Stark-Air — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

40.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$197

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$17

1 position

First seen

2026-02-05

last 07-14 15:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

40% 100% +$7

Crypto

27% — —

Politics

23% 0% $-30

Sports

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No		+23	$17	74¢	$17	$-0	07-14 15:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$30	33	0	+33	Yes	$-30	05-01 02:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$20	27	0	+27	No	+$7	05-05 06:07
will bitcoin dip to 65k in february 2026 372 697	1	$20	28	0	+28	open	—	02-05 16:53
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	1	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	04-23 17:39
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	1	$20	34	0	+34	open	—	02-10 11:12
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	1	$17	23	0	+23	open	—	07-14 15:17
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$15	21	0	+21	open	—	03-15 18:48
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	03-15 18:47
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	06-28 09:25
will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	07-14 15:16
will endrick score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	06-12 07:39
will breel embolo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	1	$5	26	0	+26	open	—	06-12 07:38
will kai havertz score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	1	$5	28	0	+28	open	—	06-12 07:38
will darwin nunez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	1	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	06-12 07:39
will maru reach 800m in q1	2	$2	8	8	+0	open	—	03-30 07:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 15:17:52	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	74¢	$17	0xd88edd…
07-14 15:16:43	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x5ca18d…
06-28 09:25:43	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x981baa…
06-12 07:39:49	will endrick score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x2f91df…
06-12 07:39:30	will darwin nunez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xdecdf0…
06-12 07:38:58	will breel embolo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x81c973…
06-12 07:38:13	will kai havertz score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xc1b439…
05-05 06:07:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xe42502…
05-01 02:29:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0xc29037…
04-23 17:39:10	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x1fbf69…
03-30 07:14:28	will maru reach 800m in q1	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xb694b1…
03-15 18:48:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x685906…
03-15 18:47:33	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	38¢	$5	0x4d631f…
02-12 11:42:31	will maru reach 800m in q1	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x33ae49…
02-10 11:12:07	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	No	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x1fbaa4…
02-10 08:24:27	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x29c157…
02-05 16:53:41	will bitcoin dip to 65k in february 2026 372 697	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x160351…