Muffled-Census-Diversity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.8%

Resolved

Trades

363

lifetime

Volume

$4.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 07-13 07:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 52% $-42

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1782503400	2	$217	165	165	+0	open	—	06-26 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	3	$144	186	91	+95	Up	$-56	05-09 07:43
btc updown 4h 1782489600	6	$119	176	57	+119	open	—	06-26 19:32
btc updown 5m 1783678500	4	$113	108	108	+0	open	—	07-10 10:21
bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 1pm et	5	$113	73	73	+0	open	—	07-07 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$100	81	81	+0	Up	+$60	05-08 15:55
btc updown 5m 1783928100	2	$99	100	100	+0	open	—	07-13 07:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	5	$98	247	49	+198	Up	$-22	05-09 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$93	108	0	+108	Down	+$15	05-09 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	7	$81	84	84	+0	Down	$-3	05-09 08:48
btc updown 5m 1783675500	2	$67	57	57	+0	open	—	07-10 09:27
btc updown 5m 1783674600	4	$63	78	73	+4	open	—	07-10 09:14
bitcoin up or down on june 27 2026	3	$60	88	66	+22	open	—	06-27 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$56	32	32	+0	Down	+$6	05-07 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$54	34	34	+0	Up	+$14	05-09 07:55
btc updown 5m 1783674300	3	$54	93	48	+45	open	—	07-10 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	3	$52	139	109	+30	Up	+$2	05-09 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$51	32	32	+0	Down	+$11	05-08 14:24
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	3	$51	49	49	+0	open	—	06-26 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$50	33	33	+0	Down	+$10	05-09 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$50	78	0	+78	Up	$-50	05-09 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$50	282	0	+282	Down	$-50	05-09 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$50	68	0	+68	Down	+$18	05-09 07:04
btc updown 4h 1782576000	3	$47	144	144	+0	open	—	06-27 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$45	25	25	+0	Down	+$5	05-08 14:29
bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 1pm et	4	$45	62	62	+0	open	—	07-08 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$44	24	24	+0	Up	+$4	05-08 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$43	143	143	+0	Down	+$23	05-09 06:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$42	22	22	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 14:33
btc updown 5m 1783674000	4	$41	52	52	+0	open	—	07-10 09:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 07:54:44	btc updown 5m 1783929000	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x9b3b8d…
07-13 07:54:20	btc updown 5m 1783929000	Down	SELL	70	5¢	$4	0x57be82…
07-13 07:52:56	btc updown 5m 1783929000	Down	BUY	70	49¢	$34	0x4c9a2d…
07-13 07:37:14	btc updown 5m 1783928100	Up	SELL	100	37¢	$37	0x74ed70…
07-13 07:36:49	btc updown 5m 1783928100	Up	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xa8dacb…
07-12 20:30:46	btc updown 4h 1783886400	Up	BUY	43	48¢	$21	0x6c26c8…
07-12 20:25:16	btc updown 5m 1783887900	Down	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0xddcf1c…
07-12 20:21:56	btc updown 5m 1783887600	Down	SELL	29	46¢	$13	0xac64e7…
07-12 20:21:19	btc updown 5m 1783887600	Down	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0x9a0ea9…
07-12 20:17:08	btc updown 5m 1783887300	Down	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xfd2502…
07-12 20:16:07	btc updown 5m 1783887300	Down	SELL	28	53¢	$15	0x5b0c75…
07-12 20:15:25	btc updown 5m 1783887300	Down	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x024ff9…
07-12 20:11:23	btc updown 5m 1783887000	Down	SELL	26	68¢	$18	0x72c962…
07-12 20:10:25	btc updown 5m 1783887000	Down	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0x1a0449…
07-12 20:08:22	btc updown 5m 1783886700	Up	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xf29ff0…
