Polished-Obligation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$71

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.7%

Resolved

Trades

236

lifetime

Volume

$3.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 07-06 05:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 61% +$71

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$212	116	116	+0	Up	+$12	05-12 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	5	$177	163	163	+0	open	—	05-16 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$160	98	98	+0	Down	+$12	05-12 05:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	3	$123	105	71	+34	Up	+$17	05-12 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	3	$118	71	71	+0	Down	+$8	05-12 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$111	85	85	+0	Up	$-9	05-12 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	4	$99	67	67	+0	Up	$-11	05-12 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$87	49	49	+0	Down	+$7	05-12 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	6	$87	72	72	+0	Down	$-3	05-12 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	6	$81	66	66	+0	Down	+$21	05-11 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	5	$72	66	66	+0	Up	$-8	05-12 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	5	$65	67	47	+19	open	—	05-16 06:29
btc updown 5m 1782975000	6	$64	65	65	+0	open	—	07-02 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	3	$55	45	31	+14	open	—	05-16 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$54	50	50	+0	Down	+$14	05-12 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$53	40	40	+0	Up	+$13	05-12 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	4	$51	54	36	+18	open	—	05-16 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	4	$50	41	40	+0	open	—	05-16 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	3	$49	59	20	+39	Down	+$4	05-12 06:24
btc updown 5m 1783315800	4	$48	41	41	+0	open	—	07-06 05:34
btc updown 5m 1783142400	2	$43	28	28	+0	open	—	07-04 05:21
btc updown 5m 1783142100	2	$42	23	23	+0	open	—	07-04 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	3	$41	36	22	+14	open	—	05-16 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	3	$40	52	52	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 05:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	4	$38	61	10	+52	open	—	05-16 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	3	$33	24	24	+0	Down	+$13	05-12 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	3	$33	39	24	+14	open	—	05-16 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$32	24	24	+0	open	—	05-15 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	3	$31	32	16	+16	Up	+$6	05-12 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	6	$30	60	60	+0	open	—	05-16 06:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 05:43:25	btc updown 5m 1783316400	Up	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x42b404…
07-06 05:43:08	btc updown 5m 1783316400	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x762d2c…
07-06 05:34:55	btc updown 5m 1783315800	Up	SELL	23	50¢	$11	0xdbde7a…
07-06 05:34:43	btc updown 5m 1783315800	Up	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0xc26c9d…
07-06 05:34:08	btc updown 5m 1783315800	Down	SELL	18	83¢	$15	0x2ef099…
07-06 05:30:56	btc updown 5m 1783315800	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xacfd55…
07-06 05:28:17	btc updown 5m 1783315500	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x7be2bc…
07-06 05:26:58	btc updown 5m 1783315500	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x29ec3d…
07-06 05:23:53	btc updown 5m 1783315200	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x2426f7…
07-06 05:22:37	btc updown 5m 1783315200	Down	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0x3de575…
07-06 05:20:40	btc updown 5m 1783315200	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x8f4ad7…
07-06 05:19:04	btc updown 5m 1783314900	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x62d7f4…
07-06 05:10:29	btc updown 5m 1783314600	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xa7c2e0…
07-06 05:08:26	btc updown 5m 1783314300	Down	SELL	16	69¢	$11	0xf0319e…
07-06 05:07:22	btc updown 5m 1783314300	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x13075f…
07-06 05:07:05	btc updown 5m 1783314300	Down	SELL	12	28¢	$3	0x8600e3…
07-06 05:05:58	btc updown 5m 1783314300	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x1145d8…
07-06 05:02:47	btc updown 5m 1783314000	Down	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0x395ea8…
07-06 05:01:07	btc updown 5m 1783314000	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x9135bd…
07-06 04:58:01	btc updown 5m 1783313700	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x3623d7…
07-05 02:39:13	btc updown 5m 1783218900	Down	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0x0e0408…
07-05 02:35:16	btc updown 5m 1783218900	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x50f910…
07-04 06:28:10	btc updown 5m 1783146300	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc00d97…
07-04 06:27:34	btc updown 5m 1783146300	Down	SELL	25	67¢	$17	0x2ab79b…
07-04 06:25:31	btc updown 5m 1783146300	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x392d2a…
07-04 06:21:59	btc updown 5m 1783146000	Down	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0x17a563…
07-04 06:21:26	btc updown 5m 1783146000	Down	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x4d896a…
07-04 06:18:17	btc updown 5m 1783145700	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa2a772…
07-04 06:14:38	btc updown 5m 1783145400	Down	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0x6113c1…
