Realistic-Stuff — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.0%

Resolved

Trades

298

lifetime

Volume

$392

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 08-13 04:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 60% +$2

Pop-Culture

5% — —

Other

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	17	$19	46	46	+0	open	—	02-06 15:08
btc updown 15m 1771170300	7	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	02-15 15:47
sol updown 15m 1771194600	4	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	02-15 22:42
btc updown 15m 1771182900	3	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	02-15 19:15
btc updown 15m 1771183800	3	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	02-15 19:18
ethereum up or down february 7 6am et	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-07 12:22
ethereum up or down february 7 9am et	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-07 15:04
ethereum up or down february 10 7am et	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	02-10 12:36
ethereum up or down february 10 4am et	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	02-10 09:36
btc updown 15m 1771180200	3	$2	6	3	+3	open	—	02-15 18:43
ethereum up or down february 8 8am et	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-08 14:55
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-06 15:39
ethereum up or down february 17 10am et	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	02-17 15:22
ethereum up or down february 12 2am et	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	02-12 07:29
ethereum up or down february 10 9am et	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	02-10 14:24
xrp updown 15m 1771341300	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	02-17 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	06-01 00:30
btc updown 15m 1785017700	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	07-25 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-28 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-19 21:00
btc updown 15m 1780802100	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	06-07 03:00
btc updown 15m 1784874600	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	07-24 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-28 20:45
btc updown 15m 1784004300	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	07-14 04:30
btc updown 15m 1785276000	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	07-28 21:45
btc updown 15m 1783998000	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	07-14 02:45
eth updown 15m 1783934100	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	07-13 09:00
btc updown 15m 1783393200	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	07-07 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-19 00:30
btc updown 15m 1781886600	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	06-19 16:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 04:45:03	btc updown 15m 1786597200	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x0a6749…
08-12 09:45:04	btc updown 15m 1786528800	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xf5545e…
08-12 09:45:04	sol updown 15m 1786528800	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x63b7c7…
08-12 09:45:03	eth updown 15m 1786528800	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x3c9bf4…
08-11 11:15:03	btc updown 15m 1786447800	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x7c5a4f…
08-11 10:00:04	eth updown 15m 1786443300	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x9df54b…
08-11 10:00:03	sol updown 15m 1786443300	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x9b9927…
08-11 10:00:03	btc updown 15m 1786443300	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x2d8fa5…
08-11 03:30:04	btc updown 15m 1786419900	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xfdae11…
08-11 03:30:03	eth updown 15m 1786419900	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xfa268b…
08-11 03:30:03	sol updown 15m 1786419900	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x9ec1b7…
08-09 23:45:04	btc updown 15m 1786320000	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xcdb156…
08-09 23:45:03	sol updown 15m 1786320000	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x881622…
08-09 20:15:04	btc updown 15m 1786307400	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x52ef7c…
08-09 20:15:03	sol updown 15m 1786307400	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x52bba8…
08-08 23:15:03	btc updown 15m 1786231800	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x642ff4…
08-07 17:30:03	btc updown 15m 1786124700	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x264541…
08-06 09:45:03	btc updown 15m 1786010400	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xbbd926…
08-06 09:45:03	sol updown 15m 1786010400	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x2172cb…
08-03 22:00:03	btc updown 15m 1785795300	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xf0cd93…
08-03 22:00:03	sol updown 15m 1785795300	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xdc1184…
08-02 09:00:03	btc updown 15m 1785662100	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x937315…
08-02 09:00:03	sol updown 15m 1785662100	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x15cdfb…
08-02 01:45:05	sol updown 15m 1785636000	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xe45536…
08-02 01:45:05	eth updown 15m 1785636000	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x72f12d…
08-02 01:15:03	btc updown 15m 1785634200	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x0c9b03…
08-02 00:15:05	btc updown 15m 1785630600	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x6f501a…
07-31 02:45:03	sol updown 15m 1785466800	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xae4102…
07-31 02:45:03	btc updown 15m 1785466800	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xa03fcc…
07-28 21:45:04	btc updown 15m 1785276000	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xdd1c91…
07-28 19:15:04	btc updown 15m 1785267000	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x964995…
07-28 17:00:04	btc updown 15m 1785258900	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x74e9ad…
07-26 06:30:04	sol updown 15m 1785048300	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x5a5ff9…
07-26 06:30:03	btc updown 15m 1785048300	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x1720c1…
07-26 00:15:03	btc updown 15m 1785025800	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x9943ce…
07-25 22:00:03	btc updown 15m 1785017700	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x1dded7…
