Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.5%

Resolved

Trades

375

lifetime

Volume

$19.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 04-14 02:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

66% — —

Other

34% 50% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	43	$2.4K	2,306	2,305	+0	open	—	04-11 02:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	7	$2.0K	2,042	2,042	+0	open	—	04-14 02:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$2.0K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	04-08 01:15
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	12	$1.5K	1,496	1,492	+4	open	—	04-06 09:26
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	22	$1.2K	1,346	1,344	+3	open	—	03-30 21:21
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	26	$1.1K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	04-09 18:09
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	15	$1.0K	758	758	+0	open	—	03-30 18:15
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	10	$940	4,506	4,506	+0	open	—	04-05 12:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	7	$892	663	663	+0	open	—	04-14 02:32
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	4	$859	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	04-09 18:07
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	3	$798	600	600	+0	open	—	04-08 14:57
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	4	$695	487	487	+0	open	—	04-14 02:28
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	10	$621	733	731	+1	open	—	04-10 20:29
will iran strike oman again in march	15	$566	1,383	300	+1,083	open	—	04-04 19:45
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	19	$484	592	592	+0	open	—	04-04 17:17
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$340	1,133	1,133	+0	open	—	03-25 18:05
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	9	$329	1,044	1,044	+0	open	—	04-04 17:56
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	5	$204	168	168	+0	Yes	+$5	04-14 02:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$199	152	152	+0	open	—	03-25 16:45
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	15	$190	389	389	+0	open	—	04-04 16:23
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	10	$165	175	175	+0	open	—	04-13 12:13
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	15	$145	372	372	+0	open	—	04-02 04:57
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?	8	$144	296	71	+225	open	—	04-09 16:49
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	7	$119	109	109	+0	open	—	04-13 22:28
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$84	600	600	+0	open	—	04-11 14:25
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?	14	$83	223	179	+44	open	—	04-10 06:26
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	5	$79	791	437	+354	open	—	04-08 19:09
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 10, 2026?	5	$69	53	52	+0	open	—	04-11 13:30
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	2	$62	132	131	+1	open	—	03-26 13:23
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	6	$55	226	226	+0	open	—	04-04 17:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-14 02:49:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xf162f6…
04-14 02:33:47	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	SELL	113	65¢	$73	0x7aa74b…
04-14 02:32:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	473	75¢	$355	0x4e547f…
04-14 02:28:51	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	487	79¢	$385	0xf3e154…
04-14 02:26:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	314	48¢	$150	0xfdc9f5…
04-14 02:21:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	27	49¢	$13	0x639cb2…
04-14 02:20:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x5146e2…
04-14 02:20:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1,700	49¢	$836	0x487ef4…
04-13 22:28:39	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	109	66¢	$72	0x61edf2…
04-13 16:51:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x70b135…
04-13 13:58:37	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 14 2026	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0xea3e5e…
04-13 13:50:33	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 14 2026	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x0ebc82…
04-13 12:23:09	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 14 2026	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x6eeabb…
04-13 12:13:43	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	SELL	15	51¢	$7	0xa38bf8…
04-12 18:35:35	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd95a6c…
04-12 18:21:47	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	BUY	15	58¢	$8	0x47d304…
04-12 16:33:31	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x181be6…
04-12 16:33:29	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x416f35…
04-12 16:32:41	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xccc81d…
04-12 13:59:55	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x610cb6…
04-12 11:45:09	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 14 2026	Yes	SELL	125	4¢	$5	0xff367f…
04-12 03:23:07	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	No	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0xb7c7f2…
04-11 18:08:03	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 14 2026	Yes	BUY	38	14¢	$5	0x062256…
04-11 18:07:39	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 14 2026	Yes	BUY	38	14¢	$5	0x3e39cf…
04-11 18:07:31	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 14 2026	Yes	BUY	48	13¢	$6	0xf0a82d…
04-11 18:05:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	868	38¢	$333	0xc83b00…
04-11 14:25:53	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	600	6¢	$36	0x654c23…
04-11 14:21:07	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	600	8¢	$48	0x85e37b…
04-11 13:30:49	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 10, 2026?	No	SELL	52	91¢	$48	0x9c709a…
04-11 13:10:51	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x5354cd…
04-11 12:57:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	46	76¢	$35	0xbd7543…
04-11 12:49:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	52	59¢	$30	0xcbf69f…