07-04 06:12:56	btc updown 5m 1783145400	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3b9525…
07-04 06:10:44	btc updown 5m 1783145400	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6843f4…
07-04 05:21:40	btc updown 5m 1783142400	Down	SELL	28	85¢	$23	0x665aa3…
07-04 05:20:58	btc updown 5m 1783142400	Down	BUY	28	73¢	$20	0x7f5f71…
07-04 05:19:14	btc updown 5m 1783142100	Down	SELL	23	94¢	$22	0xb73376…
07-04 05:19:07	btc updown 5m 1783142100	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xe62fb5…
07-02 07:08:28	btc updown 5m 1782975900	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xd9a761…
07-02 07:08:01	btc updown 5m 1782975900	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf537aa…
07-02 07:01:41	btc updown 5m 1782975600	Down	SELL	19	61¢	$12	0xb538a0…
07-02 07:01:26	btc updown 5m 1782975600	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xcbf68d…
07-02 06:56:20	btc updown 5m 1782975300	Down	SELL	19	67¢	$13	0xc3a820…
07-02 06:56:01	btc updown 5m 1782975300	Down	BUY	19	58¢	$11	0x809e37…
07-02 06:54:52	btc updown 5m 1782975000	Down	SELL	19	35¢	$6	0x448ce8…
07-02 06:54:32	btc updown 5m 1782975000	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xf3e207…
07-02 06:51:38	btc updown 5m 1782975000	Down	SELL	26	61¢	$16	0xaeaa20…
07-02 06:51:22	btc updown 5m 1782975000	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x483a79…
07-02 06:50:31	btc updown 5m 1782975000	Down	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xfb577b…
07-02 06:50:16	btc updown 5m 1782975000	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6b0c71…
07-02 06:46:19	btc updown 5m 1782974700	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xbfee19…
07-02 06:42:19	btc updown 5m 1782974400	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x53684f…
06-14 16:59:06	btc updown 5m 1781456100	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xc19d32…
06-14 16:58:45	btc updown 5m 1781456100	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x10968b…
06-14 16:54:03	btc updown 5m 1781455800	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x72e0c3…
06-14 16:53:55	btc updown 5m 1781455800	Down	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0xcac132…
06-14 16:51:16	btc updown 5m 1781455800	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd8d689…
06-04 00:59:12	btc updown 5m 1780534500	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa51cdc…
06-04 00:53:36	btc updown 5m 1780534200	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x98e08f…
06-04 00:52:49	btc updown 5m 1780534200	Down	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0xca4ae8…
06-04 00:52:04	btc updown 5m 1780534200	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x695fe6…
05-30 05:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf53fb7…
05-30 05:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xfd9285…
05-30 05:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x61503f…
05-22 23:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x05a09e…
05-22 23:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0xeaa989…
05-22 23:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x85c69f…
05-22 23:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x93e5c9…
05-22 23:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xbcb275…
05-22 23:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4f97c8…
05-22 22:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xed9250…
05-22 22:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xb620b8…
05-22 22:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x70e983…
05-22 02:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0x8adc0b…
05-22 02:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x09a9b2…
05-22 02:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x54deee…
05-22 02:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4c2c6b…
05-17 22:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0xa61b78…
05-17 22:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x666b08…
05-17 22:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x2382a5…
05-17 22:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x563f1b…
05-17 22:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0xd230ee…
05-17 22:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x1bbbb4…
05-17 22:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x26814f…
05-17 03:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x40bfab…
05-17 03:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x9fc1c6…
05-17 03:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc0643c…
05-17 03:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x131c56…
05-17 03:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x334f36…
05-17 03:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcb929c…
05-16 07:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x9ec584…
05-16 07:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	33	37¢	$12	0xf70792…
05-16 07:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x02e9d9…
05-16 07:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xae2e0b…
05-16 07:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x4f026d…
05-16 07:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3a6288…
05-16 07:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x321f51…
05-16 07:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x4e81e9…
05-16 07:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xa6c4c6…
05-16 07:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x2e157c…
05-16 07:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x664f18…
05-16 07:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xef8f26…
05-16 07:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	16	86¢	$14	0xff9953…