Starry-Demur — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

13.9%

Resolved

Trades

710

lifetime

Volume

$73.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$104

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-04 12:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

51% — —

Crypto

35% — —

Other

11% — —

Sports

3% 50% $-41

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes		+30	$13	9¢	$3	$-10	06-04 12:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$7.9K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	04-01 06:00
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	7	$7.8K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	03-03 14:26
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$6.5K	3,600	3,600	+0	open	—	03-31 00:56
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	11	$4.5K	3,065	3,065	+0	open	—	04-04 14:41
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$4.1K	4,600	4,600	+0	open	—	04-02 00:15
bitcoin up or down on january 27	15	$2.5K	2,500	1,250	+1,250	open	—	01-27 15:41
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 1?	10	$2.2K	2,362	0	+2,362	open	—	06-01 04:53
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	12	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-31 00:55
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	38	$1.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	Yes	$-100	02-26 21:21
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 2	18	$1.7K	1,101	1,101	+0	open	—	01-02 15:57
solana up or down on january 28	13	$1.5K	1,000	1,400	-400	open	—	01-28 15:28
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	18	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-03 14:31
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	11	$1.4K	2,008	0	+2,008	open	—	01-15 13:59
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	24	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-03 14:39
bitcoin above 90k on january 3	12	$1.3K	1,198	1,200	-1	open	—	01-03 13:34
Meta (META) Up or Down on June 2?	15	$1.3K	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	06-02 09:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$976	1,400	0	+1,400	open	—	05-24 02:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$950	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-01 08:58
bitcoin above 88k on january 28	2	$918	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	01-27 23:39
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 28	28	$900	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	01-28 14:21
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 26	23	$870	2,000	1,000	+1,000	open	—	01-26 03:34
will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on january 28	17	$864	800	800	+0	open	—	01-28 06:03
will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 26	10	$845	2,000	1,000	+1,000	open	—	01-26 03:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$820	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-01 08:49
will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 27	12	$750	600	600	+0	open	—	01-27 13:22
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$744	911	300	+611	open	—	03-30 07:04
bitcoin above 88k on january 29	17	$726	722	722	+0	open	—	01-29 12:48
bitcoin above 88k on january 27	2	$720	500	500	+0	open	—	01-27 03:37
ethereum above 3000 on january 27	7	$684	400	400	+0	open	—	01-27 04:49
will ethereum dip to 2000 in february 2026	4	$683	700	700	+0	open	—	02-02 12:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 12:02:51	Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x251c36…
06-04 11:59:18	will xauusd reach 4550 by june 1 2026	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x8efd81…
06-02 09:36:44	Meta (META) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	7	80¢	$5	0x72f975…
06-02 09:35:13	Meta (META) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xc5beb7…
06-02 09:35:13	Meta (META) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x6b63f3…
06-02 09:35:12	Meta (META) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x524063…
06-02 09:35:10	Meta (META) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	183	75¢	$138	0x516296…
06-02 09:22:18	Meta (META) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x2790c8…
06-02 09:21:20	Meta (META) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	90	88¢	$79	0x15b399…
06-02 09:21:19	Meta (META) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xe5c283…
06-02 09:21:19	Meta (META) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x9b91c1…
06-02 09:21:17	Meta (META) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xc4fb52…
06-02 09:21:17	Meta (META) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	150	88¢	$132	0x59cbd1…
06-02 09:21:17	Meta (META) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	53	88¢	$47	0x3f9103…
06-02 09:21:15	Meta (META) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x32ed3a…
06-02 09:21:15	Meta (META) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x001cb3…
06-02 09:21:12	Meta (META) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	200	73¢	$147	0x590f50…
06-02 09:07:47	Dogecoin Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	200	37¢	$73	0x80db86…
06-02 09:07:47	Dogecoin Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x526282…
06-02 09:02:33	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	300	83¢	$249	0xfc2eef…
06-01 04:53:24	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x14bfdb…
06-01 04:53:01	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	114	93¢	$106	0x561bbf…
06-01 04:41:18	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	838	93¢	$779	0xbf4a85…
06-01 04:36:32	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x2f0a95…
06-01 04:36:27	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	274	91¢	$251	0xe896dc…
06-01 04:36:27	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0xe824a7…
06-01 04:30:41	nvda close above 210 on june 1 2026	Yes	BUY	35	76¢	$27	0x9859c1…
06-01 04:22:15	nvda close above 210 on june 1 2026	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xd08559…
06-01 04:17:21	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	219	91¢	$199	0xc0b36f…
