Precious-Transition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$156

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.8%

Resolved

Trades

317

lifetime

Volume

$1.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-15 17:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 56% $-156

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$105	114	0	+114	Up	+$9	05-07 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$95	130	0	+130	Down	$-95	05-08 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	5	$69	50	50	+0	Down	+$9	05-07 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$57	37	37	+0	Down	+$7	05-07 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	6	$48	69	56	+13	Down	$-2	05-08 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	7	$41	44	34	+11	Up	+$1	05-07 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$41	22	22	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 13:53
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$40	60	0	+60	Up	$-40	05-07 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	5	$34	186	51	+135	Down	$-5	05-07 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	6	$32	42	42	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	3	$31	40	19	+20	Up	$-9	05-07 14:08
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$30	28	28	+0	open	—	05-15 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	5	$29	38	30	+7	Up	+$6	05-12 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	6	$27	111	89	+22	Down	$-4	05-12 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	4	$26	44	15	+29	Down	$-12	05-07 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$26	39	0	+39	Down	$-15	05-07 07:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	7	$25	40	40	+0	Down	+$5	05-07 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	5	$24	33	27	+6	Down	$-0	05-07 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	5	$23	35	28	+7	Down	+$0	05-12 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	4	$23	16	11	+5	open	—	05-14 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	3	$22	23	10	+13	Up	+$5	05-07 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	4	$22	20	20	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$20	24	0	+24	Down	+$4	05-07 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$18	20	20	+0	Down	$-2	05-08 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	4	$18	32	32	+0	Up	$-12	05-07 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$16	32	23	+9	Up	+$6	05-12 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	3	$16	14	9	+5	Down	+$1	05-12 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	4	$16	20	7	+13	Down	$-1	05-12 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	3	$16	67	36	+31	Down	$-4	05-08 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	5	$15	10	8	+2	Up	$-1	05-12 17:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 17:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf7fae7…
05-15 17:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x595dae…
05-15 17:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x55e918…
05-15 17:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x36f2e1…
05-15 17:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc465fc…
05-15 17:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x597902…
05-15 17:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0x0afa0f…
05-15 17:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4419b6…
05-15 17:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xc87021…
05-15 17:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6e7a27…
05-15 16:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x442805…
05-15 16:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x401d61…
05-15 16:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x600a77…
05-15 16:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xfe7185…
05-15 16:54:15	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	28	71¢	$20	0x4a9f5a…
05-15 07:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x86af13…
05-15 07:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3485c7…
05-15 06:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1d029d…
05-15 06:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x328684…
05-15 06:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x701f1c…
05-15 06:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa9d035…
05-15 06:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xece476…
05-14 17:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	62¢	$5	0x9d5614…
05-14 17:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1a811a…
05-14 17:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbfd350…
05-14 17:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x579040…
05-14 17:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x493826…
05-14 17:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3dcfa1…
05-14 17:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb8f087…
05-14 17:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x6ac7a7…
05-14 17:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xdcfa67…
05-14 17:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf10d3e…
05-14 17:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x52de34…
05-14 17:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x92bf59…
05-14 17:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x7257e1…
05-14 17:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb7a931…
05-14 17:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x1e2ec1…
05-14 17:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x19fd6e…
05-14 15:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x69cea8…
05-14 15:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x1e51b6…
05-14 15:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xcf088a…
05-14 15:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x638223…
05-14 15:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xb88872…
05-14 15:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb9bcc5…
05-14 15:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x945afe…
05-14 15:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc25b62…
05-14 15:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x6f9db3…
05-14 15:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x347cf7…
05-14 15:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x87ab4c…
05-14 15:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x99ab17…
05-14 15:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xde6664…
05-14 15:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x997add…
05-14 15:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x3bee06…
05-14 15:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe715cb…
05-14 15:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x50f58c…
05-14 15:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8b7ce9…
05-14 15:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xec8ba3…
05-14 15:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x3388c2…
05-14 15:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf58754…
05-14 15:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xeac7fe…
05-14 15:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa9f7fa…
05-14 15:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xbe8ca5…
05-14 15:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0b7b28…
05-14 15:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0xebfc58…
05-14 15:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x08246f…
05-14 15:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x4f7539…
05-14 15:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x04cf7c…
05-14 15:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x31235c…
05-14 15:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x05379c…
05-14 14:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5f51b2…
05-14 14:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1119b2…
05-14 14:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0xb94017…
05-14 14:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x791645…
05-14 14:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x5e04ca…
05-14 14:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xab8f4f…
05-14 14:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xd29821…
05-14 14:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7a57aa…
05-14 14:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x52fbea…
05-14 14:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xaec7f4…
05-14 14:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe6c816…
05-14 14:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdd30a1…
05-14 13:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa545d4…
05-14 13:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x30137e…
05-14 13:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x0795de…
05-14 13:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x40b6ff…
05-14 13:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa0d6d8…
05-14 13:29:13	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x393070…
05-14 12:29:47	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xc6f6d9…
05-14 12:29:17	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x0bf620…
05-14 12:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	11	94¢	$11	0xa115ec…
05-14 12:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x66348e…
05-14 12:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd01cf9…
05-14 12:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x92ddb4…
05-14 12:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x9dfe41…
05-14 12:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4773d9…
05-14 12:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x2e2104…
05-14 12:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf46d8d…
05-14 12:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xd7fb3b…
05-14 12:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x08f090…
05-14 12:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x835a2f…