Taut-Downgrade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$176

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-08 14:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 20% $-14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	6	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-30 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	5	$12	14	8	+6	open	—	04-30 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	6	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-30 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$10	50	0	+50	open	—	05-03 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	4	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	04-30 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$8	12	0	+12	open	—	05-03 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	4	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-30 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	3	$7	6	3	+3	open	—	04-30 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	04-30 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-30 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	3	$6	9	8	+1	open	—	04-30 11:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	4	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	3	$6	31	11	+20	open	—	04-30 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-03 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	Down	$-5	05-08 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-06 00:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	3	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	04-30 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Down	$-3	05-06 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-30 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$3	9	0	+9	open	—	04-30 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-30 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-03 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-03 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	$-2	05-05 08:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-03 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-03 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-02 09:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 14:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x88c08c…
05-06 00:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4131b5…
05-06 00:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xaf1b46…
05-05 08:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x226e35…
05-05 08:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa2943b…
05-03 18:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x6eaccb…
05-03 18:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x6d70a0…
05-03 17:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x7a6511…
05-03 17:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc157d0…
05-03 17:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x87d4c3…
05-03 17:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x26eaeb…
05-03 16:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xa39ca0…
05-03 16:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x4ed479…
05-02 09:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3a8b9f…
04-30 11:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1fd6d5…
04-30 11:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	19¢	$1	0x1a46d4…
04-30 11:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xe76d54…
04-30 11:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x8a3cf9…
04-30 11:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xfbed24…
04-30 11:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2ea577…
04-30 11:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x783333…
04-30 11:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x5d173a…
04-30 11:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x205589…
04-30 11:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4f47bf…
04-30 11:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x6b4dc9…
04-30 11:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x4b9009…
04-30 11:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xd90ae3…
04-30 11:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x073a1b…
04-30 11:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x18ca81…
04-30 11:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xc6db3b…
04-30 11:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x2a3fbc…
04-30 11:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x2e0855…
04-30 11:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x64a46f…
04-30 11:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$3	0x133528…
04-30 11:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x1a007e…
04-30 11:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xa2c826…
04-30 11:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xf98d15…
04-30 11:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x79b1d9…
04-30 11:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x907d4d…
04-30 11:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x589c84…
04-30 11:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd340e6…
04-30 11:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xf2c2c6…
04-30 11:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xff8520…
04-30 11:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xb830d5…
04-30 11:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xbfb5f5…
04-30 11:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xaa324d…
04-30 10:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x60a96a…
04-30 10:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xf87b93…
04-30 10:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x097b4d…
04-30 10:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x2af23b…
04-30 10:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x960b1a…
04-30 10:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7d6758…
04-30 10:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x0e01c0…
04-30 10:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xdb398a…
04-30 10:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x7c325f…
04-30 10:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x42d6a8…
04-30 10:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x860624…
04-30 10:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xfdc2e7…
04-30 10:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x89eeb2…
04-30 10:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x1641e4…
04-30 10:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xcbfe0c…
04-30 10:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x38e69f…
04-30 10:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0xff197c…
04-30 10:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x1cb653…
04-30 10:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xc877a3…
04-30 10:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc65a01…
04-30 10:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4b6910…
04-30 10:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x5040b1…