Subdued-Modem — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

8.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$32

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-08 07:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

100% 20% $-9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes		-24	$-3	4¢	$-1	+$2	05-08 07:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	1	$17	0	23	-23	Yes	$-6	05-06 14:07
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$5	0	7	-7	Yes	$-2	05-05 07:51
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$3	0	24	-24	open	—	05-08 07:10
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$2	0	8	-8	No	+$2	05-05 05:35
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	$-2	05-06 19:09
SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5	1	$1	2	0	+2	Over	$-1	05-07 20:35
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$1	0	7	-7	open	—	05-07 05:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 07:10:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x59d163…
05-07 20:35:44	SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x409e0d…
05-07 05:43:02	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x526b75…
05-06 19:09:48	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xea5f4b…
05-06 15:42:23	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	16¢	$3	0xc1a6bc…
05-06 14:07:28	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	74¢	$17	0x801222…
05-05 07:51:08	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x0daefc…
05-05 05:35:08	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x998ee4…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf	5	$9.35K	207	05-08 08:56
Ondra 0x849c…4009	5	$737	18	05-08 07:15
Fussy-Dad 0xa59c…bb62	4	$15.5K	12	05-08 07:20
Intelligent-Tax 0x913f…c676	4	$5.78K	9	05-08 03:30
Compassionate-Hardware 0xb4e9…f380	4	$5.29K	6	05-08 06:55
Serpentine-Maggot 0x6964…ef53	4	$4.51K	11	05-08 07:25
Wide-Eyed-Tensor 0x43d7…c453	4	$1.35K	6	05-07 23:46
Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5	4	$1.04K	26	05-08 07:15