Mild-Twitter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.2%

Resolved

Trades

268

lifetime

Volume

$3.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 06-11 16:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

63% — —

Other

37% 50% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 28?	10	$469	440	440	+0	open	—	04-28 13:35
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	8	$287	510	510	+0	Up	+$3	05-07 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	5	$244	176	176	+0	open	—	05-18 15:01
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 14?	2	$119	111	111	+0	open	—	05-14 11:46
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 13?	2	$105	100	100	+0	No	+$1	05-13 12:38
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?	2	$86	95	95	+0	open	—	05-01 08:04
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	3	$69	73	73	+0	open	—	05-15 05:12
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	1	$50	500	0	+500	open	—	05-15 11:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	4	$45	38	38	+0	open	—	05-18 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	7	$44	67	67	+0	open	—	05-18 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	5	$44	40	40	+0	open	—	05-18 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	5	$43	46	35	+11	open	—	05-18 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$43	52	26	+27	open	—	05-18 16:04
btc updown 5m 1780913100	2	$43	33	33	+0	open	—	06-08 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$30	23	23	+0	open	—	05-26 16:53
btc updown 5m 1781092500	2	$30	30	30	+0	open	—	06-10 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$28	27	27	+0	open	—	05-20 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$27	29	29	+0	open	—	05-26 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	4	$27	35	35	+0	open	—	05-21 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$26	22	22	+0	open	—	05-16 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	05-18 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	5	$25	30	20	+10	open	—	05-18 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	3	$25	29	16	+14	open	—	05-25 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$25	22	22	+0	open	—	05-18 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$24	18	18	+0	open	—	05-18 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$24	21	21	+0	open	—	05-18 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	05-29 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	05-21 11:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$23	22	22	+0	open	—	05-18 10:11
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 8?	2	$22	16	16	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 06:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 16:33:31	btc updown 5m 1781195400	Down	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0xeb6294…
06-11 16:33:07	btc updown 5m 1781195400	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x02dcaa…
06-11 16:26:22	btc updown 5m 1781195100	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x534997…
06-11 16:21:52	btc updown 5m 1781194800	Up	SELL	21	39¢	$8	0x2046af…
06-11 16:20:30	btc updown 5m 1781194800	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xf4d0df…
06-11 16:10:34	btc updown 5m 1781194200	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x2879aa…
06-11 16:05:54	btc updown 5m 1781193900	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x4764eb…
06-10 12:27:31	btc updown 5m 1781094300	Down	SELL	26	24¢	$6	0x6aaaef…
06-10 12:25:33	btc updown 5m 1781094300	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x1b3bcc…
06-10 12:21:01	btc updown 5m 1781094000	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x39e789…
06-10 11:56:46	btc updown 5m 1781092500	Down	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0x35d5fd…
06-10 11:55:16	btc updown 5m 1781092500	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x67e66d…
06-10 11:52:57	btc updown 5m 1781092200	Down	SELL	26	10¢	$3	0x645c82…
06-10 11:50:39	btc updown 5m 1781092200	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x4897bf…
06-10 11:43:58	btc updown 5m 1781091600	Down	SELL	28	5¢	$1	0xcb7e70…
06-10 11:40:46	btc updown 5m 1781091600	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x1da27e…
06-10 11:29:51	btc updown 5m 1781091000	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x1f84a4…
06-09 17:45:43	btc updown 5m 1781027100	Down	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0x5a6288…
06-08 10:10:10	btc updown 5m 1780913100	Down	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xb783cf…
06-08 10:06:51	btc updown 5m 1780913100	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xc04b96…
06-08 09:56:15	btc updown 5m 1780912500	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xcf097c…
06-08 09:26:01	btc updown 5m 1780910700	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xfc984b…
06-06 14:13:27	btc updown 5m 1780755000	Down	SELL	18	14¢	$3	0xfb8d77…
06-06 14:10:39	btc updown 5m 1780755000	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x8a03a8…
05-31 17:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	28	12¢	$3	0x381bc7…
05-31 17:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x072d30…
05-29 17:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xb5d7c3…
05-29 17:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2d8f46…
05-29 16:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xa33632…
05-29 16:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xce9482…
05-29 11:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	19	42¢	$8	0xf9128b…
05-29 11:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x1e539c…
05-29 07:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0x15a87b…
05-29 07:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xdadc9a…
05-29 06:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	29	20¢	$6	0x848990…
05-29 06:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xf056cc…
05-29 05:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0x8ea9c9…
05-29 05:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x76b848…
05-27 18:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xced289…
05-27 14:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x773a95…
05-26 18:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	29	59¢	$17	0x35821f…
05-26 18:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xa3d4a9…
05-26 18:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	19	57¢	$11	0x113151…
05-26 18:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xfd8a0f…
05-26 18:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	21	25¢	$5	0x963e6d…
05-26 18:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x40c393…
05-26 18:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	18	41¢	$7	0xfbfc89…
05-26 18:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xf7065f…
05-26 16:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	23	88¢	$20	0x44991e…
05-26 16:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xd09890…
05-25 18:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x4a93b6…
05-25 17:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x885bd5…
05-25 17:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	16	31¢	$5	0xb7df90…
05-25 17:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xe253d3…
05-25 09:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xf50bad…
05-25 09:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x66db9a…
05-25 09:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xfa27ce…
05-25 09:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0xdbe898…
05-25 09:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xd05644…
05-25 09:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	23	29¢	$7	0x28ffaa…
05-25 09:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xf896a5…
05-23 16:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x60e05c…
05-21 16:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0x62338e…
05-21 16:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xfd8318…
05-21 16:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xbbe755…
05-21 16:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	17	15¢	$3	0x79c33f…
05-21 16:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xa2871b…
05-21 15:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	24	14¢	$3	0x3f8148…
05-21 15:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xd7b574…
05-21 13:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	28	36¢	$10	0x17a816…
05-21 13:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x069ab8…
05-21 13:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x6f28ed…
05-21 13:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x6c2869…
05-21 12:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	19	30¢	$6	0x37244a…
05-21 12:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x33846d…
05-21 11:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	20	68¢	$13	0xdddeca…
05-21 11:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3b3917…
05-21 11:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	22	55¢	$12	0x15499a…
05-21 11:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xb912fc…
05-21 11:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	12	37¢	$4	0xae7144…
05-21 11:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x4313eb…
05-21 11:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	23	12¢	$3	0xf689d5…
05-21 11:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xc41e84…
05-21 11:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	21	28¢	$6	0x13628f…
05-21 11:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xc5a76e…
05-21 11:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xc6d2ed…
05-21 06:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	29	40¢	$12	0x43c024…
05-21 06:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x737854…
05-20 18:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	27	65¢	$18	0x64f02f…
05-20 18:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x217c4f…
05-20 18:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x486653…
05-20 18:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xab9e6e…
05-20 18:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0xc503b4…
05-20 18:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x36b322…
05-20 16:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	48	33¢	$16	0xdef9df…
05-18 16:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xf50614…
05-18 16:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xb2898a…
05-18 16:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc3b668…
05-18 16:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x8f64ca…
05-18 16:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3c81a2…