Favorable-Dawn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$160

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

38.9%

Resolved

17,238

Trades

100,112

lifetime

Volume

$26.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-27 16:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 4% +$160

Other

6% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 2961 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down		+6	$0	0¢	$0	$-0	05-15 01:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lal rea ala 2026 04 21 rea	6	$676	498	190	+308	open	—	04-21 20:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	1	$599	600	0	+600	open	—	04-30 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	6	$543	606	0	+606	Up	+$7	05-13 09:55
bitcoin up or down february 28 1pm et	20	$355	342	252	+90	open	—	02-28 18:50
will bitcoin reach 85k on april 22	2	$349	350	0	+350	open	—	04-22 16:30
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 28?	2	$299	300	0	+300	open	—	04-28 04:13
btc updown 15m 1770150600	20	$256	936	758	+177	open	—	02-03 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	6	$224	236	0	+236	Down	+$6	05-09 03:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 29?	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	04-28 20:29
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 8?	2	$200	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	05-08 05:21
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 280 299	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	04-21 06:58
bitcoin up or down february 3 4pm et	2	$196	156	156	+0	open	—	02-03 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	4	$195	212	0	+212	Up	$-189	05-11 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$194	206	0	+206	open	—	05-16 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	12	$189	326	0	+326	open	—	05-17 07:15
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	7	$173	250	250	+0	open	—	01-31 16:56
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	3	$150	160	160	+0	open	—	01-20 12:46
bitcoin up or down january 20 10am et	42	$149	330	10	+320	open	—	01-20 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	6	$146	306	0	+306	Down	+$4	05-07 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	4	$129	136	0	+136	open	—	05-16 16:10
bitcoin up or down january 20 9am et	18	$128	120	110	+10	open	—	01-20 14:31
btc updown 4h 1770037200	1	$108	108	0	+108	open	—	02-02 16:31
bitcoin up or down march 6 2am et	17	$106	130	129	+1	open	—	03-06 07:34
spx opens up or down on april 17 2026	3	$100	70	70	+0	open	—	04-17 08:43
sol updown 15m 1770151500	1	$100	127	0	+127	open	—	02-03 20:57
bitcoin up or down on february 2	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	02-02 16:17
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 8?	2	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-08 07:43
btc updown 5m 1776583200	2	$99	106	0	+106	open	—	04-19 07:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$99	6	100	-94	open	—	05-16 12:05
btc updown 5m 1776681000	3	$99	106	0	+106	open	—	04-20 10:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 16:39:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x44e85e…
05-27 16:39:05	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x03a9b2…
05-27 16:38:48	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xc16360…
05-27 16:38:16	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x276d9f…
05-26 17:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x80b6f1…
05-26 16:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	16	35¢	$6	0x8b28eb…
05-26 16:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	29¢	$5	0xad8e7c…
05-26 07:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x094d98…
05-25 14:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x5c1c26…
05-25 14:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xbdfcec…
05-25 14:39:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xf708d8…
05-25 14:39:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xcd4ea8…
05-25 14:39:24	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x670a5f…
05-25 14:39:21	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x6d005b…
05-25 14:39:21	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x5d013c…
05-25 14:39:15	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xedca40…
05-25 14:39:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xa57022…
05-25 14:38:25	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x0cf673…
05-25 14:38:21	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x66d1c2…
05-25 14:38:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xc60734…
05-25 14:37:51	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xe985a3…
05-25 14:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xcf20a6…
05-25 14:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x6f5455…
05-25 14:33:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xe299b7…
05-25 14:33:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xaed1e5…
05-25 14:33:25	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x3abd32…
05-25 14:33:06	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x390aa9…
05-25 14:32:43	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x34b238…
05-25 14:32:33	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x41e7a9…
05-25 14:32:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xfbc42c…
05-25 14:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x1cc654…
05-25 14:28:56	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x2f84ed…
05-25 14:28:51	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0xa0093a…
05-25 14:28:49	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x846a4d…
05-25 14:28:47	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x0ab3a0…
05-25 14:28:17	doge updown 5m 1779719100	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x9071f3…
05-25 14:28:17	doge updown 5m 1779719100	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x8b44d8…
05-25 14:28:17	doge updown 5m 1779719100	Down	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x28209c…
05-25 14:27:51	doge updown 15m 1779718500	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xa3889e…
05-25 14:27:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x01ce06…
05-25 14:25:43	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x603f73…
05-25 14:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xaaf0bd…
05-25 14:25:08	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x1f84f7…
05-25 14:25:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xc7480e…
05-25 14:25:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x07901e…
05-25 14:25:01	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x8943af…
05-25 14:24:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x13c776…
05-25 14:24:56	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x6a33cd…
05-25 14:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x4e1474…
05-25 14:24:56	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x32753c…
05-25 14:24:28	doge updown 5m 1779718800	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xf7e665…
05-25 14:24:26	doge updown 5m 1779718800	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x1886b3…
05-25 14:19:25	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x1a4109…
05-25 14:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xc83f51…
05-25 14:18:24	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x74018a…
05-25 14:18:19	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x0d4508…
05-25 14:17:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xafc5a9…
05-25 14:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xa9fe77…
05-25 14:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x9a5c1a…
05-25 14:14:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xfc8a84…
05-25 14:14:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x4d438e…
05-25 14:14:47	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xd3eb1e…
05-25 14:14:47	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x106641…
05-25 14:13:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x045b00…
05-25 14:10:16	doge updown 15m 1779717600	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x7adbfd…
05-25 14:10:14	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x733df6…
05-25 14:10:14	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x0ee37c…
05-25 14:09:51	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xdae1cd…
05-25 14:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xbd0c3a…
05-25 14:09:48	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x89f737…
05-25 14:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x001c85…
05-25 14:09:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xb10d8f…
05-25 14:08:55	doge updown 5m 1779717900	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x6d10b5…
05-25 14:08:54	doge updown 5m 1779717900	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd7d116…
05-25 14:06:18	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xe28b15…
05-25 14:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x054cc3…
05-25 14:05:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xd5cc43…
05-25 14:04:50	doge updown 5m 1779717600	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xfff651…
05-25 14:04:50	doge updown 5m 1779717600	Down	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xba655b…
05-25 14:04:50	doge updown 5m 1779717600	Down	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x785fbc…
05-25 14:04:50	doge updown 5m 1779717600	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x740de8…
05-25 14:04:49	doge updown 5m 1779717600	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x3a631a…
05-25 14:04:45	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x7939c2…
05-25 14:04:45	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x370ba8…
05-25 14:04:40	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xbf52df…
05-25 14:04:40	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x4799e6…
05-25 14:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x58f14b…
05-25 14:04:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x7abe80…
05-25 14:00:03	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x66b439…
05-25 14:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xbbf080…
05-25 13:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x6392a6…
05-25 13:59:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x75f018…
05-25 13:59:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x74f2f2…
05-25 13:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x1d5877…
05-25 13:59:35	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xbfa836…
05-25 13:59:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x25a75a…
05-25 13:59:25	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x17bda3…
05-25 13:58:25	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x8b1741…
05-25 13:57:12	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x7dce9b…
05-25 13:54:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x4441bd…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	752	$862	2,494	05-26 16:43
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	625	$54.5K	6,820	05-26 17:59
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	617	$233.9K	16,923	05-26 17:58
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	598	$13.9K	1,705	05-17 01:04
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	593	$307.7K	75,850	05-25 10:39
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	584	$74.0K	5,820	05-26 17:59
(anonymous) 0x0443…ea0f	583	$2.48K	639	05-26 17:59
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	496	$1.11K	3,006	05-26 17:59