07-12 20:08:05	btc updown 5m 1783886700	Up	SELL	25	70¢	$17	0xd758bf…
07-12 20:05:55	btc updown 5m 1783886700	Up	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0x691564…
07-12 20:01:10	btc updown 5m 1783886400	Down	BUY	34	41¢	$14	0x0e9034…
07-12 19:59:55	btc updown 5m 1783886100	Up	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xa655ae…
07-12 19:59:22	btc updown 5m 1783886100	Up	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0x2eb898…
07-12 19:55:22	btc updown 5m 1783886100	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x0f8635…
07-12 19:46:31	btc updown 5m 1783885500	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xaad6d3…
07-12 19:40:49	btc updown 5m 1783885200	Up	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x1454a4…
07-12 19:35:23	btc updown 5m 1783884900	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x6c7d29…
07-12 19:30:20	btc updown 5m 1783884600	Up	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x48769c…
07-12 19:26:01	btc updown 5m 1783884300	Up	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xa8bf67…
07-12 19:20:11	btc updown 5m 1783884000	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x31d7b8…
07-12 19:16:02	btc updown 5m 1783883700	Up	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x94efca…
07-12 19:10:14	btc updown 5m 1783883400	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x48932e…
07-12 19:08:16	btc updown 5m 1783883100	Up	SELL	8	92¢	$8	0xc7153d…
07-12 19:05:16	btc updown 5m 1783883100	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x1b0d3b…
07-12 19:00:19	btc updown 5m 1783882800	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xf35592…
07-12 18:55:26	btc updown 5m 1783882500	Down	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x9ecb88…
07-12 18:50:25	btc updown 5m 1783882200	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x41807c…
07-12 18:46:13	btc updown 5m 1783881900	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x996997…
07-12 18:44:23	btc updown 5m 1783881600	Up	SELL	30	24¢	$7	0xaa54fd…
07-12 18:43:25	btc updown 5m 1783881600	Up	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xd80eb3…
07-12 18:35:16	btc updown 5m 1783881300	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x81ace0…
07-12 18:30:16	btc updown 5m 1783881000	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x892765…
07-12 18:25:26	btc updown 5m 1783880700	Up	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x199ab2…
07-12 18:20:53	btc updown 5m 1783880400	Down	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x66c29b…
07-12 18:15:43	btc updown 5m 1783880100	Up	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x2ce93f…
07-10 10:21:20	btc updown 5m 1783678800	Down	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0x541db8…
07-10 10:21:01	btc updown 5m 1783678500	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0xc300aa…
07-10 10:19:53	btc updown 5m 1783678500	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xacf98f…
07-10 10:19:13	btc updown 5m 1783678500	Down	SELL	80	33¢	$26	0x621921…
07-10 10:17:14	btc updown 5m 1783678500	Down	BUY	80	43¢	$34	0xac031a…
07-10 09:48:44	btc updown 5m 1783676700	Up	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x70d214…
07-10 09:44:59	btc updown 5m 1783676400	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x5e4000…
07-10 09:44:52	btc updown 5m 1783676400	Up	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x79a461…
07-10 09:27:38	btc updown 5m 1783675500	Up	SELL	57	66¢	$38	0x6ca72b…
07-10 09:27:11	btc updown 5m 1783675500	Up	BUY	57	52¢	$30	0x1a4533…
07-10 09:14:50	btc updown 5m 1783674600	Up	SELL	23	14¢	$3	0xa93c2e…
07-10 09:13:44	btc updown 5m 1783674600	Up	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xa97954…
07-10 09:12:44	btc updown 5m 1783674600	Down	SELL	50	63¢	$32	0xc4b92e…
07-10 09:10:32	btc updown 5m 1783674600	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x4ffa27…
07-10 09:10:04	btc updown 5m 1783674300	Down	BUY	45	7¢	$3	0xcbf190…
07-10 09:06:16	btc updown 5m 1783674300	Down	SELL	48	62¢	$30	0x6b7383…