06-01 04:16:02	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	214	91¢	$195	0x825161…
06-01 04:14:52	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0xe2784f…
06-01 04:13:51	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	637	90¢	$574	0x7745f4…
05-24 02:17:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	39¢	$156	0x8a04dd…
05-24 02:16:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x6cb955…
05-01 08:58:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	95¢	$950	0x7a4695…
05-01 08:51:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	82¢	$820	0x892cf4…
05-01 08:49:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,000	82¢	$820	0x6c97a2…
04-18 13:22:46	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	54	69¢	$37	0xd2b12b…
04-18 13:20:12	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0xc57ee6…
04-18 13:01:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	90	69¢	$62	0xe093f2…
04-18 12:57:40	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	140	69¢	$96	0xb0b0ae…
04-18 12:47:00	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	511	34¢	$174	0x2bb51c…
04-18 12:46:10	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	517	25¢	$129	0x76cb6d…
04-04 14:41:53	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	2,962	68¢	$2,014	0x84cf2c…
04-02 15:06:19	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	83	78¢	$64	0xde1921…
04-02 14:55:13	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0xdeea5e…
04-02 14:52:37	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	16	78¢	$13	0x2cdfa0…
04-02 00:17:37	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	1,280	81¢	$1,037	0x983220…
04-02 00:15:01	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	4,600	47¢	$2,162	0xb49a98…
04-01 10:11:51	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	250	79¢	$198	0xf3bca2…
04-01 07:09:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2,200	44¢	$968	0x106d54…
04-01 06:11:55	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	740	82¢	$607	0xb5f447…
04-01 06:06:07	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0x64adcd…
04-01 06:03:41	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,200	44¢	$528	0xc65a19…
04-01 06:00:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	4,000	100¢	$3,984	0x6c47ea…
03-31 12:21:25	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	538	74¢	$398	0xf0f2e2…
03-31 12:19:07	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0xe5168c…
03-31 12:15:45	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	213	73¢	$155	0x2d32d7…
03-31 12:11:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,200	40¢	$480	0x3ee427…
03-31 12:04:31	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	4,000	97¢	$3,896	0x246805…
03-31 00:56:19	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	3,600	95¢	$3,430	0xbdc204…
03-31 00:55:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	1,000	92¢	$920	0xcd8d98…
03-30 07:04:36	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xa21a88…
03-30 07:03:10	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	160	91¢	$146	0x911aa8…
03-30 07:01:16	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	196	72¢	$141	0x0b72a2…
03-30 06:43:58	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	350	68¢	$236	0xfd684d…
03-30 06:38:18	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	45	68¢	$30	0x1cf0bf…
03-30 06:36:44	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	270	99¢	$266	0xccef97…
03-29 08:24:32	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	120	94¢	$113	0xb9146f…
03-29 08:16:30	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	125	86¢	$107	0x3ea6f8…
03-28 00:26:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	120	88¢	$106	0x36bb3e…
03-28 00:14:19	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x6418dd…
03-28 00:12:17	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	300	70¢	$210	0x3263a7…
03-27 11:33:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	270	95¢	$257	0x71a8a3…
03-27 09:31:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	400	87¢	$348	0x02fcf5…
03-27 06:31:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x72e8e8…
03-27 06:27:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xa8d632…
03-27 06:26:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xb42f3a…
03-27 06:26:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	21	87¢	$19	0x99229e…
03-27 06:25:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0x44ed05…
03-27 06:21:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x781c08…
03-27 06:15:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	68	87¢	$60	0x22a998…
03-26 21:32:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	3,600	85¢	$3,060	0x2f64c2…
03-26 21:27:25	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	300	37¢	$110	0x5c99d9…
03-12 12:35:11	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	500	13¢	$65	0x02ffcd…
03-12 12:34:47	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	500	23¢	$115	0x6f0c63…
03-12 12:26:07	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x7b7516…
03-12 12:25:37	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	11	25¢	$3	0xae04f9…
03-03 14:39:49	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	932	77¢	$718	0x4d2eb7…
03-03 14:39:33	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	30	77¢	$23	0x018bc3…
03-03 14:31:31	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	Yes	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0xdf3887…
03-03 14:30:41	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	Yes	SELL	900	85¢	$765	0x5afb0e…
03-03 14:29:21	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	38	80¢	$30	0x061169…
03-03 14:26:43	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	3,000	76¢	$2,280	0xc19a8c…
03-03 11:35:35	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0x2a6f36…
03-03 11:07:15	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xcf9547…
03-03 11:06:15	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	150	60¢	$90	0x438323…
03-03 11:02:37	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4a255a…
03-03 10:59:27	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x0cc92c…
03-03 10:55:27	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x5c6233…