04-11 12:49:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,122	58¢	$654	0x8ecc3d…
04-11 02:05:31	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	510	97¢	$493	0x808bda…
04-10 20:29:43	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	36¢	$6	0xcf5e48…
04-10 20:29:11	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	120	35¢	$42	0xfaa1b7…
04-10 19:10:51	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	32	57¢	$18	0x8b7c11…
04-10 19:03:21	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	1,145	58¢	$667	0x5b5cae…
04-10 19:03:13	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0xe468b4…
04-10 18:49:09	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	40	64¢	$25	0xd92fdb…
04-10 18:48:05	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x08d305…
04-10 18:47:31	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	18	64¢	$12	0xb09ca6…
04-10 18:47:31	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	12	64¢	$8	0x8c456f…
04-10 18:46:59	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	168	64¢	$108	0xe09b6e…
04-10 18:44:31	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	131	64¢	$84	0x624fdf…
04-10 18:41:03	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	57	62¢	$35	0xae2479…
04-10 17:26:49	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	61	36¢	$22	0xaffaa1…
04-10 16:50:25	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	36	35¢	$12	0x1b3e8e…
04-10 16:45:43	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	300	34¢	$101	0xf8559b…
04-10 16:45:37	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xc1ad29…
04-10 16:45:37	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	95	34¢	$32	0x790637…
04-10 16:44:03	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	63	40¢	$25	0xcf57ad…
04-10 16:43:51	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	600	32¢	$192	0x94c217…
04-10 16:42:57	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0e2b1e…
04-10 15:00:43	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	SELL	30	65¢	$19	0x1999f0…
04-10 14:46:17	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xf09b9c…
04-10 14:46:17	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe185df…
04-10 14:46:17	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	39	30¢	$12	0xdb83c3…
04-10 14:46:17	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0xd39936…
04-10 14:46:17	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xca7f6c…
04-10 14:46:17	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x99d79e…
04-10 14:46:17	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x69a476…
04-10 14:46:17	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x4507db…
04-10 14:46:17	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	49	30¢	$15	0x0e9e92…
04-10 14:46:15	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0xdfa00a…
04-10 14:46:15	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0xb9c4b8…
04-10 14:46:15	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x8ce702…
04-10 14:46:15	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x3f84a7…
04-10 14:46:15	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x135f83…
04-10 14:31:43	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x88b113…
04-10 14:13:47	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	274	51¢	$139	0x515214…
04-10 14:13:11	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	275	44¢	$120	0x7820fb…
04-10 14:07:09	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	209	30¢	$62	0xd9b1df…
04-10 08:51:17	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 10, 2026?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xc51d6a…
04-10 06:26:45	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?	No	SELL	9	5¢	$1	0x391154…
04-09 20:10:59	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?	No	SELL	94	9¢	$8	0x8084bb…
04-09 20:09:05	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?	No	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xacc4db…
04-09 20:08:41	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?	No	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x93bf93…
04-09 19:58:37	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	63	39¢	$24	0xb914f1…
04-09 18:09:47	US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	Yes	SELL	859	10¢	$89	0xf8d448…
04-09 18:08:01	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	594	39¢	$231	0x06d62f…
04-09 18:07:23	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	SELL	1,800	26¢	$469	0x4f56eb…
04-09 18:05:39	US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	Yes	SELL	149	27¢	$40	0x406ebb…
04-09 17:58:03	US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	Yes	SELL	17	31¢	$5	0xc5fc36…
04-09 17:12:13	US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	Yes	SELL	60	44¢	$27	0xc28975…
04-09 16:58:11	US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	Yes	SELL	150	47¢	$71	0x2f2c3b…
04-09 16:49:57	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?	No	SELL	46	4¢	$2	0xb64a6a…
04-09 16:31:45	US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	Yes	SELL	60	35¢	$21	0xbb66e4…
04-09 16:31:45	US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x7b1fab…
04-09 16:26:55	US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	Yes	SELL	150	34¢	$51	0xe067e3…
04-09 15:47:35	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	594	47¢	$277	0x955329…
04-09 15:46:49	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xac2e1d…
04-09 15:46:49	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x142e0d…
04-09 15:46:33	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6cc921…
04-09 15:38:23	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x259322…
04-09 15:37:07	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x12c2e8…
04-09 15:35:29	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?	No	BUY	33	32¢	$11	0xd2f4a0…
04-09 15:35:07	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?	No	BUY	33	32¢	$11	0xe10076…
04-09 15:31:05	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0xf01426…
04-09 15:30:13	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	600	21¢	$126	0x175f9c…