Alarming-Merchandise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$115

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.9%

Resolved

Trades

903

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-18 16:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 84% +$115

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 273 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	6	$353	455	133	+321	open	—	05-14 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	4	$251	429	428	+1	open	—	05-14 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	4	$251	300	0	+300	open	—	05-14 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	4	$235	314	0	+314	open	—	05-15 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	5	$227	270	0	+270	open	—	05-14 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$216	118	118	+0	open	—	05-15 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	2	$204	104	104	+0	Down	+$4	05-12 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$200	202	0	+202	Up	+$2	05-12 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$200	263	0	+263	Down	$-82	05-12 15:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$200	220	0	+220	open	—	05-14 15:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$200	248	0	+248	open	—	05-14 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$200	225	0	+225	Down	+$25	05-13 21:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$200	245	0	+245	Up	+$45	05-12 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$200	282	0	+282	Down	$-90	05-12 15:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$200	228	0	+228	Down	+$28	05-12 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$200	220	0	+220	open	—	05-14 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$200	204	0	+204	Up	+$4	05-12 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$200	250	0	+250	Down	+$50	05-12 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$200	223	0	+223	open	—	05-15 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	7	$161	210	39	+171	open	—	05-14 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	4	$160	194	0	+194	open	—	05-15 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	3	$150	157	0	+157	open	—	05-15 21:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$150	171	0	+171	open	—	05-14 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$149	195	156	+38	open	—	05-15 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	3	$143	218	161	+57	open	—	05-15 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$125	162	0	+162	Down	+$37	05-13 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$125	141	0	+141	open	—	05-14 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$125	130	0	+130	open	—	05-14 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	9	$121	172	21	+152	open	—	05-17 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$115	179	0	+179	open	—	05-15 13:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 16:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8683cc…
05-18 15:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf40ff6…
05-18 15:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0f65f7…
05-18 11:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x957e2d…
05-18 11:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xc3e037…
05-18 11:47:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x7eeebe…
05-18 11:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x375e76…
05-18 11:12:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x750fa5…
05-18 11:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x27a83a…
05-18 06:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xd99c48…
05-18 06:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x3b7db5…
05-18 00:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xccf36d…
05-18 00:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x64c184…
05-17 23:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x8144db…
05-17 23:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xffb162…
05-17 23:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x1281f2…
05-17 23:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xe60030…
05-17 23:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xb75bdb…
05-17 23:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x7944e9…
05-17 23:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xaec787…
05-17 23:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x5e3f52…
05-17 23:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x87c0e0…
05-17 23:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf02fe8…
05-17 22:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0xab93ff…
05-17 22:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x915ca2…
05-17 22:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x80d9f6…
05-17 22:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x6fab5a…
05-17 22:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x062c43…
05-17 22:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x683f22…
05-17 22:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x813b5d…
05-17 22:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x7cbec0…
05-17 22:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0xee1a3a…
05-17 22:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xc91d56…
05-17 22:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x30e7a5…
05-17 22:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x9ae767…
05-17 22:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xdee981…
05-17 22:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x52badd…
05-17 22:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa8157b…
05-17 22:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x8d113d…
05-17 22:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8bb203…
05-17 22:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x4c0383…
05-17 22:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	28¢	$4	0x2de004…
05-17 22:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xb971c2…
05-17 22:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xe70fe5…
05-17 22:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xfdd9bd…
05-17 22:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x0427e2…
05-17 21:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xae2ec3…
05-17 21:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x224fda…
05-17 21:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x819d1c…
05-17 21:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd0f4cc…
05-17 21:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xf5f5a3…
05-17 21:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xc3a860…
05-17 21:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xb414a7…
05-17 21:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x6ecd70…
05-17 20:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xfc9b22…
05-17 20:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc10712…
05-17 20:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x1f66a9…
05-17 20:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x84df24…
05-17 20:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x463c29…
05-17 20:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x00346b…
05-17 20:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x5cf15f…
05-17 20:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xa40067…
05-17 20:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x69c195…
05-17 20:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x4c55b9…
05-17 20:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x476403…
05-17 20:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xaaee5c…
05-17 20:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x4840d3…
05-17 20:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x02b3d8…
05-17 20:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x2bc6e6…
05-17 20:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x2fb225…
05-17 20:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0x0e01e7…
05-17 20:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xae4c06…
05-17 20:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xfdb133…
05-17 20:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0x124238…
05-17 20:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xcc0010…
05-17 20:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xebc8f9…
05-17 19:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xe4a661…
05-17 19:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x7c24ff…
05-17 19:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x7462b4…
05-17 19:39:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x443f7d…
05-17 19:39:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x4a5233…
05-17 19:38:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x057048…
05-17 19:38:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xb46310…
05-17 19:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x74934c…
05-17 19:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x8b0401…
05-17 19:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x3acc7e…
05-17 19:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xae8001…
05-17 19:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x212d06…
05-17 19:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xaa7d0f…
05-17 19:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	37¢	$5	0x15828e…
05-17 19:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x5d74db…
05-17 19:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x2cf930…
05-17 19:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xb75cee…
05-17 19:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc11ea5…
05-17 19:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x9ef83b…
05-17 19:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	66	75¢	$50	0x575dbc…
05-17 19:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x820353…
05-17 19:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x193bf6…
05-17 19:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0xec8de4…
05-17 19:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x6efde0…