Realistic-Stuff — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.0%

Resolved

Trades

227

lifetime

Volume

$285

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 07-07 02:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 60% +$2

Pop-Culture

7% — —

Other

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	17	$19	46	46	+0	open	—	02-06 15:08
btc updown 15m 1771170300	7	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	02-15 15:47
sol updown 15m 1771194600	4	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	02-15 22:42
btc updown 15m 1771182900	3	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	02-15 19:15
btc updown 15m 1771183800	3	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	02-15 19:18
ethereum up or down february 7 6am et	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-07 12:22
ethereum up or down february 7 9am et	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-07 15:04
ethereum up or down february 10 7am et	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	02-10 12:36
ethereum up or down february 10 4am et	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	02-10 09:36
btc updown 15m 1771180200	3	$2	6	3	+3	open	—	02-15 18:43
ethereum up or down february 8 8am et	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-08 14:55
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-06 15:39
ethereum up or down february 17 10am et	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	02-17 15:22
ethereum up or down february 12 2am et	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	02-12 07:29
ethereum up or down february 10 9am et	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	02-10 14:24
xrp updown 15m 1771341300	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	02-17 15:19
btc updown 15m 1782529200	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	06-27 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-18 22:00
btc updown 15m 1780802100	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	06-07 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	$-2	05-08 10:45
btc updown 15m 1781880300	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	06-19 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-31 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-19 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	+$2	05-08 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-29 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	+$2	05-08 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-28 19:00
btc updown 15m 1783393200	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	07-07 02:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-23 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-28 20:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 02:45:04	sol updown 15m 1783393200	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xbc2140…
07-07 02:45:04	btc updown 15m 1783393200	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x69b9c2…
07-05 09:45:04	btc updown 15m 1783245600	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x89c4c5…
07-05 09:45:02	sol updown 15m 1783245600	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x55b822…
07-05 02:45:04	btc updown 15m 1783220400	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xd4ce0c…
07-05 02:45:04	sol updown 15m 1783220400	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xd3fd64…
07-01 04:00:04	btc updown 15m 1782879300	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xf2d1d4…
06-27 11:45:04	btc updown 15m 1782561600	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x7ecb7f…
06-27 11:45:02	sol updown 15m 1782561600	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xd634a5…
06-27 02:45:04	sol updown 15m 1782529200	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x8e9de6…
06-27 02:45:04	eth updown 15m 1782529200	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x5a578d…
06-27 02:45:02	btc updown 15m 1782529200	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xae7f62…
06-27 00:00:02	btc updown 15m 1782519300	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xf8e382…
06-26 07:45:02	btc updown 15m 1782460800	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xd2b344…
06-26 06:30:04	btc updown 15m 1782456300	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x38f9a3…
06-25 07:45:02	btc updown 15m 1782374400	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x1dc19b…
06-25 06:45:02	btc updown 15m 1782370800	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x5cf5f1…
06-25 05:00:04	eth updown 15m 1782364500	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xcc163c…
06-25 05:00:04	btc updown 15m 1782364500	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x97eefc…
06-25 05:00:02	sol updown 15m 1782364500	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x21cf6e…
06-25 00:00:02	btc updown 15m 1782346500	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xaf25a8…
06-24 21:45:02	btc updown 15m 1782338400	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x2a29ee…
06-24 01:00:04	btc updown 15m 1782263700	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x9f6bf6…
06-24 00:45:04	sol updown 15m 1782262800	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x2b37d7…
06-24 00:45:02	eth updown 15m 1782262800	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x532595…
06-24 00:00:02	btc updown 15m 1782260100	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xbeb18b…
06-19 22:30:04	btc updown 15m 1781909100	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x318d77…
06-19 16:15:04	btc updown 15m 1781886600	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x4ce6d8…
06-19 14:30:04	btc updown 15m 1781880300	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xbf3962…
06-19 14:30:04	sol updown 15m 1781880300	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xa7dee9…
06-19 14:30:04	eth updown 15m 1781880300	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x08289a…
06-17 15:45:04	btc updown 15m 1781712000	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x47d8cb…
06-16 13:15:08	sol updown 15m 1781616600	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x162217…
06-16 13:15:02	btc updown 15m 1781616600	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x5da185…
06-14 05:00:04	sol updown 15m 1781414100	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xdce000…
06-14 05:00:03	btc updown 15m 1781414100	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x88f452…
06-12 21:00:04	btc updown 15m 1781298900	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xc1ca0d…
06-12 21:00:04	sol updown 15m 1781298900	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x8683bc…
06-12 06:30:03	sol updown 15m 1781246700	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xf127b8…
06-12 06:30:03	btc updown 15m 1781246700	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x5cb5a2…
06-07 19:30:04	btc updown 15m 1780861500	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x60dbed…
06-07 19:30:03	sol updown 15m 1780861500	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x587417…
06-07 12:45:04	sol updown 15m 1780837200	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xc5bdfc…
06-07 12:45:03	btc updown 15m 1780837200	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x4c487b…
06-07 03:00:04	btc updown 15m 1780802100	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x496dd0…
06-07 01:45:04	btc updown 15m 1780797600	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x469136…
06-07 01:45:03	sol updown 15m 1780797600	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xd3326f…
06-07 01:45:03	eth updown 15m 1780797600	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x406b64…
06-04 13:45:03	btc updown 15m 1780581600	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xf63ca0…
06-01 00:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xde53e6…
05-31 21:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x6a3027…
05-31 07:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x7a85c5…
05-31 07:45:03	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x5cd3e6…
05-30 13:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xd24f92…
05-30 13:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xcf19a7…
05-30 13:15:04	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x6325a9…
05-29 07:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x5fea17…
05-28 20:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xbdb32e…
05-28 19:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x674eba…
05-24 14:15:04	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xa4cc0c…
05-24 14:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x3a472f…
05-23 19:30:03	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xc4809c…
05-23 19:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x263b6a…
05-23 19:30:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x14fe88…
05-23 18:30:08	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xfad724…
05-23 18:30:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x025087…
05-23 18:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x2bc830…
05-23 14:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xe898f4…
05-23 14:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xe79411…
05-23 14:45:03	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x97477e…
05-21 07:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x29f784…
05-21 07:00:03	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xf9e215…
05-20 13:45:08	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xdc0232…
05-20 13:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xa92a64…
05-19 21:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xd02b42…
05-19 00:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x9e85cc…
05-18 22:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x72ce0b…
05-14 07:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xc3202c…
05-12 20:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x9447de…
05-12 01:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x9759b1…
05-12 01:30:03	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x877973…
05-08 22:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x3ea29d…
05-08 12:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x0ff7e0…
05-08 10:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x16c14d…
05-06 14:15:04	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xc57e59…
05-06 14:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0xab6681…
05-05 23:00:04	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xf4e34b…
05-05 23:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x825a6f…
05-03 01:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xfeaa52…
05-03 01:45:14	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x61372a…
05-02 05:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x103503…
05-02 05:00:04	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x5656ea…
04-30 09:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc5e77c…
04-30 08:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8de83a…
04-30 08:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x70fd45…
04-30 08:00:04	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0613c0…
04-30 01:15:04	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xda0e52…
04-30 01:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd29622…
04-30 01:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc412e8…
04-29 02:00:10	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe8e712…