Waterlogged-Hanger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$154

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

29.0%

Resolved

Trades

136

lifetime

Volume

$5.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

$101

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-11 17:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 12% $-152

Other

32% 0% $-2

Politics

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Dreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No		-250	$-101	40¢	$-101	$-1	05-28 18:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Superform FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$336	200	200	+0	open	—	02-10 15:22
will vertiv holdings vrt be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	4	$276	400	400	+0	open	—	02-16 20:25
ostium fdv above 100m one day after launch	2	$272	237	237	+0	open	—	06-11 17:00
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	2	$264	240	240	+0	open	—	06-07 07:38
will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	7	$263	250	206	+44	open	—	03-05 03:13
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$255	250	250	+0	Yes	+$15	03-21 07:52
Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?	7	$244	440	150	+290	Yes	$-28	04-16 17:36
Hyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch?	3	$237	230	230	-0	open	—	06-03 14:45
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$236	200	200	+0	open	—	03-11 15:07
Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?	2	$230	200	200	+0	open	—	03-18 16:19
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$222	200	200	+0	open	—	03-13 17:58
Will Marvell Q1 Data Center revenue be above $1.85B?	3	$208	270	270	+0	open	—	05-18 18:04
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$194	240	240	+0	open	—	04-13 16:02
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$193	230	230	+0	open	—	02-07 18:37
will bitcoin outperform gold in march 2026	2	$180	200	200	+0	open	—	03-09 17:05
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$168	200	200	+0	open	—	02-08 08:17
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$167	200	197	+3	open	—	03-24 17:41
Over $3M committed to the Fluent public sale?	2	$165	300	300	+0	open	—	04-11 06:22
Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$152	320	302	+18	open	—	04-21 08:48
Elsa FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$140	200	200	+0	open	—	01-20 20:07
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	1	$135	190	0	+190	open	—	02-19 17:24
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$133	230	230	+0	Yes	$-14	04-25 20:19
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	2	$110	100	100	+0	open	—	01-25 18:18
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	5	$108	300	300	+0	open	—	04-22 18:07
Dreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$101	0	250	-250	open	—	05-28 18:28
P2P FDV above $15M one day after launch?	3	$98	270	270	+0	No	$-75	04-02 15:49
Will the US strike Somalia next?	2	$82	400	400	+0	open	—	02-19 16:41
will any of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	4	$80	100	100	+0	open	—	01-18 20:53
Unitas Labs FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$78	211	211	+0	Yes	$-36	03-14 07:08
will google gemini be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 23	2	$68	100	100	+0	open	—	01-18 07:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 17:00:39	ostium fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	237	57¢	$135	0x295eea…
06-09 15:51:10	ostium fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	237	58¢	$137	0x200b9c…
06-07 07:38:40	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	240	60¢	$144	0xe75da8…
06-05 16:51:09	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	240	50¢	$120	0x35961a…
06-03 14:45:30	Hyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	230	53¢	$122	0x36357f…
05-30 11:57:11	Hyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	17	50¢	$9	0x93fd3b…
05-30 11:57:01	Hyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	212	50¢	$106	0x9d5558…
05-28 18:28:06	Dreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	250	40¢	$101	0x5e5456…
05-18 18:04:37	Will Marvell Q1 Data Center revenue be above $1.85B?	Yes	SELL	257	38¢	$98	0x03759e…
05-18 18:04:11	Will Marvell Q1 Data Center revenue be above $1.85B?	Yes	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x2e481f…
05-17 15:50:31	Will Marvell Q1 Data Center revenue be above $1.85B?	Yes	BUY	270	39¢	$105	0x7640f0…
05-11 19:33:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on May 11?	No	BUY	979	0¢	$2	0xe266ce…
05-11 19:00:11	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on May 11?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x5cf244…
05-11 17:20:35	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on May 11?	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xfa8efe…
04-25 20:19:04	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	230	26¢	$60	0x3c6884…
04-24 16:09:32	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	230	32¢	$74	0x8e8e2b…
04-22 18:07:58	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0x2105ba…
04-22 17:34:12	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	296	18¢	$53	0xd71558…
04-21 19:39:56	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x3f3ce7…
04-21 19:36:40	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0xea6834…
04-21 19:27:26	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	280	18¢	$50	0xbb4cb0…
04-21 19:24:22	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$2	0xfa02b2…
04-21 08:48:48	Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	302	25¢	$76	0xb7b292…
04-20 18:24:08	Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	320	24¢	$77	0x24074a…
04-16 17:36:20	Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xefae91…
04-16 17:33:54	Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x0c5f29…
04-16 17:33:38	Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xd5b068…
04-16 17:33:20	Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xc681ee…
04-16 17:25:54	Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	265	11¢	$29	0x4e58e3…
04-13 16:02:51	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	240	40¢	$96	0x32e10a…
04-11 17:24:15	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	240	41¢	$98	0x8158c2…
04-11 06:22:09	Over $3M committed to the Fluent public sale?	Yes	SELL	300	25¢	$75	0x91d951…
04-10 18:18:25	will mrbeasts latest video get less than 72 million views on day 6	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x2690de…
04-10 18:11:21	OneFootball FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xa54757…
04-10 18:07:19	Over $3M committed to the Fluent public sale?	Yes	BUY	300	30¢	$90	0x0813b3…
