Unacceptable-Calculus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$78

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$186

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 06-04 14:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 50% $-78

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 4h 1771405200	1	$1.6K	2,739	+2,739	open	—	02-18 09:18
btc updown 4h 1771189200	2	$1.1K	1,588	+1,588	open	—	02-15 23:33
btc updown 4h 1771146000	1	$899	1,913	+1,913	open	—	02-15 11:21
btc updown 4h 1771160400	1	$799	1,080	+1,080	open	—	02-15 14:36
ethereum up or down february 23 9pm et	6	$799	3,634	+3,634	open	—	02-24 02:51
btc updown 4h 1776585600	2	$151	154	+154	open	—	04-19 11:43
btc updown 4h 1776038400	1	$138	147	+147	open	—	04-13 03:33
btc updown 4h 1776412800	1	$130	138	+138	open	—	04-17 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$125	129	+129	Down	+$4	05-07 15:02
btc updown 4h 1775548800	2	$116	129	+129	open	—	04-07 11:26
btc updown 4h 1775462400	1	$106	113	+113	open	—	04-06 10:47
btc updown 4h 1775116800	1	$102	115	+115	open	—	04-02 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$102	107	+107	open	—	05-21 10:48
btc updown 4h 1780574400	2	$99	108	+108	open	—	06-04 14:07
btc updown 4h 1774742400	1	$98	102	+102	open	—	03-29 02:52
btc updown 4h 1774929600	1	$91	94	+94	open	—	03-31 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$82	329	+329	Up	$-82	05-08 09:45
atp uchiyam added 2026 03 24	1	$81	101	+101	open	—	03-26 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$81	85	+85	open	—	05-17 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$79	90	+90	open	—	05-21 06:03
dota2 tundra ts8 2026 03 14	1	$79	359	+359	open	—	03-14 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$77	81	+81	open	—	05-20 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$77	79	+79	open	—	05-14 05:51
cs2 cs1 mouzn 2026 03 12	3	$52	79	+79	open	—	03-12 12:00
xrp updown 4h 1774929600	3	$25	29	+29	open	—	03-31 07:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 14:07:51	btc updown 4h 1780574400	Up	BUY	88	92¢	$81	0xb64d85…
06-04 14:07:43	btc updown 4h 1780574400	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xc0546d…
05-21 10:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	107	95¢	$102	0x999beb…
05-21 06:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	90	88¢	$79	0x47c65e…
05-20 11:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	81	95¢	$77	0x9ae237…
05-17 15:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	85	95¢	$81	0xbf14f9…
05-14 05:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	79	97¢	$77	0x247ac6…
05-08 09:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	329	25¢	$82	0x376ab3…
05-07 15:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	129	97¢	$125	0xd458e8…
04-19 11:43:54	btc updown 4h 1776585600	Up	BUY	85	98¢	$83	0x6feddc…
04-19 11:43:54	btc updown 4h 1776585600	Up	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0x3521d6…
04-17 11:19:50	btc updown 4h 1776412800	Up	BUY	138	94¢	$130	0x89886a…
04-13 03:33:43	btc updown 4h 1776038400	Up	BUY	147	94¢	$138	0xd3e3af…
04-07 11:26:09	btc updown 4h 1775548800	Down	BUY	124	90¢	$112	0xadad6e…
04-07 11:26:03	btc updown 4h 1775548800	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xcc9b05…
04-06 10:47:39	btc updown 4h 1775462400	Up	BUY	113	94¢	$106	0x323692…
04-02 09:58:35	btc updown 4h 1775116800	Down	BUY	115	89¢	$102	0xdf0f52…
03-31 07:36:55	xrp updown 4h 1774929600	Down	BUY	9	87¢	$7	0x945423…
03-31 07:35:13	xrp updown 4h 1774929600	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xc7aa52…
03-31 07:35:13	xrp updown 4h 1774929600	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x8176cd…
03-31 07:20:39	btc updown 4h 1774929600	Down	BUY	94	97¢	$91	0xe14671…
03-29 02:52:34	btc updown 4h 1774742400	Up	BUY	102	96¢	$98	0x14b617…
03-26 01:44:59	atp uchiyam added 2026 03 24	Yasutaka Uchiyama	BUY	101	80¢	$81	0x04c123…
03-14 09:18:55	dota2 tundra ts8 2026 03 14	Tundra Esports	BUY	359	22¢	$79	0xe061cf…
03-12 12:00:31	cs2 cs1 mouzn 2026 03 12	CYBERSHOKE Esports	BUY	62	66¢	$41	0x58a7dd…
03-12 12:00:31	cs2 cs1 mouzn 2026 03 12	CYBERSHOKE Esports	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x197b41…
03-12 12:00:21	cs2 cs1 mouzn 2026 03 12	CYBERSHOKE Esports	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x910a2b…
02-24 02:51:22	ethereum up or down february 23 9pm et	Down	BUY	90	22¢	$20	0xaed00c…
02-24 02:51:22	ethereum up or down february 23 9pm et	Down	BUY	37	22¢	$8	0x9e5365…
02-24 02:51:22	ethereum up or down february 23 9pm et	Down	BUY	1,281	22¢	$282	0x778631…
02-24 02:51:22	ethereum up or down february 23 9pm et	Down	BUY	55	22¢	$12	0x60ae6d…
02-24 02:51:22	ethereum up or down february 23 9pm et	Down	BUY	1,993	22¢	$438	0x58ea56…
02-24 02:51:22	ethereum up or down february 23 9pm et	Down	BUY	178	22¢	$39	0x4bf8b5…
02-18 09:18:26	btc updown 4h 1771405200	Up	BUY	2,739	58¢	$1,589	0xde2351…
02-15 23:33:57	btc updown 4h 1771189200	Up	BUY	427	68¢	$290	0xe94e24…
02-15 23:33:55	btc updown 4h 1771189200	Up	BUY	1,161	68¢	$789	0xf6ad74…
02-15 14:36:19	btc updown 4h 1771160400	Down	BUY	1,080	74¢	$799	0x9b60db…
02-15 11:21:31	btc updown 4h 1771146000	Up	BUY	1,913	47¢	$899	0x14aed9…