Fumbling-Quest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$107

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.4%

Resolved

Trades

108

lifetime

Volume

$2.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-13 12:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 22% +$107

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	22	$802	658	604	+54	Up	+$29	05-09 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$317	269	269	+0	Down	+$217	05-09 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	3	$316	313	313	+0	Up	+$216	05-13 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$239	191	191	+0	Up	+$139	05-10 06:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$60	1,259	0	+1,259	Down	$-60	05-09 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	6	$60	1,645	0	+1,645	Up	$-60	05-09 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	7	$57	1,788	0	+1,788	Up	$-57	05-09 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$50	175	0	+175	Up	$-50	05-10 06:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$50	147	0	+147	Down	$-50	05-10 06:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$50	195	0	+195	Down	$-50	05-09 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	3	$45	83	56	+27	Up	+$5	05-09 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$43	165	0	+165	Up	$-43	05-10 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$39	33	33	+0	Up	+$27	05-09 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	4	$37	23	23	+0	Down	+$7	05-09 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	3	$30	1,079	0	+1,079	Down	$-30	05-09 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	5	$25	635	0	+635	Up	$-25	05-09 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$23	18	18	+0	Down	+$13	05-09 22:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$20	262	0	+262	Down	$-20	05-10 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$20	114	0	+114	Up	+$94	05-09 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$20	199	0	+199	Down	$-20	05-10 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$15	107	0	+107	Up	$-15	05-10 07:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$11	36	0	+36	Down	$-11	05-10 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$11	78	0	+78	Up	$-11	05-10 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	3	$10	400	0	+400	Up	$-10	05-09 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$10	114	0	+114	Up	$-10	05-10 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$10	250	0	+250	Down	$-10	05-10 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$10	600	0	+600	Down	$-10	05-13 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	Up	$-10	05-09 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$10	71	0	+71	Up	$-10	05-10 05:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$10	32	0	+32	Up	$-10	05-09 16:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 12:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	313	85¢	$266	0x8f3239…
05-13 12:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x42bca8…
05-13 12:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	105	24¢	$25	0x92a46c…
05-13 12:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x191b03…
05-13 12:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x7059fb…
05-13 12:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x26e780…
05-10 07:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0x4ccfec…
05-10 06:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xea4171…
05-10 06:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	43	15¢	$7	0xc6aaa8…
05-10 06:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	114	9¢	$10	0xa61490…
05-10 06:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	191	99¢	$189	0xf00fa7…
05-10 06:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	191	26¢	$50	0x381d3f…
05-10 06:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	165	26¢	$43	0xe8158b…
05-10 06:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	175	29¢	$50	0x2e6378…
05-10 06:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x69d872…
05-10 06:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xeae2ec…
05-10 06:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x90ccc4…
05-10 06:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0xbecea6…
05-10 06:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	185	5¢	$10	0x4befa0…
05-10 06:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xcdaa20…
05-10 06:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	57	10¢	$6	0xa2f8db…
05-10 06:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0xe3df1c…
05-10 05:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x54fac1…
05-10 05:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xf529d3…
05-10 05:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x62da79…
05-10 05:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xb97caa…
05-10 05:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	36	31¢	$11	0x4b5940…
05-10 04:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x735f07…
05-10 04:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x3b32cb…
05-10 03:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	459	1¢	$5	0xd7bf49…
05-10 03:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2d2e62…
05-10 03:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf4f61c…
05-10 02:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x83eeaa…
05-10 02:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xabbc4d…
05-09 23:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x81677b…
05-09 23:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0xc1eda3…
05-09 23:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x5099d1…
05-09 22:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	18¢	$6	0x22f8f9…
05-09 22:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x338d3e…
05-09 22:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xde3a36…
05-09 22:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x73aa6d…
05-09 22:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xaaa1cf…
05-09 22:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc38c8d…
05-09 22:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xe49432…
05-09 22:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x9553eb…
05-09 21:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x2ba52f…
05-09 16:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xb4fc91…
05-09 16:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x11eb95…
05-09 16:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	269	99¢	$267	0xe7d7bb…
05-09 16:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	269	19¢	$50	0x81f493…
05-09 16:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	195	26¢	$50	0x6dd637…
05-09 16:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x948f89…
05-09 16:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	259	19¢	$50	0x098954…
05-09 16:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x98cd6d…
05-09 16:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x34d530…
05-09 16:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x9860cd…
05-09 16:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x268fe9…
05-09 16:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x3aa36a…
05-09 16:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x882cdb…
05-09 16:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x988aad…
05-09 16:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x38b0e9…
05-09 16:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xb54577…
05-09 16:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xadcc49…
05-09 16:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xa377d7…
05-09 16:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xd507df…
05-09 16:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x5ac3c0…
05-09 16:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xde3056…
05-09 16:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	56	45¢	$25	0xe1bff6…
05-09 16:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x3122dd…
05-09 14:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x116cf7…
05-09 14:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xfe281a…
05-09 14:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xcc7134…
05-09 14:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xf8da50…
05-09 14:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x74c96f…
05-09 14:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x188fd9…
05-09 14:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xd4174e…
05-09 14:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0x11c215…
05-09 14:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xf955c1…
05-09 14:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x18f81d…
05-09 14:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xfc7961…
05-09 13:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xda3754…
05-09 13:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0x78f94f…
05-09 13:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x74cf66…
05-09 13:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xba67c5…
05-09 13:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x9acf1a…
05-09 13:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x091ab4…
05-09 13:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd0105f…
05-09 13:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xcd45ad…
05-09 13:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x685518…
05-09 13:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x26b4f2…
05-09 13:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xaeeaa8…
05-09 13:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2229f9…
05-09 13:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x3a3817…
05-09 13:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	604	64¢	$389	0x1a5f1a…
05-09 13:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xd944b4…
05-09 13:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xa4568a…
05-09 13:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x9c81c9…
05-09 13:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x6e472c…
05-09 13:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x29c206…
05-09 13:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd21c34…