Light-Herring — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$68

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 05-14 15:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

67% — —

Other

17% 0% $-47

Tech

11% — —

Crypto

5% 0% $-21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	7	$1.7K	3,508	3,508	+0	open	—	04-22 06:24
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	8	$606	196,187	196,187	+0	open	—	04-30 12:00
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	8	$602	9,597	6,912	+2,685	open	—	04-30 20:53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	2	$406	463	463	+0	open	—	04-21 15:25
gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	1	$256	2,203	0	+2,203	open	—	04-22 06:24
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	2	$229	5,249	0	+5,249	open	—	04-22 05:59
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	4	$195	555	555	+0	open	—	04-29 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$180	181	181	+0	Up	$-7	05-11 17:28
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	6	$77	15,350	15,350	+0	open	—	04-30 00:16
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	11	$38	783	783	+0	open	—	04-29 13:00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 29?	4	$35	713	713	+0	open	—	04-29 13:00
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$32	600	600	+0	open	—	04-30 12:16
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$31	3,485	3,485	+0	open	—	05-14 15:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	2	$28	1,064	1,064	+0	open	—	04-21 21:09
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	1	$27	13,500	0	+13,500	Yes	$-27	05-03 16:05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$23	4,533	4,533	+0	open	—	04-22 05:55
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	1	$20	9,880	0	+9,880	Yes	$-20	05-03 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$10	500	0	+500	Down	$-10	05-11 17:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	1	$9	717	0	+717	open	—	05-14 15:30
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$7	291	291	+0	open	—	04-30 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$4	80	0	+80	open	—	04-30 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$4	22	0	+22	Up	$-4	05-11 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$3	144	0	+144	open	—	04-30 20:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 15:30:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	717	1¢	$9	0xb68073…
05-14 15:30:16	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	3,485	0¢	$10	0xc292df…
05-14 15:12:49	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	3,485	1¢	$21	0x4e3a07…
05-11 17:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	181	48¢	$87	0xecf9aa…
05-11 17:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	181	52¢	$94	0xac7def…
05-11 17:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0xcf2d36…
05-11 17:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x155642…
05-03 16:12:00	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9,880	0¢	$20	0x9bd54f…
05-03 16:05:38	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	13,500	0¢	$27	0xe5c696…
04-30 20:53:54	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	2,685	0¢	$11	0xeb1b99…
04-30 20:46:46	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	SELL	359	3¢	$12	0x98992d…
04-30 20:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	144	2¢	$3	0x3b5b75…
04-30 20:43:00	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	SELL	95	3¢	$3	0x3eacb6…
04-30 12:32:46	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	455	2¢	$10	0xdffac6…
04-30 12:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0xdd8f2a…
04-30 12:16:34	Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	291	1¢	$3	0xcc852b…
04-30 12:16:28	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	600	2¢	$12	0x8e492d…
04-30 12:02:00	Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	291	1¢	$4	0x58e391…
04-30 12:01:40	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	600	3¢	$20	0x4f74cd…
04-30 12:00:10	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	12,597	0¢	$13	0x358776…
04-30 01:07:34	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	37,792	0¢	$113	0x107e4e…
04-30 00:22:44	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	52,446	0¢	$157	0x77371b…
04-30 00:16:42	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	7,000	0¢	$14	0x4070d1…
04-29 13:29:54	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	11,333	0¢	$34	0x5e3509…
04-29 13:29:32	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	SELL	287	12¢	$36	0x92f3f5…
04-29 13:01:06	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5,333	0¢	$16	0x163a61…
04-29 13:00:50	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	SELL	204	2¢	$3	0xb4d70e…
04-29 13:00:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 29?	Yes	SELL	442	1¢	$4	0x320a7d…
04-29 11:17:28	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	SELL	212	3¢	$5	0x999884…
04-29 11:13:58	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	SELL	38	3¢	$1	0xd29cb0…
04-29 11:13:46	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	SELL	102	3¢	$3	0xd5c3f9…
04-29 10:57:30	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	1,333	0¢	$4	0x2b53d1…
04-29 10:50:16	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	SELL	38	3¢	$1	0x28541f…
04-29 10:48:14	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	SELL	77	3¢	$2	0xc33f5f…
04-29 10:46:08	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	SELL	38	3¢	$1	0x312618…
04-29 10:41:02	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	4,667	0¢	$14	0xace266…
04-29 10:40:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 29?	Yes	SELL	271	5¢	$13	0x32b33a…
04-29 10:39:44	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	SELL	38	3¢	$1	0xd0c5f8…
04-29 10:39:14	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x05481a…
04-29 10:38:44	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x77570b…
04-29 09:22:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	104	4¢	$4	0x6cef8a…
04-29 09:09:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	609	2¢	$14	0xf79dd1…
04-29 09:02:06	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x7f2529…
04-29 08:51:14	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	BUY	783	3¢	$20	0xec3346…
04-29 08:50:40	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	SELL	486	9¢	$44	0xcccce2…
04-29 08:13:16	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	486	8¢	$40	0x64e89f…
04-29 08:12:02	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	8,350	0¢	$17	0xec39be…
04-29 08:06:04	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	SELL	5,971	7¢	$444	0xe76d0f…
04-28 22:23:48	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	5,971	1¢	$38	0x943e76…
04-28 22:23:10	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	SELL	168	24¢	$41	0x41bd7f…
04-28 15:10:48	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	8,350	0¢	$25	0x32eb60…
04-28 15:10:22	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	SELL	100	26¢	$25	0x9897de…
04-27 10:17:20	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	555	17¢	$93	0x190b55…
04-27 10:16:50	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	93,350	0¢	$93	0x2421c2…
04-25 20:14:18	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	56,940	0¢	$57	0xd5cf7c…
04-25 09:43:32	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	122,580	0¢	$123	0xdef865…
04-22 06:24:44	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	No	BUY	2,203	12¢	$256	0x4792a7…
04-22 06:24:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	506	50¢	$256	0xcc30d0…
04-22 05:59:08	GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,234	4¢	$229	0x26ec15…
04-22 05:56:48	GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x8ec57a…
04-22 05:55:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	487	45¢	$220	0xbbac3e…
04-22 05:55:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4,533	0¢	$9	0xcaab12…
04-21 21:09:20	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,533	0¢	$14	0x391aa0…
04-21 21:09:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,064	1¢	$14	0xdd3b59…
04-21 21:08:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	993	36¢	$354	0xff2f03…
04-21 21:06:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,099	32¢	$354	0x321d82…
04-21 15:28:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,064	1¢	$15	0xa9872c…
04-21 15:26:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,099	18¢	$200	0x61bc87…
04-21 15:25:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	SELL	463	46¢	$215	0x65ec85…
04-21 15:07:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	463	41¢	$191	0x4075bd…
04-21 15:06:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,416	13¢	$191	0x99867f…
04-15 21:38:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,416	12¢	$170	0x55324b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	17	$10.7K	220	05-14 04:07
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	16	$89.8K	1,681	05-14 10:35
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	15	$86.1K	5,761	05-02 08:23
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	14	$2.17M	3,310	05-26 07:28
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	14	$22.8K	2,125	05-14 14:36
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	14	$16.5K	551	05-25 07:53
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	14	$2.37K	329	05-25 01:41
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	13	$7.14K	1,825	05-03 07:47