Orderly-Yoyo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$747

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 06-06 07:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 67% $-3

Politics

33% — —

Other

5% — —

Sports

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	4	$88	197	197	+0	open	—	04-24 19:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$74	108	108	+0	open	—	04-28 14:17
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	1	$58	0	59	-59	open	—	06-06 07:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$30	54	0	+54	open	—	04-29 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$30	63	0	+63	open	—	04-27 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$24	16	16	+1	open	—	04-25 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$24	39	0	+39	open	—	04-25 15:57
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	1	$20	48	0	+48	open	—	04-26 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$20	36	0	+36	open	—	04-25 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$20	35	0	+35	open	—	04-29 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$20	36	0	+36	open	—	04-25 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$20	39	0	+39	open	—	04-25 19:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	04-25 16:09
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	2	$20	88	88	+0	open	—	04-25 20:21
Wingbits FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	04-23 21:29
btc updown 5m 1777058700	1	$18	31	0	+31	open	—	04-24 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$15	31	0	+31	open	—	04-25 20:25
Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$14	270	0	+270	open	—	04-25 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$14	18	0	+18	open	—	04-25 20:18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	2	$13	21	21	+0	open	—	04-25 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$12	31	0	+31	open	—	04-25 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$10	131	30	+102	open	—	04-25 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-26 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$10	34	0	+34	open	—	04-27 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	04-25 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$10	27	0	+27	open	—	04-25 15:45
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	04-27 17:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-25 20:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$10	31	0	+31	open	—	04-25 14:14
Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	04-24 19:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 07:42:48	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	SELL	59	97¢	$58	0x4bb30d…
05-19 14:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x9e8cdc…
05-06 16:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x5dd7a6…
05-06 16:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xad8ff4…
04-29 17:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x664cf1…
04-29 13:12:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xd416b0…
04-29 13:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xd25c0d…
04-28 14:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xe27a36…
04-28 14:17:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	29¢	$10	0xe12934…
04-28 09:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	38	16¢	$6	0xe2a94d…
04-28 06:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xe9d262…
04-28 06:16:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x33f31a…
04-27 20:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xcb718d…
04-27 20:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x532eab…
04-27 17:46:28	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xa95533…
04-27 14:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x1b717c…
04-27 12:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	111	4¢	$4	0x597a1a…
04-26 18:32:14	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x039b56…
04-26 16:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x720db7…
04-25 20:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xc805ec…
04-25 20:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x28a139…
04-25 20:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x2c243c…
04-25 20:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0xc67b1a…
04-25 20:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0xf40056…
04-25 20:21:44	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	11¢	$10	0x76827a…
04-25 20:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	77¢	$14	0xbccc75…
04-25 20:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xea2237…
04-25 20:12:36	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0x5842df…
04-25 20:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x405754…
04-25 20:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x9a4934…
04-25 20:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa76d02…
04-25 19:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x611c75…
04-25 19:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xa2bae9…
04-25 19:55:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	11¢	$2	0xc4629d…
04-25 19:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	39¢	$12	0xa275b6…
04-25 19:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x206119…
04-25 18:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x2118cf…
04-25 16:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x00f221…
04-25 16:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xe3e242…
04-25 16:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0ff782…
04-25 16:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x4ed34f…
04-25 16:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0x352079…
04-25 15:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xab460d…
04-25 15:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x6ddf16…
04-25 15:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xb56362…
04-25 14:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x3275cf…
04-25 14:13:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	33¢	$24	0x959b18…
04-25 10:48:42	Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	270	5¢	$14	0x4af8f3…
04-24 21:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xfff78e…
04-24 19:50:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x903a2c…
04-24 19:31:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x95f4ea…
04-24 19:30:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x373cca…
04-24 19:29:20	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xd451a7…
04-24 19:28:56	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x80949c…
04-24 19:28:06	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Up	BUY	31	58¢	$18	0x4c2a0c…
04-24 19:19:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	96	29¢	$28	0x56d3f5…
04-24 12:29:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x9f3fdf…
04-24 12:26:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	25¢	$25	0xeb583b…
04-23 21:31:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	10¢	$10	0x6d866d…
04-23 21:29:28	Wingbits FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xbaa5e4…
04-23 09:35:06	Wingbits FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x61d917…