Scratchy-Guidance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$94

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 08:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 71% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down		+6	$4	4¢	$0	$-4	05-06 08:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 08:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x130811…
05-06 04:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x302853…
05-06 03:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0x205c52…
05-06 03:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x871264…
05-06 02:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xae13df…
05-06 01:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x797f01…
05-06 01:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x000e25…
05-06 01:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x397cb3…
05-06 00:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x3443cd…
05-05 19:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0x7b399f…
05-05 19:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x3f280f…
05-05 19:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xe757b2…
05-05 18:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x5abdca…
05-05 18:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0xa06b23…
05-05 17:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x8a1a9c…
05-05 16:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x56231f…
05-05 15:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xe3b879…
05-05 14:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x66e70e…
05-05 12:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xf6d643…
05-05 03:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xcda615…
05-05 00:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xa12836…
05-04 23:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x9cd44c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	22	$4.95K	175	05-06 08:03
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	20	$3.17K	288	05-06 08:01
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	19	$3.52K	73	05-06 08:00
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	19	$2.33K	207	05-06 08:01
Angry-Culvert 0xa867…f165	18	$3.11K	551	05-06 04:10
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	18	$3.00K	159	05-06 08:01
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	16	$1.49K	46	05-06 03:50
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	16	$801	45	05-06 03:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	+$1	05-05 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	$-5	05-06 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	$-5	05-05 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	$-5	05-05 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Up	+$2	05-06 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Up	+$2	05-06 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Down	+$2	05-06 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Down	+$2	05-06 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Down	+$2	05-05 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Up	$-4	05-05 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Down	+$2	05-05 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Up	+$2	05-05 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Down	+$2	05-06 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Up	+$2	05-05 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Down	$-4	05-05 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Up	+$2	05-05 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Up	+$2	05-06 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Up	+$2	05-05 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Down	$-4	05-05 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$4	6	+6	open	—	05-06 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Up	+$2	05-06 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Up	+$2	05-04 23:59