Humble-Permafrost — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$498

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 05-11 13:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 50% $-6

Sports

17% 50% +$3

Other

7% — —

Politics

3% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1770441300	4	$106	1,304	100	+1,204	open	—	02-07 05:30
Canadiens vs. Sabres	2	$63	43	43	+0	Canadiens	+$23	05-09 02:22
btc updown 15m 1770504300	1	$50	57	0	+57	open	—	02-07 22:57
btc updown 15m 1770591600	3	$41	332	0	+332	open	—	02-08 23:05
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$30	429	0	+429	open	—	02-15 08:10
btc updown 15m 1770590700	3	$26	166	0	+166	open	—	02-08 22:58
btc updown 15m 1770589800	2	$26	671	0	+671	open	—	02-08 22:45
btc updown 15m 1770417000	2	$22	40	0	+40	open	—	02-06 22:31
Sabres vs. Canadiens	1	$20	35	0	+35	Sabres	$-20	05-11 13:25
btc updown 15m 1770414300	2	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	02-06 21:57
btc updown 5m 1773279600	1	$15	65	0	+65	open	—	03-12 01:40
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	1	$11	1,175	0	+1,175	open	—	03-03 00:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$5	20	0	+20	Up	$-5	05-08 19:31
btc updown 5m 1773279300	1	$5	42	0	+42	open	—	03-12 01:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$5	18	0	+18	Down	$-5	05-08 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-08 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-08 19:24
btc updown 15m 1770443100	3	$5	35	0	+35	open	—	02-07 05:55
btc updown 15m 1770486300	1	$3	100	0	+100	open	—	02-07 17:59
btc updown 15m 1770442200	2	$3	9	0	+9	open	—	02-07 05:44
btc updown 15m 1770444000	3	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	02-07 06:08
btc updown 15m 1770506100	1	$2	11	0	+11	open	—	02-07 23:27
btc updown 15m 1770505200	2	$2	58	0	+58	open	—	02-07 23:09
btc updown 15m 1770416100	2	$2	14	0	+14	open	—	02-06 22:26
btc updown 5m 1771142400	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	02-15 08:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	1	$1	71	0	+71	No	$-1	05-08 19:05
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1	143	0	+143	open	—	02-13 00:10
btc updown 15m 1770424200	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	02-07 00:40
coin quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 12 2026 0pt61	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	02-12 17:32
btc updown 5m 1772498100	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	03-03 00:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 13:25:49	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xddd820…
05-09 17:57:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x60e767…
05-09 02:22:04	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x3d7573…
05-08 19:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x69ab83…
05-08 19:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe71943…
05-08 19:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x8d9db4…
05-08 19:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x174462…
05-08 19:16:21	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xa61b05…
05-08 19:05:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x1d8d35…
04-06 09:25:39	btc updown 5m 1775467500	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb2ab45…
03-12 01:40:33	btc updown 5m 1773279600	Down	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0xa32bcd…
03-12 01:37:47	btc updown 5m 1773279300	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xd9fefe…
03-11 16:40:47	btc updown 5m 1773247200	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x357062…
03-11 16:39:59	btc updown 5m 1773246900	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x397a5c…
03-03 00:56:57	btc updown 5m 1772499300	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa93a9f…
03-03 00:54:13	btc updown 5m 1772499000	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x586525…
03-03 00:46:31	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	No	BUY	1,175	1¢	$11	0x89ce12…
03-03 00:45:03	btc updown 5m 1772498400	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x449e0b…
03-03 00:39:31	btc updown 5m 1772498100	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x36488e…
02-17 22:54:49	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9c5d62…
02-16 15:14:13	btc updown 5m 1771254600	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x326f77…
02-15 08:10:23	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	429	7¢	$30	0xb97efd…
02-15 08:08:17	btc updown 5m 1771142700	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd7f7a7…
02-15 08:04:39	btc updown 5m 1771142400	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xef2f8c…
02-13 00:10:37	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x3a79f5…
