Vibrant-Cleft — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$31

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-20 13:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 17% $-9

Other

16% — —

Politics

13% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$5	100	0	+100	open	—	05-20 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	3	$3	10	7	+3	Down	$-1	05-12 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$2	1,100	0	+1,100	Down	$-2	05-12 20:43
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$2	31	0	+31	open	—	05-13 13:34
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?	2	$2	10	10	+0	Yes	$-0	05-11 15:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$2	12	12	+0	open	—	05-17 09:57
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$1	131	131	+0	open	—	05-12 20:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$1	333	333	+0	open	—	05-17 09:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	1	$1	125	0	+125	No	$-1	05-10 22:13
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	1	$1	111	0	+111	open	—	05-13 13:42
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	1	$1	71	0	+71	No	$-1	05-10 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	1	$1	60	0	+60	open	—	05-15 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	Up	$-1	05-12 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	Down	$-1	05-12 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$1	14	0	+14	Down	$-1	05-12 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-12 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$1	17	0	+17	Up	$-1	05-12 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-12 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$0	13	0	+13	Down	$-0	05-12 20:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 13:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xde8fa4…
05-17 09:57:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x554296…
05-17 09:56:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$0	0xb64871…
05-15 13:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x5ca915…
05-13 13:57:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x5d83c7…
05-13 13:42:49	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xdc02ec…
05-13 13:34:57	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x210f81…
05-13 13:19:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xbb695c…
05-12 21:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd82b30…
05-12 21:21:36	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x301c77…
05-12 21:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc0c9d8…
05-12 21:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf3478b…
05-12 20:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0xa257d7…
05-12 20:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8ac2fa…
05-12 20:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc284d3…
05-12 20:30:11	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	131	0¢	$0	0x1901f1…
05-12 12:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8e7d0e…
05-12 12:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0xe31aeb…
05-12 12:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc46c3b…
05-12 12:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe5969b…
05-12 12:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x80181c…
05-12 11:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x0cc7d6…
05-12 11:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xaf38b2…
05-12 11:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x640cb3…
05-11 15:31:02	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	131	1¢	$1	0x30ed5f…
05-11 15:29:46	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xb62a07…
05-10 22:15:35	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb256de…
05-10 22:13:15	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x515f3b…
05-10 22:13:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xf6aeae…