07-10 09:05:26	btc updown 5m 1783674300	Down	BUY	48	43¢	$21	0x5eb502…
07-10 09:04:43	btc updown 5m 1783674000	Up	SELL	27	12¢	$3	0x9ff70d…
07-10 09:04:07	btc updown 5m 1783674000	Up	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x176f48…
07-10 09:02:16	btc updown 5m 1783674000	Down	SELL	25	89¢	$22	0x1afd26…
07-10 09:00:13	btc updown 5m 1783674000	Down	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x3eb25b…
07-10 08:58:11	btc updown 5m 1783673700	Up	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0x344b9b…
07-10 08:55:19	btc updown 5m 1783673700	Up	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x8e938f…
07-10 08:50:23	btc updown 5m 1783673400	Up	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x0549b0…
07-10 08:45:02	btc updown 5m 1783672800	Down	BUY	558	4¢	$20	0xf87411…
07-10 08:35:41	btc updown 5m 1783672500	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x1e56e6…
07-10 08:33:56	btc updown 5m 1783672200	Up	SELL	56	8¢	$4	0x74fef5…
07-10 08:33:31	btc updown 5m 1783672200	Up	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x83704f…
07-10 08:30:17	btc updown 5m 1783672200	Up	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0xc71699…
07-10 08:29:52	btc updown 5m 1783671900	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xac6c0e…
07-10 08:29:19	btc updown 5m 1783671900	Up	SELL	29	33¢	$9	0xc34084…
07-10 08:26:17	btc updown 5m 1783671900	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x834935…
07-10 08:25:14	btc updown 5m 1783671900	Up	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xb07b5c…
07-10 08:23:16	btc updown 5m 1783671600	Up	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xa61e45…
07-09 18:35:17	btc updown 5m 1783622100	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xc32b22…
07-09 18:34:38	btc updown 5m 1783621800	Up	SELL	18	97¢	$18	0xc184dc…
07-09 18:30:52	btc updown 5m 1783621800	Up	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x98da08…
07-09 18:29:43	btc updown 5m 1783621500	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x84d8e1…
07-09 18:25:31	btc updown 5m 1783621500	Up	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x290308…
07-09 18:20:19	btc updown 5m 1783621200	Up	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x859f17…
07-09 18:15:20	btc updown 5m 1783620900	Up	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x23d268…
07-09 18:12:37	btc updown 5m 1783620600	Up	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x04f5be…
07-09 18:05:59	btc updown 5m 1783620300	Down	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x07b692…
07-09 18:01:19	btc updown 5m 1783620000	Down	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x43fb6d…
07-09 17:55:17	btc updown 5m 1783619700	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x1abfda…
07-09 17:54:47	btc updown 5m 1783619400	Down	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0xc1ccd9…
07-09 17:50:20	btc updown 5m 1783619400	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xe665a5…
07-09 17:46:34	btc updown 5m 1783619100	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xc22931…
07-09 17:44:50	btc updown 5m 1783618800	Up	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0xa1ac09…
07-09 17:40:49	btc updown 5m 1783618800	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x6375f9…
07-09 17:32:55	btc updown 5m 1783618200	Up	SELL	60	9¢	$5	0xbd4c63…
07-09 17:32:47	btc updown 5m 1783618200	Up	BUY	74	8¢	$6	0xa752c2…
07-08 19:14:16	btc updown 5m 1783537800	Up	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x84ed3d…
07-08 19:10:35	btc updown 5m 1783537800	Up	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x07610f…
07-08 19:08:07	btc updown 5m 1783537500	Up	SELL	22	24¢	$5	0x295c31…
07-08 19:06:53	btc updown 5m 1783537500	Up	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x46b96d…
07-08 19:04:56	btc updown 5m 1783537200	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x09191d…
07-08 19:04:07	btc updown 5m 1783537200	Down	SELL	46	16¢	$7	0xcbce31…