Silent-Occurrence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$75

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.0%

Resolved

269

Trades

601

lifetime

Volume

$2.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-23 10:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 41% $-75

Other

45% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 281 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	3	$580	1,116	0	+1,116	open	—	05-01 13:43
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	3	$151	1,211	0	+1,211	open	—	05-01 10:40
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs	4	$113	121	121	+0	open	—	05-01 11:55
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs	3	$59	38	38	+0	open	—	05-02 15:46
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs	2	$51	343	0	+343	open	—	05-04 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	5	$45	66	0	+66	open	—	05-01 13:44
Valorant: JD Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs	1	$30	94	0	+94	open	—	05-23 10:41
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	3	$24	48	48	+0	open	—	04-28 13:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-28 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$15	22	0	+22	open	—	05-01 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	05-01 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$15	19	0	+19	open	—	05-01 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$15	19	0	+19	open	—	05-01 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	3	$14	27	0	+27	open	—	05-01 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	7	$13	110	110	+0	Down	$-2	05-10 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	4	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	4	$11	10	10	+0	Down	$-0	05-10 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	4	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	4	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	4	$10	10	5	+5	Up	+$3	05-10 13:29
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-28 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	4	$10	10	10	+0	Up	$-1	05-10 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	5	$9	205	205	+0	Down	$-1	05-10 08:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	4	$9	12	12	+0	Down	$-1	05-10 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$8	9	9	+0	open	—	04-27 07:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	4	$8	34	34	+0	Down	$-2	05-10 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 06:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 10:41:08	Valorant: JD Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs	XLG Gaming	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0xe19060…
05-20 03:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9a10bf…
05-11 15:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0d76ef…
05-11 15:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6fddf2…
05-11 15:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x62e693…
05-11 15:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	9¢	$2	0x848f88…
05-11 15:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x6c1188…
05-11 15:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4ce868…
05-11 15:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x042006…
05-11 14:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x205268…
05-11 14:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xfb7f31…
05-11 14:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0xa82679…
05-11 14:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa710d2…
05-11 14:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9d912b…
05-11 14:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x078aad…
05-11 14:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x43c0a1…
05-11 14:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xfecbb0…
05-11 14:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe53d25…
05-11 14:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe40b5c…
05-11 14:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd42405…
05-11 14:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd236c7…
05-11 14:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	61	1¢	$1	0xab5d69…
05-11 14:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4b43ca…
05-11 14:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	62	1¢	$1	0x44e887…
05-11 14:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x3ca0a5…
05-11 14:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	58	1¢	$1	0x090a7e…
05-11 14:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7da961…
05-11 13:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x3caefa…
05-11 13:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xed6b3b…
05-11 13:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xc6d07c…
05-11 13:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x629a73…
05-11 13:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	99	1¢	$1	0x3c10a2…
05-11 13:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xe67008…
05-11 13:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe84d31…
05-11 13:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfa34ef…
05-11 13:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8ea976…
05-11 12:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc1f555…
05-11 12:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb55861…
05-11 12:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xb5fedc…
05-11 12:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xa84740…
05-11 12:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x88cdc2…
05-11 12:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x483757…
05-11 12:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1ca0f2…
05-11 12:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x6f8119…
05-11 12:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0xd19d95…
05-11 12:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xceb736…
05-11 12:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x19071f…
05-11 12:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xee7dea…
05-11 12:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x313f7b…
05-11 12:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x2931d0…
05-11 12:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x445d34…
05-11 12:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x364c33…
05-11 11:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6656cb…
05-11 11:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd46c8b…
05-11 11:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc6d70c…
05-11 11:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xec299c…
05-11 11:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7384ad…
05-11 11:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xce4e3d…
05-11 11:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe6ac76…
05-11 11:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x903bee…
05-11 11:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0x57648c…
05-11 11:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xae24f8…
05-11 10:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xefa4dd…
05-11 10:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x7bd89e…
05-11 09:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xd7ab42…
05-11 09:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x6e6160…
05-11 09:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa2c362…
05-11 09:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x82ac2b…
05-11 09:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8283ee…
05-11 09:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2d4275…
05-11 09:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x85daba…
05-11 09:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0x583fe6…
05-11 09:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x3fb919…
05-11 09:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xd2d8d4…
05-11 09:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xbe0dfa…
05-11 09:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2cd197…
05-11 08:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x71f343…
05-11 08:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x771674…
05-11 08:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3d11b5…
05-11 08:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0xa3730a…
05-11 08:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5a2239…
05-11 08:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x81804e…
05-11 08:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x32553c…
05-11 08:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x5e83a9…
05-11 08:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x293b0d…
05-11 08:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xfcfd60…
05-11 08:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0xa4f6a6…
05-11 08:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3ad540…
05-11 08:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x004470…
05-11 08:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x44c22b…
05-11 08:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x3ffdd8…
05-11 08:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x4a193a…
05-11 08:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x44df35…
05-11 07:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xe56dfd…
05-11 07:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x4c2a95…
05-11 07:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x20526b…
05-11 07:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x7a46d9…
05-11 07:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0xa0896c…
05-11 07:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x95fa2e…
05-11 07:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xde3e64…