Soft-Abnormality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$145

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-12 09:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

55% 0% $-10

Crypto

23% 100% +$0

Politics

14% 100% +$1

Sports

7% 0% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$28	21	21	+0	open	—	05-12 09:53
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	05-12 09:54
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	1	$10	339	0	+339	open	—	04-25 23:23
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	1	$10	5,000	0	+5,000	No	$-10	04-26 21:09
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-03 18:58
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	1	$10	19	0	+19	No	$-10	05-06 14:21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$10	111	0	+111	open	—	05-03 18:57
AC Milan vs. Juventus FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	04-25 23:56
Fabio Miretti: Anytime Goalscorer	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 23:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 23:21
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-03 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	04-27 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-07 13:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 09:54:47	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x802746…
05-12 09:53:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	86¢	$18	0x0c3dcd…
05-07 13:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x8c1bb7…
05-07 13:29:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x432e3c…
05-06 14:21:48	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x7e334a…
05-03 18:58:02	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x7395e8…
05-03 18:57:42	FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xb5bf50…
05-03 18:57:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xea5fa8…
04-27 13:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe55b42…
04-26 21:09:34	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x38d826…
04-25 23:56:14	AC Milan vs. Juventus FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xc43fbd…
04-25 23:55:06	Fabio Miretti: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5e3fe2…
04-25 23:27:08	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x5a15b3…
04-25 23:23:50	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	339	3¢	$10	0x025940…
04-25 23:21:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd03839…