Polished-Obligation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$71

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.7%

Resolved

Trades

187

lifetime

Volume

$2.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 06-14 16:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 61% +$71

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$212	116	116	+0	Up	+$12	05-12 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	5	$177	163	163	+0	open	—	05-16 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$160	98	98	+0	Down	+$12	05-12 05:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	3	$123	105	71	+34	Up	+$17	05-12 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	3	$118	71	71	+0	Down	+$8	05-12 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$111	85	85	+0	Up	$-9	05-12 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	4	$99	67	67	+0	Up	$-11	05-12 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$87	49	49	+0	Down	+$7	05-12 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	6	$87	72	72	+0	Down	$-3	05-12 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	6	$81	66	66	+0	Down	+$21	05-11 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	5	$72	66	66	+0	Up	$-8	05-12 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	5	$65	67	47	+19	open	—	05-16 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	3	$55	45	31	+14	open	—	05-16 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$54	50	50	+0	Down	+$14	05-12 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$53	40	40	+0	Up	+$13	05-12 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	4	$51	54	36	+18	open	—	05-16 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	4	$50	41	40	+0	open	—	05-16 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	3	$49	59	20	+39	Down	+$4	05-12 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	3	$41	36	22	+14	open	—	05-16 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	3	$40	52	52	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 05:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	4	$38	61	10	+52	open	—	05-16 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	3	$33	24	24	+0	Down	+$13	05-12 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	3	$33	39	24	+14	open	—	05-16 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$32	24	24	+0	open	—	05-15 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	3	$31	32	16	+16	Up	+$6	05-12 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	6	$30	60	60	+0	open	—	05-16 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$29	19	19	+0	Up	+$9	05-11 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$29	19	19	+0	Down	+$9	05-11 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	3	$29	29	16	+13	open	—	05-16 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	4	$28	39	39	+0	open	—	05-15 17:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 16:59:06	btc updown 5m 1781456100	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xc19d32…
06-14 16:58:45	btc updown 5m 1781456100	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x10968b…
06-14 16:54:03	btc updown 5m 1781455800	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x72e0c3…
06-14 16:53:55	btc updown 5m 1781455800	Down	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0xcac132…
06-14 16:51:16	btc updown 5m 1781455800	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd8d689…
06-04 00:59:12	btc updown 5m 1780534500	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa51cdc…
06-04 00:53:36	btc updown 5m 1780534200	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x98e08f…
06-04 00:52:49	btc updown 5m 1780534200	Down	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0xca4ae8…
06-04 00:52:04	btc updown 5m 1780534200	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x695fe6…
05-30 05:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf53fb7…
05-30 05:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xfd9285…
05-30 05:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x61503f…
05-22 23:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x05a09e…
05-22 23:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0xeaa989…
05-22 23:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x85c69f…
05-22 23:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x93e5c9…
05-22 23:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xbcb275…
05-22 23:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4f97c8…
05-22 22:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xed9250…
05-22 22:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xb620b8…
05-22 22:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x70e983…
05-22 02:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0x8adc0b…
05-22 02:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x09a9b2…
05-22 02:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x54deee…
05-22 02:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4c2c6b…
05-17 22:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0xa61b78…
05-17 22:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x666b08…
05-17 22:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x2382a5…
05-17 22:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x563f1b…
05-17 22:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0xd230ee…
05-17 22:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x1bbbb4…
05-17 22:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x26814f…
05-17 03:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x40bfab…
05-17 03:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x9fc1c6…
05-17 03:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc0643c…
05-17 03:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x131c56…
05-17 03:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x334f36…
05-17 03:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcb929c…
05-16 07:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x9ec584…
05-16 07:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	33	37¢	$12	0xf70792…
05-16 07:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x02e9d9…
05-16 07:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xae2e0b…
05-16 07:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x4f026d…
05-16 07:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3a6288…
05-16 07:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x321f51…
05-16 07:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x4e81e9…
05-16 07:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xa6c4c6…
05-16 07:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x2e157c…
05-16 07:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x664f18…
05-16 07:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xef8f26…
05-16 07:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	16	86¢	$14	0xff9953…
05-16 07:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x7fb432…
05-16 07:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x3c1d3d…
05-16 07:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x75b299…
05-16 07:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	19	65¢	$12	0x41dae2…
05-16 07:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x1f2701…
05-16 06:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x69f945…
05-16 06:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xc452b7…
05-16 06:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0x67162b…
05-16 06:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x330f47…
05-16 06:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	18	24¢	$4	0x5f58b9…
05-16 06:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	13	66¢	$9	0x656d0e…
05-16 06:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x71e5f1…
05-16 06:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x9ea01d…
05-16 06:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	12	71¢	$8	0x1d1f15…
05-16 06:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xec2f8e…
05-16 06:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x576b34…
05-16 06:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	33	9¢	$3	0x7082b0…
05-16 06:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xd7bf18…
05-16 06:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	18	78¢	$14	0x5568c8…
05-16 06:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	71	29¢	$21	0x70653e…
05-16 06:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	74	50¢	$37	0xb258a1…
05-16 06:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xfaed34…
05-16 06:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x9f102e…
05-16 06:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0x959b89…
05-16 06:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xd4baf7…
05-16 06:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x428cb6…
05-16 06:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x20d040…
05-16 06:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x0ded68…
05-16 06:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x500da8…
05-16 06:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	27	62¢	$17	0xf87a1a…
05-16 06:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x5a24e8…
05-16 06:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xbde858…
05-16 06:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xce0032…
05-16 06:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x379c3f…
05-16 06:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x8a879a…
05-16 06:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x14a3eb…
05-16 06:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	19	53¢	$10	0xc17102…
05-16 06:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x542433…
05-16 06:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc6f63a…
05-16 06:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	24	91¢	$22	0x23b951…
05-16 06:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x49bc32…
05-16 06:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xe5e559…
05-16 06:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	36	73¢	$26	0x050a9f…
05-16 06:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xc41749…
05-16 06:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x60116b…
05-15 17:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	24	89¢	$22	0xd86416…
05-15 17:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x53c93f…
05-15 17:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	25	9¢	$2	0x4c4414…
05-15 17:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xa36104…