07-25 18:45:03	eth updown 15m 1785006000	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x9d0a28…
07-25 18:45:03	sol updown 15m 1785006000	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x0110ab…
07-25 18:30:03	btc updown 15m 1785005100	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x3a1702…
07-25 17:45:03	sol updown 15m 1785002400	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x973569…
07-25 17:45:03	eth updown 15m 1785002400	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x2c947f…
07-25 17:30:03	btc updown 15m 1785001500	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x4909a2…
07-25 15:00:03	btc updown 15m 1784992500	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x89edea…
07-25 13:00:03	btc updown 15m 1784985300	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x3b6113…
07-24 06:15:03	btc updown 15m 1784874600	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x6373d6…
07-23 22:00:03	btc updown 15m 1784844900	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x4baf5c…
07-23 20:45:04	btc updown 15m 1784840400	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xed9fc2…
07-23 20:45:03	sol updown 15m 1784840400	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xb194e1…
07-23 01:45:04	sol updown 15m 1784772000	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x4e9887…
07-23 01:45:03	btc updown 15m 1784772000	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x1050c1…
07-22 06:00:03	btc updown 15m 1784700900	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x5521b7…
07-19 09:45:04	sol updown 15m 1784455200	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xbf8f7b…
07-19 09:45:03	btc updown 15m 1784455200	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x0556bc…
07-19 03:45:03	sol updown 15m 1784433600	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xc817ba…
07-19 03:45:03	btc updown 15m 1784433600	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x56eeb7…
07-16 07:45:04	sol updown 15m 1784188800	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xf3fa93…
07-16 07:45:04	btc updown 15m 1784188800	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x39c6f9…
07-16 00:45:04	sol updown 15m 1784163600	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xc56d49…
07-16 00:45:04	btc updown 15m 1784163600	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x89932f…
07-14 10:15:02	btc updown 15m 1784025000	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xb8c35c…
07-14 05:30:04	btc updown 15m 1784007900	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xb0a3ab…
07-14 05:30:04	eth updown 15m 1784007900	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x717141…
07-14 04:45:04	sol updown 15m 1784005200	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x2b77c5…
07-14 04:30:02	btc updown 15m 1784004300	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x1eb3e0…
07-14 02:45:02	btc updown 15m 1783998000	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x414e5c…
07-13 09:00:04	eth updown 15m 1783934100	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x7efef8…
07-13 09:00:04	btc updown 15m 1783934100	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x3d6efa…
07-11 22:45:04	sol updown 15m 1783810800	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x3beea3…
07-11 22:45:02	btc updown 15m 1783810800	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x53ff25…
07-10 14:45:04	sol updown 15m 1783695600	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x4cab48…
07-10 14:45:04	btc updown 15m 1783695600	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x2fa518…
07-07 02:45:04	sol updown 15m 1783393200	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xbc2140…
07-07 02:45:04	btc updown 15m 1783393200	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x69b9c2…
07-05 09:45:04	btc updown 15m 1783245600	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x89c4c5…
07-05 09:45:02	sol updown 15m 1783245600	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x55b822…
07-05 02:45:04	btc updown 15m 1783220400	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xd4ce0c…
07-05 02:45:04	sol updown 15m 1783220400	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xd3fd64…
07-01 04:00:04	btc updown 15m 1782879300	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xf2d1d4…
06-27 11:45:04	btc updown 15m 1782561600	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x7ecb7f…
06-27 11:45:02	sol updown 15m 1782561600	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xd634a5…
06-27 02:45:04	sol updown 15m 1782529200	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x8e9de6…
06-27 02:45:04	eth updown 15m 1782529200	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x5a578d…
06-27 02:45:02	btc updown 15m 1782529200	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xae7f62…
06-27 00:00:02	btc updown 15m 1782519300	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xf8e382…
06-26 07:45:02	btc updown 15m 1782460800	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xd2b344…
06-26 06:30:04	btc updown 15m 1782456300	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x38f9a3…
06-25 07:45:02	btc updown 15m 1782374400	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x1dc19b…
06-25 06:45:02	btc updown 15m 1782370800	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x5cf5f1…
06-25 05:00:04	eth updown 15m 1782364500	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xcc163c…
06-25 05:00:04	btc updown 15m 1782364500	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x97eefc…
06-25 05:00:02	sol updown 15m 1782364500	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x21cf6e…
06-25 00:00:02	btc updown 15m 1782346500	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xaf25a8…
06-24 21:45:02	btc updown 15m 1782338400	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x2a29ee…
06-24 01:00:04	btc updown 15m 1782263700	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x9f6bf6…
06-24 00:45:04	sol updown 15m 1782262800	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x2b37d7…
06-24 00:45:02	eth updown 15m 1782262800	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x532595…
06-24 00:00:02	btc updown 15m 1782260100	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xbeb18b…
06-19 22:30:04	btc updown 15m 1781909100	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x318d77…
06-19 16:15:04	btc updown 15m 1781886600	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x4ce6d8…
06-19 14:30:04	btc updown 15m 1781880300	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xbf3962…