Muffled-Census-Diversity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.8%

Resolved

Trades

144

lifetime

Volume

$2.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 06-01 17:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% $-42

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	3	$144	186	91	+95	Up	$-56	05-09 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$100	81	81	+0	Up	+$60	05-08 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	5	$98	247	49	+198	Up	$-22	05-09 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$93	108	0	+108	Down	+$15	05-09 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	7	$81	84	84	+0	Down	$-3	05-09 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$56	32	32	+0	Down	+$6	05-07 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$54	34	34	+0	Up	+$14	05-09 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	3	$52	139	109	+30	Up	+$2	05-09 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$51	32	32	+0	Down	+$11	05-08 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$50	33	33	+0	Down	+$10	05-09 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$50	78	0	+78	Up	$-50	05-09 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$50	282	0	+282	Down	$-50	05-09 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$50	68	0	+68	Down	+$18	05-09 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$45	25	25	+0	Down	+$5	05-08 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$44	24	24	+0	Up	+$4	05-08 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$43	143	143	+0	Down	+$23	05-09 06:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$42	22	22	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$40	53	0	+53	Up	+$13	05-09 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$40	25	25	+0	Up	+$10	05-07 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$30	109	0	+109	Up	+$79	05-08 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$29	0	29	-29	Down	$-0	05-07 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$27	37	0	+37	Down	+$5	05-07 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$27	35	0	+35	Down	$-0	05-07 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$27	28	0	+28	Up	+$1	05-07 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	3	$25	67	17	+50	Up	$-4	05-09 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	Down	+$1	05-07 12:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$25	36	0	+36	Down	$-25	05-07 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$25	27	0	+27	Down	+$2	05-07 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	4	$25	45	10	+35	Down	+$22	05-08 06:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 17:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x6a50f3…
06-01 17:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x245edf…
06-01 17:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xff5e99…
06-01 17:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x55bcb8…
06-01 15:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x2d595a…
06-01 15:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x4b2183…
06-01 15:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xca9862…
06-01 15:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x03c169…
06-01 15:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x93c4df…
06-01 15:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x06d1e0…
06-01 14:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x73ea2a…
05-09 10:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	82	11¢	$9	0xc8ce2f…
05-09 10:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	198	10¢	$20	0xb161e7…
05-09 10:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	25	70¢	$18	0xd905e7…
05-09 10:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x34887f…
05-09 10:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	24	88¢	$21	0xd0d978…
05-09 10:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x633554…
05-09 09:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x5a7d27…
05-09 09:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	106	19¢	$20	0x96440a…
05-09 09:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x53dc38…
05-09 09:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xfba77f…
05-09 09:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	109	11¢	$12	0xa31bba…
05-09 09:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	109	18¢	$20	0xfd7be3…
05-09 09:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xd751c6…
05-09 09:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x42fe54…
05-09 09:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x78cb4a…
05-09 09:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	33	91¢	$30	0xefb02c…
05-09 09:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x9111d3…
05-09 08:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xfc192f…
05-09 08:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x537cb6…
05-09 08:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x3620c4…
05-09 08:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	47	36¢	$17	0x453679…
05-09 08:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	38	60¢	$23	0xe35480…
05-09 08:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x6a2a15…
05-09 08:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xb97a53…
05-09 08:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x732f97…
05-09 08:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x42098f…
05-09 08:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x3a1efe…
05-09 08:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xcdb35c…
05-09 08:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7c1e5e…
05-09 08:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x72975a…
05-09 08:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x68404d…
05-09 08:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x7353a1…
05-09 07:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x4c009f…
05-09 07:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x29c94c…
05-09 07:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x4c142f…
05-09 07:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	282	18¢	$50	0xbebdef…
05-09 07:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	95	53¢	$50	0xde2a01…
05-09 07:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	91	48¢	$44	0x123ccb…
05-09 07:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x74e371…
05-09 07:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x863829…
05-09 07:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	53	81¢	$43	0xca8f45…
05-09 07:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x9a13f0…
05-09 07:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x2c2255…
05-09 06:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x032960…
05-09 06:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	188	5¢	$10	0xc8a447…
05-09 06:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	500	1¢	$5	0xfe9286…
05-09 06:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x6b5926…
05-09 06:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xc6a340…
05-09 06:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x94451b…
05-09 06:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	17	62¢	$11	0x929d26…
05-09 06:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	37¢	$6	0xbe0453…
05-09 06:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	143	23¢	$33	0x621669…
05-09 06:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xc5ac84…
05-09 06:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x275392…
05-09 05:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xc27556…
05-09 05:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0xb763b8…
05-09 05:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	131	1¢	$1	0xd66401…
05-09 05:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	131	15¢	$20	0x26802d…
05-09 05:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	57¢	$8	0x2177e7…
05-08 15:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	81	99¢	$80	0x7453b9…
05-08 15:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0xf99209…
05-08 15:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0xed13a0…
05-08 15:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0xf7f1a3…
05-08 15:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xda71e4…
05-08 15:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xad2dae…
05-08 15:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xa2e64b…
05-08 14:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x8ecdc0…
05-08 14:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x14d6ac…
05-08 14:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x81088e…
05-08 14:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0xf8ecc2…
05-08 14:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xe31aec…
05-08 14:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0xaea68f…
05-08 14:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x1ce9c0…
05-08 14:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xd75e4d…
05-08 14:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xea1201…
05-08 14:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x6283d7…
05-08 14:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xea2d7a…
05-08 14:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0xaaa751…
05-08 14:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x08358d…
05-08 14:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x02a444…
05-08 13:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	7¢	$2	0xaeaffa…
05-08 12:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0xb70803…
05-08 12:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x0be382…
05-08 12:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x0809b4…
05-08 07:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x749961…
05-08 07:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x44563b…
05-08 06:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	79	19¢	$15	0x3db82a…
05-08 06:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x252ae4…
05-08 06:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x6b9736…