Known-Blinker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$196

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.8%

Resolved

135

Trades

662

lifetime

Volume

$15.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-17 18:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-196

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$228	197	197	+0	open	—	04-30 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$224	201	201	+0	Up	+$70	05-05 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$211	168	168	+0	Up	+$59	05-05 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$208	152	152	+0	open	—	04-30 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$205	138	138	+0	Up	+$51	05-05 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$203	214	214	+0	Down	+$49	05-05 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$197	151	151	+0	Up	+$43	05-05 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$195	127	127	+0	open	—	04-30 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$191	160	160	+0	Up	+$37	05-05 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	4	$191	203	203	+0	open	—	04-30 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$184	242	221	+21	open	—	04-30 13:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$182	143	143	+0	open	—	04-30 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$182	150	150	+0	open	—	04-30 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	4	$161	155	155	+0	Down	+$25	05-05 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$157	116	116	+0	open	—	04-30 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$153	128	128	+0	Down	+$43	05-05 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$151	112	112	+0	open	—	04-30 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$149	117	117	+0	Up	+$39	05-05 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$147	104	104	+0	open	—	04-30 21:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$147	111	111	+0	Down	+$29	05-05 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	3	$144	95	95	+0	open	—	04-30 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$143	108	108	+0	Down	+$33	05-05 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$140	139	139	+0	Up	+$34	05-05 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$137	203	203	+0	open	—	04-30 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$137	99	99	+0	open	—	04-30 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$136	172	172	+0	Down	$-44	05-05 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	5	$136	192	192	+0	open	—	04-30 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$135	91	91	+0	open	—	04-30 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	3	$133	88	88	+0	open	—	04-30 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$133	177	177	+0	open	—	04-30 20:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 18:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	235	6¢	$13	0x0608b4…
05-17 18:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x172595…
05-17 18:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	42	22¢	$9	0xc7f240…
05-17 18:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	36	44¢	$16	0xcccd2b…
05-17 18:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	59	31¢	$19	0xc3a92d…
05-17 18:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	59	44¢	$26	0x367c76…
05-17 18:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0xbe4ff6…
05-17 18:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	36	42¢	$15	0x8f06ba…
05-17 18:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	36	45¢	$16	0xbc7a06…
05-17 18:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x207545…
05-17 18:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6cf75c…
05-17 18:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	38	68¢	$26	0xb87775…
05-17 18:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	38	42¢	$16	0xa3b857…
05-17 18:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0xc12734…
05-17 18:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x461f0f…
05-17 18:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x22e730…
05-17 18:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0xf5ff64…
05-17 18:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9d4a73…
05-17 18:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	84	73¢	$61	0xea765b…
05-17 18:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	84	49¢	$42	0x688dbf…
05-17 18:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	52	31¢	$16	0xe9d739…
05-17 18:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	51	34¢	$18	0x09f7e2…
05-17 18:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	51	41¢	$21	0x63ad6a…
05-17 17:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	69	30¢	$21	0xfa8f0c…
05-17 17:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	51	42¢	$21	0xaa9bdb…
05-17 17:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xb1b655…
05-17 17:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	42	45¢	$19	0x3bfbcf…
05-17 17:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	42	38¢	$16	0x1da94a…
05-17 17:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	56	46¢	$26	0x899056…
05-17 17:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	56	29¢	$16	0x7848a6…
05-17 17:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	32	74¢	$24	0xfa193e…
05-17 17:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	32	65¢	$21	0x7bc8ef…
05-17 17:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf3d601…
05-17 17:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	52	75¢	$39	0x8ae275…
05-17 17:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	52	41¢	$21	0xf0be48…
05-17 17:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	25	69¢	$17	0x114c59…
05-17 17:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0x07f440…
05-17 17:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	47	36¢	$17	0x932290…
05-17 17:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	47	45¢	$21	0xfa6e2f…
05-17 17:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0xce710a…
05-17 17:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xe596d6…
05-14 18:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	66	48¢	$32	0xa09aed…
05-14 18:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	43	49¢	$21	0x3a7162…
05-14 18:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	30	72¢	$21	0x18434b…
05-14 18:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xe28db4…
05-14 18:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	49	57¢	$28	0x2346ee…
05-14 18:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	49	43¢	$21	0x5ed726…
05-14 18:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	13	34¢	$5	0xe0e721…
05-14 18:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x25f209…
05-14 18:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	33	34¢	$11	0xa69b2e…
05-14 18:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0xe3c564…
05-14 18:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	43	68¢	$29	0xd67c76…
05-14 18:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	43	49¢	$21	0x7a8045…
05-14 18:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x26a298…
05-14 18:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xed0c73…
05-14 18:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	57	78¢	$44	0x7bf08d…
05-14 18:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	57	46¢	$26	0x68d14f…
05-14 18:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	159	4¢	$6	0xe46b35…
05-14 18:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	29	11¢	$3	0xba95ec…
05-14 18:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0xf34f66…
05-14 17:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	25	70¢	$18	0x2e86be…
05-14 17:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0xca4b80…
05-13 18:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x7e31c0…
05-13 18:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	87	5¢	$4	0x1fb95a…
05-13 18:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	87	40¢	$35	0xa33f6e…
05-13 18:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xea3531…
05-13 18:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	42	43¢	$18	0x1b15da…
05-13 17:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xd5f30e…
05-13 17:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	17	58¢	$10	0x137f7f…
05-13 17:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x318fbd…
05-13 17:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	63¢	$7	0xe3b616…
05-13 17:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x130f3e…
05-13 17:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0x5f9e6e…
05-13 17:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x4b6201…
05-13 17:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	18	37¢	$7	0x07021d…
05-13 17:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xe1bab1…
05-13 17:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	62	61¢	$38	0xc9a59b…
05-13 17:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	62	47¢	$29	0xb984e3…
05-13 17:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xfbb21d…
05-13 17:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x41574c…
05-13 17:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	30	61¢	$18	0xdf4cb2…
05-13 17:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x69591b…
05-13 17:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x80e01e…
05-13 17:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x59c1c7…
05-13 17:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x5cdac8…
05-13 17:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	43	53¢	$23	0x81f776…
05-13 17:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	43	42¢	$18	0xf540fe…
05-13 17:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x198ec8…
05-13 17:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	31	65¢	$20	0x665e42…
05-13 17:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	58¢	$18	0x4ec36d…
05-13 17:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0xd05219…
05-13 17:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x44eaf5…
05-13 17:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	35	63¢	$22	0xc6acfb…
05-13 17:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0xe13faf…
05-13 17:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	38	67¢	$25	0xe226ad…
05-13 17:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	38	48¢	$18	0x2e67a7…
05-13 17:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	38	79¢	$30	0xd834ed…
05-13 17:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	38	48¢	$18	0x87ad37…
05-13 17:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	37	62¢	$23	0x75e9df…
05-13 17:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	37	48¢	$18	0xb8875d…