04-10 14:55:35	OneFootball FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	228	1¢	$2	0xcf8c56…
04-08 16:29:03	OneFootball FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	230	4¢	$9	0x9b1b7a…
04-08 14:54:31	Fluent FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	141	18¢	$25	0x788c3c…
04-07 18:26:07	Fluent FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0x28247d…
04-07 17:16:41	Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	9¢	$18	0x07893d…
04-06 16:35:19	Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x4e6b81…
04-02 15:49:09	P2P FDV above $15M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0xa40f86…
04-02 14:02:53	P2P FDV above $15M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	246	4¢	$10	0xc27f06…
04-01 14:38:43	P2P FDV above $15M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	270	32¢	$86	0xd80d16…
03-29 08:11:22	Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	150	72¢	$108	0x171b60…
03-26 16:08:45	Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	150	69¢	$103	0x32a6d1…
03-24 17:41:07	Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	197	45¢	$89	0x5a90ce…
03-21 12:53:27	Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x015457…
03-21 07:52:21	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	250	54¢	$135	0x5d90c1…
03-19 19:37:15	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	250	48¢	$120	0x40fb82…
03-18 16:19:33	Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	58¢	$116	0xe2dcd5…
03-16 17:34:01	Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0xa36716…
03-14 07:08:21	Unitas Labs FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x5806d8…
03-14 07:01:29	Unitas Labs FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x4cfdc2…
03-13 19:59:07	Unitas Labs FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xc8d148…
03-13 19:58:39	Unitas Labs FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0xc6acac…
03-13 17:58:53	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0xc0099d…
03-12 20:09:03	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x0ab3d3…
03-11 15:07:47	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	200	63¢	$126	0xdb5821…
03-09 17:57:57	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x74be19…
03-09 17:05:47	will bitcoin outperform gold in march 2026	No	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0xe22b1c…
03-05 16:21:13	will bitcoin outperform gold in march 2026	No	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0x70ef50…
03-05 03:13:59	will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	Yes	SELL	60	47¢	$28	0x9c1ea7…
03-04 18:46:41	will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	Yes	SELL	60	45¢	$27	0x86a865…
03-04 18:13:45	will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	Yes	SELL	28	47¢	$13	0x892c35…
03-04 17:31:59	will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	Yes	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0xc17e8e…
03-04 17:26:43	will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x035b73…
03-04 17:26:41	will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	Yes	SELL	16	47¢	$8	0xfc69b4…
03-03 17:26:43	will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	Yes	BUY	250	67¢	$168	0x8e744c…
02-19 23:32:46	will the next dutch government be pvv ja21	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x7108bc…
02-19 17:24:58	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	190	71¢	$135	0x243d6b…
02-19 16:41:36	Will the US strike Somalia next?	No	SELL	400	1¢	$2	0xe7af6c…
02-18 20:50:42	will the next dutch government be pvv ja21	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x8a4dc0…
02-18 20:47:36	Will the US strike Somalia next?	No	BUY	400	20¢	$80	0x974a08…
02-16 20:25:37	will vertiv holdings vrt be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	No	SELL	73	31¢	$23	0x9aa2c3…
02-16 16:12:19	will vertiv holdings vrt be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	No	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xe97b04…
02-15 17:24:51	will vertiv holdings vrt be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	No	SELL	324	31¢	$100	0x654e6e…
02-13 18:38:35	Espresso FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,300	0¢	$1	0x7e418f…
02-12 19:50:25	will the fate of ophelia taylor swift be the 1 song on spotify this week 741	Yes	BUY	397	0¢	$0	0x38ef8f…
02-12 09:31:21	will the fate of ophelia taylor swift be the 1 song on spotify this week 741	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x3ce0a1…
02-12 06:56:49	will the fate of ophelia taylor swift be the 1 song on spotify this week 741	Yes	BUY	54	0¢	$0	0xfbef1c…
02-12 06:56:41	will the fate of ophelia taylor swift be the 1 song on spotify this week 741	Yes	BUY	289	0¢	$0	0xc31b7f…
02-11 22:37:37	will the fate of ophelia taylor swift be the 1 song on spotify this week 741	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6db55b…
02-11 20:49:05	will the fate of ophelia taylor swift be the 1 song on spotify this week 741	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xee9bd2…
02-11 19:01:57	will the fate of ophelia taylor swift be the 1 song on spotify this week 741	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0xfb85f7…
02-11 19:01:41	will the fate of ophelia taylor swift be the 1 song on spotify this week 741	Yes	BUY	1,400	0¢	$1	0x916202…
02-11 18:41:31	will vertiv holdings vrt be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	No	BUY	400	38¢	$152	0x8e6c67…
02-10 15:22:43	Superform FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	200	84¢	$169	0x46d63a…
02-09 19:56:59	Superform FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$167	0x6c8eda…
02-08 08:17:27	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	39¢	$78	0x4bdc93…
02-08 08:15:17	bitcoin above 68k on february 8	No	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xf3e29f…
02-07 18:52:07	bitcoin above 68k on february 8	No	BUY	50	19¢	$9	0xa08456…
02-07 18:46:57	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x2ada36…
02-07 18:37:45	Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	230	42¢	$97	0x8f984b…
02-07 08:52:59	Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	230	42¢	$97	0x91cb09…
02-01 05:11:32	Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x32923f…
01-30 17:17:44	Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x581903…
01-28 16:49:42	Will the US strike Somalia next?	No	SELL	200	4¢	$7	0xd3f0c9…
01-25 18:18:26	will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	No	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0xa9a252…
01-25 08:14:02	will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0xf6245e…