02-12 17:32:09	coin quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 12 2026 0pt61	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x53bf53…
02-12 17:31:43	spx up or down on february 12 2026	Up	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xc92772…
02-12 17:30:37	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x322cb8…
02-08 23:05:13	btc updown 15m 1770591600	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3dca37…
02-08 23:04:05	btc updown 15m 1770591600	Down	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xe7d4ac…
02-08 23:03:51	btc updown 15m 1770591600	Down	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0xb405e8…
02-08 22:58:21	btc updown 15m 1770590700	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xb2feb9…
02-08 22:53:35	btc updown 15m 1770590700	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xea3e14…
02-08 22:51:41	btc updown 15m 1770590700	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0c5be8…
02-08 22:45:21	btc updown 15m 1770589800	Down	BUY	600	1¢	$6	0x5a7bbc…
02-08 22:41:11	btc updown 15m 1770589800	Up	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x8ad0ce…
02-07 23:27:39	btc updown 15m 1770506100	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x536683…
02-07 23:09:55	btc updown 15m 1770505200	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x2f94d2…
02-07 23:09:23	btc updown 15m 1770505200	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xad5fb1…
02-07 22:57:15	btc updown 15m 1770504300	Up	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xf58da3…
02-07 18:01:17	btc updown 15m 1770487200	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5f9dd0…
02-07 17:59:11	btc updown 15m 1770486300	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x7d5946…
02-07 17:39:01	btc updown 15m 1770485400	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x12cab8…
02-07 13:11:51	us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x742ebd…
02-07 13:04:03	btc updown 15m 1770469200	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x1d63de…
02-07 06:08:33	btc updown 15m 1770444000	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x67df6b…
02-07 06:05:17	btc updown 15m 1770444000	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2ab90f…
02-07 06:00:33	btc updown 15m 1770444000	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x262ff1…
02-07 05:55:05	btc updown 15m 1770443100	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5cf139…
02-07 05:54:51	btc updown 15m 1770443100	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x494e9e…
02-07 05:48:01	btc updown 15m 1770443100	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xcc5c9d…
02-07 05:44:33	btc updown 15m 1770442200	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7f958b…
02-07 05:43:43	btc updown 15m 1770442200	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc98782…
02-07 05:30:23	btc updown 15m 1770441300	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2c95e8…
02-07 05:29:39	btc updown 15m 1770441300	Up	BUY	204	0¢	$1	0x4e3247…
02-07 05:28:37	btc updown 15m 1770441300	Down	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x5505a5…
02-07 05:23:43	btc updown 15m 1770441300	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xb8e42c…
02-07 00:43:37	spx opens up or down on february 9 2026	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd9e612…
02-07 00:40:03	btc updown 15m 1770424200	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x66462a…
02-06 22:47:09	btc updown 15m 1770417900	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x626ab1…
02-06 22:31:41	btc updown 15m 1770417000	Up	BUY	38	55¢	$21	0x50c589…
02-06 22:30:51	btc updown 15m 1770417000	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x39dbc5…
02-06 22:26:39	btc updown 15m 1770416100	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x23f8d5…
02-06 22:25:01	btc updown 15m 1770416100	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x967126…
02-06 22:05:31	btc updown 15m 1770415200	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc2d0bb…
02-06 21:57:25	btc updown 15m 1770414300	Up	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x717776…
02-06 21:56:21	btc updown 15m 1770414300	Up	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x3742c6…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x88f4…d4db	33	$11.3K	644	05-08 19:39
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	32	$1.11K	261	05-08 19:39
(anonymous) 0x5487…a014	31	$19.2K	2,969	03-12 01:42
(anonymous) 0xb9fc…da76	31	$18.6K	3,200	03-12 01:42
(anonymous) 0x0489…ee4d	31	$14.5K	5,777	03-12 01:42
(anonymous) 0x03c3…3a1d	31	$7.03K	2,025	03-12 01:43
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	31	$2.80K	386	04-06 09:25
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	29	$133.6K	9,061	03-12 01:42