Smug-Wastebasket — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

2.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$33.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.36K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-26 02:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

49% 33% $-8

Sports

49% 0% $-8

Crypto

2% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	2	$8.3K	4,179	4,179	+0	No	$-4	01-03 06:33
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$8.3K	4,162	4,162	+0	No	$-4	01-03 08:04
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	3	$8.3K	4,206	4,176	+30	No	$-4	01-11 11:52
will the carolina panthers win super bowl 2026	2	$8.3K	4,192	4,192	+0	No	$-4	01-03 07:07
btc updown 5m 1773111300	1	$106	108	0	+108	Down	+$2	03-10 02:59
will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	1	$88	88	0	+88	No	+$0	06-26 02:23
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	1	$67	67	0	+67	No	+$0	03-28 00:17
Will Solana dip to $20 in May?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	05-14 03:12
xrp above 1pt7 on march 1	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	02-28 23:45
ethereum above 1600 on march 13	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	03-13 00:01
ethereum above 3400 on january 13	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	01-13 00:12
bitcoin above 94k on january 26	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	01-26 00:13
bitcoin above 84k on january 12	1	$33	33	0	+33	Yes	+$0	01-11 23:44
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	02-15 07:55
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in May?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-21 08:39
ethereum above 2500 on february 12	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	02-12 11:30
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	02-15 07:55
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	02-15 07:56
btc updown 5m 1773111600	1	$16	16	0	+16	Down	+$0	03-10 03:03
btc updown 5m 1773113100	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	03-10 03:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 02:23:35	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x0c2edc…
05-21 08:39:22	Will XRP dip to $0.80 in May?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5e78ce…
05-14 03:12:17	Will Solana dip to $20 in May?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x840def…
03-28 00:17:17	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x1ff653…
03-13 00:01:11	ethereum above 1600 on march 13	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x662fd0…
03-10 03:29:57	btc updown 5m 1773113100	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9d5772…
03-10 03:03:59	btc updown 5m 1773111600	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xa1a368…
03-10 02:59:39	btc updown 5m 1773111300	Down	BUY	108	98¢	$106	0x71108b…
02-28 23:45:53	xrp above 1pt7 on march 1	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa5f231…
02-15 07:56:41	will solana reach 200 in february 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1539d5…
02-15 07:55:43	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8051f9…
02-15 07:55:11	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x1737ae…
02-12 11:30:45	ethereum above 2500 on february 12	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x40df51…
01-26 00:13:28	bitcoin above 94k on january 26	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x867762…
01-13 00:12:39	ethereum above 3400 on january 13	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xac2744…
01-11 23:44:06	bitcoin above 84k on january 12	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x3c88f8…
01-11 11:52:50	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb199f4…
01-03 09:07:03	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	4,176	99¢	$4,134	0x26829d…
01-03 08:15:49	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	4,176	99¢	$4,138	0xc2fad3…
01-03 08:04:37	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	4,162	100¢	$4,154	0xb0c7cd…
01-03 07:47:33	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	4,162	100¢	$4,158	0x9edd3c…
01-03 07:07:19	will the carolina panthers win super bowl 2026	No	SELL	4,192	99¢	$4,146	0x98cbce…
01-03 06:36:49	will the carolina panthers win super bowl 2026	No	BUY	4,192	99¢	$4,150	0x4aa508…
01-03 06:33:19	us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	No	SELL	4,179	100¢	$4,167	0x9abaf5…
01-03 06:05:07	us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	No	BUY	4,179	100¢	$4,171	0xa5e722…