Hairy-Transplantation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

246

lifetime

Volume

$396

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-20

last 06-04 07:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

59% — —

Politics

21% 100% +$1

Other

16% — —

Sports

4% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes		+2	$1	54¢	$1	$-0	06-15 18:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	5	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	04-23 18:53
btc updown 5m 1776882000	10	$16	39	34	+5	open	—	04-22 18:24
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	04-21 20:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 08:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	04-22 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	04-25 20:55
btc updown 5m 1776881400	6	$13	17	13	+4	open	—	04-22 18:12
btc updown 5m 1776862200	10	$12	17	17	+0	open	—	04-22 12:53
btc updown 5m 1776863700	7	$11	16	15	+1	open	—	04-22 13:17
btc updown 5m 1776892200	5	$10	11	10	+0	open	—	04-22 21:13
btc updown 5m 1776862800	5	$8	15	14	+1	open	—	04-22 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	6	$8	11	10	+1	open	—	04-25 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	4	$7	12	10	+2	open	—	04-25 20:58
btc updown 5m 1776881100	3	$7	8	2	+6	open	—	04-22 18:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-27 20:03
btc updown 5m 1776931500	5	$7	11	6	+6	open	—	04-23 08:09
btc updown 5m 1776750900	2	$6	106	0	+106	open	—	04-21 06:00
btc updown 5m 1776932700	5	$6	12	7	+5	open	—	04-23 08:29
btc updown 5m 1776892500	4	$6	9	9	+1	open	—	04-22 21:19
btc updown 5m 1776853500	5	$5	16	6	+10	open	—	04-22 10:27
btc updown 5m 1776861900	3	$5	21	16	+5	open	—	04-22 12:49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-22 11:02
btc updown 5m 1776852300	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-22 10:08
btc updown 5m 1776881700	4	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-22 18:18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-21 20:00
btc updown 5m 1776864900	3	$5	7	6	+0	open	—	04-22 13:39
btc updown 5m 1776971100	4	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	04-23 19:09
btc updown 5m 1776884700	3	$5	6	5	+0	open	—	04-22 19:07
spx opens up or down on april 22 2026	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-22 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-25 18:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 18:39:09	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x69deb7…
06-04 07:52:28	will ferran torres score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc69b30…
05-30 09:18:56	Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets	Miami Marlins	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9a88cc…
05-30 09:18:43	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6556f5…
05-30 09:18:26	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x20eb41…
05-19 07:32:09	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x15a442…
05-18 20:44:41	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa46e9d…
05-18 13:53:19	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x039e22…
05-18 13:46:24	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x14821a…
05-18 13:45:56	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1b3b69…
05-18 13:45:27	Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x690972…
05-04 18:18:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xd7cdcb…
04-28 19:37:48	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x18a2c0…
04-28 14:29:26	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x584240…
04-28 14:28:56	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x7372aa…
04-27 20:03:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x9eda3c…
04-27 08:18:58	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xbaf0e8…
04-27 08:18:50	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xed5a4a…
04-27 08:18:44	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7d580c…
04-27 08:18:36	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xff94bc…
04-27 08:18:18	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7c76bb…
04-27 08:16:00	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x46cfdd…
04-26 10:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd259eb…
04-26 10:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x50e01b…
04-26 10:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x0c7bad…
04-26 10:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x08b1ff…
04-26 10:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x15aa8b…
04-26 09:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xaafc7f…
04-26 09:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb30470…
04-26 09:58:22	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc480e0…
04-26 08:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf4f030…
04-25 21:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd71502…
04-25 21:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xbb7dee…
04-25 21:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd52938…
04-25 21:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0x497dc4…
04-25 21:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa16fbd…
04-25 21:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xd080d7…
04-25 21:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x19f4db…
04-25 21:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xd68ddb…
04-25 21:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x21a0c4…
04-25 21:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf91db0…
04-25 21:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x29eea1…
04-25 20:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x015264…
04-25 20:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xbec36e…
04-25 20:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe661ee…
04-25 20:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6dc1af…
04-25 20:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x96d1d0…
04-25 20:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0x795976…
04-25 20:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3362a0…
04-25 19:23:42	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9d7999…
04-25 19:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$2	0xa027ef…
04-25 19:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x717f39…
04-25 19:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0xc3b3a9…
04-25 19:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xff917d…
04-25 19:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xa4c9f3…
04-25 19:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0ad393…
04-25 18:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x2612d8…
04-25 18:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe77250…
04-25 18:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf095a0…
04-25 18:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x17a8c1…
04-25 18:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x7d5174…
04-25 18:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd2cb45…
04-25 18:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe5c849…
04-25 16:47:38	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9be3a9…
04-25 16:47:26	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0d6ca6…
04-25 16:47:16	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x92228b…
04-25 08:46:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x44e6a1…
04-25 08:36:42	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe86be9…
04-25 08:36:14	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe605f5…
04-24 19:10:54	Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5	Over	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1ffb5a…
04-24 19:07:26	Spread: Celtics (-6.5)	76ers	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x932b7c…
04-24 16:06:10	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0xfe99d1…
04-24 15:58:24	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 25?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$0	0xf165af…
04-24 10:50:42	Nothing Ever Happens: April	Nothing	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6c9f98…
04-24 08:01:58	Spread: Rockets (-10.5)	Lakers	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xa754e9…
04-24 07:43:34	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x7aecf5…
04-23 19:42:28	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x40ce89…
04-23 19:42:14	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xdd42d2…
04-23 19:19:02	btc updown 5m 1776971700	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xce0f03…
04-23 19:09:20	btc updown 5m 1776971100	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5f6fa3…
04-23 19:08:46	btc updown 5m 1776971100	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x294871…
04-23 19:07:00	btc updown 5m 1776971100	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x12bdf0…
04-23 19:06:24	btc updown 5m 1776971100	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x82208d…
04-23 19:01:44	btc updown 5m 1776970800	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4ae07a…
04-23 18:53:42	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc64d1f…
04-23 08:43:58	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x229c55…
04-23 08:31:54	btc updown 5m 1776933000	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2ba418…
04-23 08:31:48	btc updown 5m 1776933000	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6f6a00…
04-23 08:29:48	btc updown 5m 1776932700	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x501c60…
04-23 08:28:40	btc updown 5m 1776932700	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x69de3e…
04-23 08:27:40	btc updown 5m 1776932700	Down	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xdcba6b…
04-23 08:26:32	btc updown 5m 1776932700	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xed3795…
04-23 08:26:10	btc updown 5m 1776932700	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8d4b8a…
04-23 08:12:34	btc updown 5m 1776931800	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x70a8ba…
04-23 08:12:12	btc updown 5m 1776931800	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x5e6e88…
04-23 08:11:12	btc updown 5m 1776931800	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x585abc…
04-23 08:09:20	btc updown 5m 1776931500	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb149cb…
04-23 08:08:54	btc updown 5m 1776931500	Up	SELL	4	69¢	$2	0x9acb4b…
04-23 08:08:36	btc updown 5m 1776931500	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2023ea…
04-23 08:07:46	btc updown 5m 1776931500	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x867dfd…