x4663ee…
05-07 22:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x2c6be3…
05-07 22:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xc92328…
04-02 22:52:07	btc updown 5m 1775170200	Down	BUY	95	16¢	$15	0x4a1ae6…
04-02 19:52:45	btc updown 5m 1775159400	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x9837b1…
04-02 19:07:17	btc updown 5m 1775156700	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xbb7c09…
04-02 11:14:21	btc updown 5m 1775128200	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xde1cd5…
04-02 10:13:07	btc updown 5m 1775124600	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xfb4aaa…
04-02 09:58:17	btc updown 5m 1775123700	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xe7b83b…
04-02 09:48:41	btc updown 5m 1775123100	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x24612d…
04-02 09:26:49	btc updown 5m 1775121900	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x058bc8…
04-02 09:26:23	btc updown 5m 1775121900	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x28dea5…
04-02 08:43:17	btc updown 5m 1775119200	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x800f5e…
04-02 08:12:19	btc updown 5m 1775117400	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x38618d…
04-02 06:57:43	btc updown 5m 1775112900	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x6510e5…
04-02 00:07:09	btc updown 5m 1775088300	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x7395fa…
04-01 22:43:27	btc updown 5m 1775083200	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xddb826…
04-01 14:38:39	btc updown 5m 1775054100	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xb66637…
04-01 10:49:15	btc updown 5m 1775040300	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x425bc0…
03-17 21:49:45	btc updown 5m 1773783900	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x4f0912…
03-17 00:46:45	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	595	4¢	$25	0xe9345f…
03-17 00:39:21	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	1,628	4¢	$70	0x67e97a…
03-16 21:43:39	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	779	5¢	$37	0x97b868…
03-16 21:39:41	btc updown 5m 1773696900	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x24f56b…
03-16 20:56:31	btc updown 5m 1773694500	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x128ef8…
03-16 18:06:47	btc updown 5m 1773684300	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x0c4c99…
03-16 17:04:57	btc updown 5m 1773680400	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xbd362f…
03-16 16:05:55	btc updown 5m 1773676800	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xce49d1…
03-16 16:05:17	btc updown 5m 1773676800	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x9a8d7d…
03-16 15:58:57	btc updown 5m 1773676500	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x513599…
03-16 15:53:09	btc updown 5m 1773676200	Up	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0x9331b3…
03-16 14:46:29	btc updown 5m 1773672300	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa7b662…
03-16 13:17:35	btc updown 5m 1773666900	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x6e2103…
03-16 12:45:25	btc updown 5m 1773664800	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x8626ac…
03-16 12:42:41	btc updown 5m 1773664800	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xcbcdb9…
03-16 12:39:31	btc updown 5m 1773664500	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2e4a6f…
03-16 12:09:49	btc updown 5m 1773662700	Up	BUY	370	1¢	$5	0x2e9bcd…
03-16 10:32:35	btc updown 5m 1773657000	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xf534e2…
03-16 10:06:47	btc updown 5m 1773655500	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xc1e427…
03-16 10:03:11	btc updown 5m 1773655200	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xae0a84…
03-16 10:02:17	btc updown 5m 1773655200	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x4dccec…
03-16 08:35:53	btc updown 5m 1773650100	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x3d191f…
03-16 01:16:05	btc updown 5m 1773623700	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x13f0b0…
03-15 21:23:13	btc updown 5m 1773609600	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xfafe17…
03-15 21:21:55	btc updown 5m 1773609600	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe22740…
03-15 20:59:03	btc updown 5m 1773608100	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x77d099…
03-15 19:44:57	btc updown 5m 1773603600	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x9f7c38…
03-15 19:37:33	btc updown 5m 1773603300	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x0694b9…
03-15 19:08:41	btc updown 5m 1773601500	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x545e58…
03-15 19:07:55	btc updown 5m 1773601500	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xc0751e…
03-15 19:04:25	btc updown 5m 1773601200	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1ce5ca…
03-15 19:01:51	btc updown 5m 1773601200	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x93377b…
03-15 18:56:07	btc updown 5m 1773600900	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb095d6…
03-15 18:54:29	btc updown 5m 1773600600	Down	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0xdf5840…