Imaginary-Shred — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 07-11 23:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

38% — —

Other

32% 100% +$34

Sports

29% 50% +$9

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	2	$735	375	375	+0	Joshua Van	+$15	05-10 04:37
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$696	417	417	+0	open	—	04-07 22:58
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$299	283	283	+0	open	—	02-28 09:26
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	4	$262	162	162	+0	open	—	02-02 19:09
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	2	$238	182	179	+2	open	—	04-08 19:54
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$194	122	122	+0	Sean Strickland	$-6	05-10 04:34
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	2	$176	100	100	+0	open	—	01-31 23:26
Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?	1	$124	157	0	+157	Yes	+$34	04-21 10:12
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	2	$121	66	66	+0	open	—	01-28 12:49
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	9	$102	130	130	+0	open	—	01-31 07:06
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 draw	2	$67	174	170	+4	open	—	04-08 19:54
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	2	$41	105	105	+0	open	—	07-01 17:49
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals kylian mbappe gte1	2	$39	28	28	+0	open	—	07-09 20:26
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	2	$29	22	22	+0	open	—	01-26 14:00
uel ste fen1 2026 01 29 fen1	1	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	01-29 20:03
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	2	$19	12	12	+0	open	—	01-29 19:54
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	2	$15	22	0	+22	open	—	01-26 14:01
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 24 671	2	$14	20	0	+20	open	—	01-24 12:25
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	2	$13	64	64	+0	open	—	04-15 20:51
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	2	$7	62	62	+0	open	—	01-25 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	04-29 16:14
bitcoin up or down on january 24	1	$4	63	0	+63	open	—	01-24 11:02
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$4	29	0	+29	open	—	07-11 23:12
internet access restored in iran by friday 263	2	$2	9	9	+0	open	—	01-29 18:52
spx opens up or down on january 26 2026	1	$2	11	0	+11	open	—	01-26 14:07
will zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the world economic forum	1	$1	250	0	+250	open	—	01-22 20:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 23:12:31	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xdf6e04…
07-09 20:26:41	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	SELL	28	87¢	$24	0x417f44…
07-09 20:03:29	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0xfbc9ee…
07-01 17:49:14	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	Yes	SELL	105	20¢	$21	0xbc8fdc…
07-01 17:03:05	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x8927dc…
05-10 04:37:07	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	SELL	375	100¢	$375	0xebda00…
05-10 04:34:39	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	SELL	122	77¢	$94	0x798589…
05-10 03:34:44	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	BUY	375	96¢	$360	0x573a5d…
05-09 07:23:07	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xb3a578…
04-29 16:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0x92e8f4…
04-21 10:12:24	Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?	Yes	BUY	157	79¢	$124	0xaee8d7…
04-15 20:51:06	Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	SELL	64	1¢	$1	0xf0df12…
04-15 19:01:40	Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	64	20¢	$13	0x316898…
04-08 19:54:25	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	SELL	179	77¢	$138	0x6ca7ae…
04-08 19:54:15	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 draw	Yes	SELL	170	16¢	$27	0x2219ad…
04-08 08:58:45	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 draw	Yes	BUY	174	23¢	$40	0x72859f…
04-08 08:58:31	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x9c8e23…
04-07 22:58:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	417	95¢	$396	0x1367b1…
04-07 22:46:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	417	72¢	$300	0x3ea85f…
02-28 09:26:41	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	183	100¢	$183	0xd2ba9a…
02-27 11:31:29	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0xf9c153…
02-05 10:59:51	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x1d0ff0…
02-02 19:09:24	will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	Yes	SELL	125	99¢	$124	0x4e54c7…
01-31 23:26:28	will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	Yes	BUY	125	84¢	$105	0xc72557…
01-31 23:26:06	will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	Yes	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x959852…
01-31 23:25:40	will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	No	SELL	37	20¢	$7	0x36f1ec…
01-31 13:43:56	will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	No	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x1343d9…
01-31 07:06:48	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x08039b…
01-30 15:45:04	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xc80124…
01-30 15:44:52	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	71	19¢	$13	0x8fb7e4…
01-30 14:53:38	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xc6f77c…
01-30 14:42:30	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x73a84b…
01-30 13:26:36	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x60135c…
01-29 20:03:46	uel ste fen1 2026 01 29 fen1	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x7563f9…
01-29 19:54:32	will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0xef0db6…
01-29 19:52:54	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	35	45¢	$16	0xb83215…
01-29 18:52:22	internet access restored in iran by friday 263	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xb71c86…
01-28 12:49:59	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xc454dc…
01-28 12:49:31	Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	No	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0xb8d901…
01-27 09:17:47	will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	No	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0xe3a0ca…
01-26 16:48:43	internet access restored in iran by friday 263	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x955072…
01-26 14:07:37	spx opens up or down on january 26 2026	Down	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x3a3a0a…
01-26 14:01:11	will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x059cae…
01-26 14:00:47	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x42a3ba…
01-26 14:00:17	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	Yes	SELL	22	64¢	$14	0xbd16f7…
01-25 20:54:16	will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x8ff3c1…
01-25 12:58:20	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x2e9da3…
01-25 09:42:46	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	Yes	SELL	62	3¢	$2	0x0ec525…
01-24 21:00:12	Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	No	BUY	66	84¢	$56	0xb616eb…
01-24 12:25:16	will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 24 671	No	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x740949…
01-24 12:23:56	will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 24 671	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x17cdfe…
01-24 11:02:16	bitcoin up or down on january 24	Up	BUY	63	7¢	$4	0x4aae63…
01-22 20:55:28	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	Yes	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x9e06a5…
01-22 20:52:48	will zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the world economic forum	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xa717ec…
01-22 20:47:38	will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x56eaad…
01-22 20:46:46	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x461ebe…