Insignificant-Correspondence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$214

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$29.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$895

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-21 07:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

78% — —

Politics

18% — —

Crypto

4% 100% +$214

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$9.4K	5,010	5,010	+0	open	—	02-28 10:14
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	1	$4.3K	4,349	0	+4,349	open	—	04-21 11:57
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	1	$3.3K	3,474	0	+3,474	open	—	05-21 07:23
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$3.0K	3,168	0	+3,168	open	—	05-14 12:24
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$2.2K	1,170	1,170	+0	open	—	01-28 20:16
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$2.1K	1,190	1,190	+0	open	—	03-29 09:12
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$1.0K	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	01-06 09:21
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	1	$996	1,083	0	+1,083	open	—	01-15 11:14
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	1	$800	903	0	+903	open	—	04-21 11:01
bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting 384	4	$579	560	560	+0	open	—	03-03 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$387	701	701	+0	Up	+$187	05-13 21:28
will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the february meeting	2	$374	284	284	+0	open	—	02-11 11:11
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$242	14,286	14,286	+0	open	—	03-06 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$232	327	327	+0	open	—	05-04 12:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$227	352	352	+0	Up	+$27	05-09 09:50
btc updown 15m 1770309900	2	$184	188	185	+3	open	—	02-05 16:49
btc updown 5m 1771248000	1	$100	395	0	+395	open	—	02-16 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$100	465	0	+465	open	—	05-04 12:17
btc updown 15m 1770139800	2	$43	48	47	+1	open	—	02-03 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$5	62	0	+62	open	—	05-14 12:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 07:23:16	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3,474	95¢	$3,300	0xc9528e…
05-14 12:24:04	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3,168	95¢	$3,000	0xad0137…
05-14 12:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x69716e…
05-13 21:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	701	41¢	$287	0xd9c6d9…
05-13 21:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	701	14¢	$100	0xa32b71…
05-09 09:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	352	36¢	$127	0xd3a096…
05-09 09:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	352	28¢	$100	0x1cb4d7…
05-04 12:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	327	41¢	$132	0x7a2f27…
05-04 12:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	327	31¢	$100	0x3da538…
05-04 12:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	465	22¢	$100	0x49a5b6…
04-21 11:57:56	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,349	98¢	$4,275	0xed823d…
04-21 11:01:00	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	903	89¢	$800	0x76e289…
03-29 09:12:44	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	1,190	93¢	$1,105	0x2255ad…
03-27 06:17:43	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	1,190	84¢	$1,000	0x86ed8a…
03-06 13:37:55	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	14,286	1¢	$142	0xc75639…
03-06 11:08:15	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	14,286	1¢	$100	0x6abbc7…
03-03 09:01:37	bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting 384	Yes	SELL	560	35¢	$199	0xff6ad2…
02-28 10:14:29	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	5,010	94¢	$4,730	0x085f07…
02-20 13:30:36	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,010	94¢	$4,692	0x7e4f5b…
02-16 13:20:39	btc updown 5m 1771248000	Up	BUY	395	25¢	$100	0x0f7cb1…
02-11 11:11:25	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the february meeting	Yes	SELL	284	61¢	$174	0xdce7a9…
02-06 11:12:15	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the february meeting	Yes	BUY	284	70¢	$200	0x6dd54c…
02-05 16:49:59	btc updown 15m 1770309900	Up	SELL	185	62¢	$115	0x9d9fa6…
02-05 16:46:59	btc updown 15m 1770309900	Up	BUY	188	37¢	$69	0x845e27…
02-05 13:33:27	bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting 384	Yes	BUY	123	65¢	$80	0x14d7f5…
02-05 12:54:13	bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting 384	Yes	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0x8d30e0…
02-05 12:44:13	bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting 384	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x8b3bbf…
02-03 17:34:50	btc updown 15m 1770139800	Down	SELL	47	50¢	$23	0xe99360…
02-03 17:34:28	btc updown 15m 1770139800	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xc0dbe6…
01-28 20:16:08	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1,170	94¢	$1,094	0x4e70f3…
01-26 13:59:55	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	1,170	93¢	$1,083	0x0efa45…
01-15 11:14:42	us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	No	BUY	1,083	92¢	$996	0x6861fb…
01-06 09:21:49	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,100	91¢	$1,001	0x3b3213…