Profitable-Crinoline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 05-27 11:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 78% $-22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	3	$79	46	45	+1	open	—	04-26 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$73	38	37	+0	open	—	04-26 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$71	37	37	+0	open	—	04-26 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$67	36	35	+0	open	—	04-26 22:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$61	32	32	+0	open	—	04-26 22:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	04-26 22:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$57	29	29	+0	open	—	04-26 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4AM ET	2	$54	28	28	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$39	56	0	+56	open	—	04-26 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$39	40	0	+40	open	—	04-26 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7PM ET	2	$38	20	20	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 00:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$38	39	0	+39	open	—	04-26 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$31	17	17	+0	open	—	04-26 21:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5PM ET	2	$29	17	17	+0	Down	+$5	05-07 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	1	$28	35	0	+35	Down	$-28	05-08 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	1	$26	27	0	+27	Up	+$1	05-08 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	04-26 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	04-26 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-26 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9PM ET	1	$19	26	0	+26	Down	+$7	05-08 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$17	33	0	+33	open	—	04-26 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5AM ET	1	$16	20	0	+20	open	—	05-27 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	1	$16	17	0	+17	Down	+$1	05-07 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	05-27 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	05-27 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$13	14	0	+14	Down	$-13	05-10 21:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 26?	1	$11	18	0	+18	open	—	04-26 11:49
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	05-07 20:40
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-07 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$9	11	0	+11	Up	+$2	05-07 20:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 11:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x4b3657…
05-27 09:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xe19ecd…
05-27 09:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x56b9ce…
05-27 07:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x234057…
05-10 21:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x57b472…
05-08 09:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	35	80¢	$28	0x26b62f…
05-08 09:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x502ef8…
05-08 08:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0x5107f5…
05-08 08:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0xf9dc3e…
05-08 01:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	26	74¢	$19	0xf6eb53…
05-08 00:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8127a1…
05-07 23:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x89dd55…
05-07 22:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0xaf2913…
05-07 22:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xa94cb0…
05-07 21:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0x5257f3…
05-07 20:55:22	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xb7135b…
05-07 20:40:38	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x555962…
05-07 20:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xad506c…
04-26 23:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	56	70¢	$39	0xc36486…
04-26 22:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xe4a280…
04-26 22:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xc81877…
04-26 22:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xf5686f…
04-26 22:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0x161f95…
04-26 22:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x4665e8…
04-26 22:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xb5de65…
04-26 22:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	37	99¢	$36	0x006fae…
04-26 22:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0xa65a1e…
04-26 22:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xb02f6e…
04-26 22:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	36	90¢	$32	0x2ddc7d…
04-26 22:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x0355bc…
04-26 22:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	90¢	$29	0x61325e…
04-26 22:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xd56e3e…
04-26 22:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0xba50c9…
04-26 21:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xc436b3…
04-26 21:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xcc2fcf…
04-26 21:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x5de7e8…
04-26 21:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x850d1b…
04-26 21:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x525807…
04-26 21:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0x2b0d47…
04-26 20:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3335a2…
04-26 20:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x6718c8…
04-26 20:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x3eef7b…
04-26 20:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x4c7940…
04-26 11:49:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0xcfd187…