Assured-Fashion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$203

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 07-03 21:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 60% $-15

Other

27% — —

Politics

5% — —

Sports

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	4	$20	146	0	+146	Down	$-20	05-12 03:51
btc updown 5m 1776922200	2	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	04-23 05:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-12 04:00
will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-15 19:54
fif esp ser 2026 03 27 btts	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	03-27 19:49
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	1	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	03-24 13:04
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	07-03 21:25
btc updown 5m 1776918600	2	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	04-23 04:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$6	18	0	+18	open	—	04-28 06:37
wbc ita ven 2026 03 16	2	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	03-15 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	04-28 06:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	1	$5	250	0	+250	Up	$-5	05-12 04:21
nba nyk bkn 2026 03 20 spread away 17pt5	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	03-20 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-28 08:35
btc updown 5m 1776919800	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-23 04:52
btc updown 5m 1776920100	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 04:57
btc updown 5m 1776918900	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-23 04:35
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	1	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	04-08 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-12 04:06
lal bar sev 2026 03 15 bar	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-15 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	04-28 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	3	$4	4	2	+1	Up	+$0	05-12 04:25
btc updown 5m 1775602800	2	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	04-07 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$3	11	0	+11	open	—	04-28 06:53
btc updown 5m 1775691600	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-08 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-27 19:35
btc updown 5m 1775602500	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-07 22:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$3	12	0	+12	Down	+$5	05-11 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$3	05-11 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-11 22:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 21:25:04	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x0009b0…
05-14 16:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe4db74…
05-12 04:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x70c99a…
05-12 04:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xeca934…
05-12 04:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x375c10…
05-12 04:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x761630…
05-12 04:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0c5f80…
05-12 04:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xd65695…
05-12 04:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x5f6ccd…
05-12 04:00:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x6d6dd7…
05-12 03:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x219cae…
05-12 03:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x9e303c…
05-12 03:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x5a7949…
05-12 03:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xda2e0b…
05-11 23:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xebe63f…
05-11 22:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x70122a…
05-11 13:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf50027…
05-11 13:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xc06905…
05-11 12:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xea4d67…
05-11 11:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1ba642…
04-29 15:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x950517…
04-29 01:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6b4592…
04-29 01:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x11a0e8…
04-28 08:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf41c74…
04-28 06:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xbf2660…
04-28 06:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xace9f4…
04-28 06:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x97da81…
04-28 06:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x244ba3…
04-28 06:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x3660a6…
04-28 06:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa944db…
04-28 06:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xc61207…
04-27 19:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x962e22…
04-23 05:34:08	btc updown 5m 1776922200	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0d0fb1…
04-23 05:30:32	btc updown 5m 1776922200	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x8f1c79…
04-23 05:26:34	btc updown 5m 1776921900	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xd62db7…
04-23 04:57:42	btc updown 5m 1776920100	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1626a9…
04-23 04:52:56	btc updown 5m 1776919800	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x088c96…
04-23 04:48:22	btc updown 5m 1776919500	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa282d5…
04-23 04:35:32	btc updown 5m 1776918900	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x33b61f…
04-23 04:32:32	btc updown 5m 1776918600	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xc8faff…
04-23 04:31:32	btc updown 5m 1776918600	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x8a77f5…
04-18 16:37:32	bun ein lei 2026 04 18 lei	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe005b4…
04-18 16:32:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x230eaf…
04-08 23:43:55	Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xc10258…
04-08 23:42:31	btc updown 5m 1775691600	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x9f0166…
04-07 23:02:45	btc updown 5m 1775602800	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd2f349…
04-07 23:02:23	btc updown 5m 1775602800	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xe8ce0f…
04-07 22:57:27	btc updown 5m 1775602500	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x84c366…
03-27 19:49:11	fif esp ser 2026 03 27 btts	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x69b1c8…
03-24 13:04:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x0860c5…
03-20 17:13:51	nba nyk bkn 2026 03 20 spread away 17pt5	Nets	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdecbbd…
03-15 19:54:31	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xcf32c5…
03-15 13:54:37	wbc ita ven 2026 03 16	Italy	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xac7bd6…
03-15 13:54:29	wbc ita ven 2026 03 16	Venezuela	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x4a90b4…
03-15 13:53:43	lal bar sev 2026 03 15 bar	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x227ad5…