Smug-Tram — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

10.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$616

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-02-14

last 06-13 01:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

53% 50% +$6

Crypto

36% — —

Other

11% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?	No		+12	$12	100¢	$12	+$0	06-13 01:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$82	41	41	+0	open	—	04-18 12:15
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$78	39	39	+0	No	$-0	04-18 09:11
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	03-11 16:34
will solana reach 190 in february 2026	1	$55	55	0	+55	open	—	02-14 04:57
nba chi lal 2026 03 12	1	$38	45	0	+45	open	—	03-12 08:41
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	03-14 07:33
will solana reach 160 in march 2026	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	03-16 06:26
lal mad get 2026 03 14 draw	1	$21	28	0	+28	open	—	03-14 09:26
nba por bkn 2026 03 16	1	$21	25	0	+25	open	—	03-16 06:35
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	1	$20	38	0	+38	open	—	03-17 07:49
nhl ana sj 2026 04 01	1	$18	38	0	+38	open	—	04-01 09:05
nba min phi 2026 04 03	1	$18	41	0	+41	open	—	04-03 06:20
epl mun ast 2026 03 15 mun	1	$18	42	0	+42	open	—	03-15 05:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-04 06:55
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-03 06:13
Will Solana dip to $20 in May?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	05-22 17:04
nba cle mem 2026 04 06	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	04-06 05:00
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	06-13 01:36
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians	1	$9	15	0	+15	Cleveland Guardians	+$6	05-11 05:27
nba hou phx 2026 04 07	1	$8	17	0	+17	open	—	04-07 06:37
nba atl cle 2026 04 08	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	04-08 07:04
mlb sd tex 2026 06 21	1	$7	16	0	+16	open	—	06-21 02:08
nba phx cha 2026 04 02	1	$6	17	0	+17	open	—	04-02 09:35
mlb min det 2026 06 09	1	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	06-09 03:04
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-16 04:35
nhl buf nyr 2026 04 08	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	04-08 04:53
nba por sas 2026 04 08	1	$4	11	0	+11	open	—	04-08 04:05
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	02-27 12:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 02:08:22	mlb sd tex 2026 06 21	San Diego Padres	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x899f99…
06-13 01:36:00	Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x1470fa…
06-09 03:04:16	mlb min det 2026 06 09	Minnesota Twins	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0xed5faf…
05-22 17:04:01	Will Solana dip to $20 in May?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x968e9f…
05-16 04:35:42	Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Kansas City Royals	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x1a4981…
05-11 05:27:24	Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x14584c…
05-04 06:55:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x4acf17…
05-03 06:13:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6cfd5e…
04-18 12:15:02	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x603e46…
04-18 11:57:40	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x358af5…
04-18 09:11:56	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xa8833f…
04-18 05:13:56	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x951871…
04-08 07:04:07	nba atl cle 2026 04 08	Hawks	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x952713…
04-08 04:53:11	nhl buf nyr 2026 04 08	Rangers	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xde0445…
04-08 04:05:03	nba por sas 2026 04 08	Trail Blazers	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0xc2f9fc…
04-07 06:37:43	nba hou phx 2026 04 07	Suns	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0x6b85c5…
04-06 05:00:39	nba cle mem 2026 04 06	Cavaliers	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x687850…
04-03 06:20:21	nba min phi 2026 04 03	Timberwolves	BUY	41	45¢	$18	0x3b9ac8…
04-02 09:35:35	nba phx cha 2026 04 02	Suns	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x448196…
04-01 09:05:03	nhl ana sj 2026 04 01	Sharks	BUY	38	49¢	$18	0xea2271…
03-17 07:49:51	cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	UMBC Retrievers	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xccdcf0…
03-16 06:35:57	nba por bkn 2026 03 16	Trail Blazers	BUY	25	81¢	$21	0xa8d58b…
03-16 06:26:45	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x88e50f…
03-15 05:14:27	epl mun ast 2026 03 15 mun	No	BUY	42	43¢	$18	0x5f06be…
03-14 09:26:05	lal mad get 2026 03 14 draw	No	BUY	28	74¢	$21	0x3a4f63…
03-14 07:33:51	Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf83f70…
03-12 08:41:25	nba chi lal 2026 03 12	Lakers	BUY	45	83¢	$38	0x2e1cb6…
03-11 16:34:53	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x7e3242…
03-08 03:32:07	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0e6f90…
03-07 15:22:15	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd8e72c…
02-27 12:14:23	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0bfe66…
02-14 04:57:47	will solana reach 190 in february 2026	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x7ea434…