Short-Tinderbox — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.8%

Resolved

266

Trades

2,126

lifetime

Volume

$36.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 05-27 09:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% +$47

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 296 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	3	$80	150	+150	open	—	05-04 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	3	$80	124	+124	open	—	05-04 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	3	$80	143	+143	open	—	05-04 09:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	3	$80	146	+146	open	—	05-04 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	3	$80	152	+152	open	—	05-04 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	3	$80	146	+146	open	—	05-04 06:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	3	$80	149	+149	open	—	05-04 08:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	3	$80	132	+132	open	—	05-04 06:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	3	$80	156	+156	open	—	05-04 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	3	$80	146	+146	open	—	05-04 03:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	3	$80	159	+159	open	—	05-04 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	3	$80	143	+143	open	—	05-04 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	3	$80	148	+148	open	—	05-04 03:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	3	$80	143	+143	open	—	05-04 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	3	$80	136	+136	open	—	05-04 07:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	3	$80	146	+146	open	—	05-04 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	3	$80	148	+148	open	—	05-04 04:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	3	$80	141	+141	open	—	05-04 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	3	$80	140	+140	open	—	05-04 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	3	$80	138	+138	open	—	05-04 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	3	$64	110	+110	Up	$-4	05-05 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	3	$64	110	+110	Down	+$1	05-05 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	3	$64	112	+112	Down	$-3	05-06 05:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	3	$64	118	+118	Down	+$0	05-05 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$64	123	+123	Up	$-5	05-06 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	3	$64	124	+124	Down	$-7	05-06 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$64	118	+118	Down	$-1	05-06 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	3	$64	120	+120	Up	$-5	05-06 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	3	$64	102	+102	Down	$-11	05-06 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	3	$64	116	+116	Up	$-8	05-06 00:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 09:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	47	51¢	$24	0x681df4…
05-27 09:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	64¢	$12	0x28fe26…
05-27 09:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x87fb0b…
05-27 08:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x892c36…
05-27 08:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	47	51¢	$24	0xc563ef…
05-27 08:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xba4fbb…
05-27 08:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0xd0b6b0…
05-27 08:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	47	51¢	$24	0x4ef8f5…
05-27 08:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x17cc27…
05-27 07:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	41	59¢	$24	0xeffae0…
05-27 07:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0x1b6214…
05-27 07:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xae0216…
05-27 07:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	46	52¢	$24	0xeb71d5…
05-27 07:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xd8fc6a…
05-27 07:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x547316…
05-27 07:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0xb20b3d…
05-27 06:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	64¢	$12	0xc06ec0…
05-27 06:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	53	45¢	$24	0x168912…
05-27 06:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x674dc7…
05-27 06:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xe810eb…
05-27 06:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	42¢	$12	0xdb8876…
05-27 06:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	41	58¢	$24	0x9fc2c3…
05-27 06:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xb3596f…
05-27 06:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0xacfe12…
05-27 06:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	49	49¢	$24	0x1215d1…
05-27 06:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x8ac423…
05-27 06:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	36	67¢	$24	0x1cceb3…
05-27 06:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x37c104…
05-27 06:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	41	29¢	$12	0xc1d408…
05-27 06:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	35	69¢	$24	0xee19fa…
05-27 06:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	36	33¢	$12	0x64b129…
05-27 05:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	43	56¢	$24	0xa3bf72…
05-27 05:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xf97c21…
05-27 05:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xd4c84d…
05-27 05:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0xa11bcb…
05-27 05:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x0121fd…
05-27 05:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x2739cc…
05-27 05:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x2bbb74…
05-27 05:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	49	49¢	$24	0x2b96c2…
05-27 03:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x013104…
05-27 03:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x8e5a02…
05-27 03:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0xe3c2e9…
05-27 03:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0x908ac3…
05-27 03:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	43	56¢	$24	0xda857e…
05-27 03:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x0377ae…
05-27 02:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x1008bc…
05-27 02:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	52	46¢	$24	0xefccbf…
05-27 02:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0x11bc88…
05-27 02:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	39	62¢	$24	0xde490b…
05-27 02:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0xfa1f0f…
05-27 02:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0x557b65…
05-27 02:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x9cce50…
05-27 01:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x6d450d…
05-27 01:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	44	55¢	$24	0x3edba4…
05-27 01:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xf6257e…
05-27 01:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	38	63¢	$24	0x77daf8…
05-27 01:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0xf35a81…
05-27 01:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	42	57¢	$24	0xa870cd…
05-27 01:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x98e2cf…
05-27 01:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x6a5a1d…
05-27 01:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0xaa7ff4…
05-27 01:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0xdc447c…
05-27 01:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xebd220…
05-27 00:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xea6b61…
05-27 00:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	50¢	$24	0x150eaf…
05-27 00:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0xae3300…
05-27 00:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0x5a51c9…
05-27 00:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0xe18c51…
05-27 00:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0xfbd04a…
05-27 00:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	38	62¢	$24	0x6b155b…
05-27 00:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x578867…
05-26 23:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x1b7100…
05-26 23:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	39	62¢	$24	0x8fb472…
05-26 23:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x8982eb…
05-26 23:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x5169d6…
05-26 22:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xe59180…
05-26 22:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x0236bf…
05-26 22:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x74518b…
05-26 22:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	41	58¢	$24	0x10dbc7…
05-26 22:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0xf0f81e…
05-26 21:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xd68507…
05-26 21:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	48	50¢	$24	0x2b6181…
05-26 21:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x232f10…
05-26 21:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x757da5…
05-26 21:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x9f67ac…
05-26 21:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x5d1369…
05-26 19:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0x976786…
05-26 19:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x3d6eb8…
05-26 19:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x055d70…
05-26 19:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x771c1b…
05-26 19:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xc48f4d…
05-26 19:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	38	64¢	$24	0x4707c4…
05-26 19:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x8bb478…
05-26 18:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x7d7a08…
05-26 18:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	45	53¢	$24	0x0263b0…
05-26 18:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x09a12e…
05-26 18:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x5824ff…
05-26 18:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	42	57¢	$24	0xe210ad…
05-26 18:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x52d66a…
05-26 17:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xadd42a…