Firm-Dynamics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.2%

Resolved

Trades

119

lifetime

Volume

$328

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-24 09:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 48% $-11

Other

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	8	$31	44	44	+0	Down	$-1	05-11 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	7	$29	45	19	+26	Up	$-15	05-09 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	7	$29	25	15	+11	Up	+$6	05-09 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	11	$26	20	20	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	3	$21	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	4	$21	37	22	+16	Down	$-9	05-09 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	10	$20	18	18	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	3	$19	18	18	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 11:49
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	4	$18	17	17	+0	open	—	05-24 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	9	$16	15	12	+4	Up	+$2	05-11 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	8	$14	24	24	+0	Down	$-2	05-11 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	5	$13	20	10	+11	Up	+$8	05-09 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	5	$13	11	11	+0	Up	$-1	05-11 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	5	$10	12	7	+4	Up	+$0	05-11 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	6	$7	8	6	+1	Down	$-0	05-11 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	6	$6	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	4	$6	29	4	+25	Up	$-0	05-11 17:18
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-24 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	4	$4	6	2	+5	Up	$-2	05-11 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Up	$-2	05-11 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	3	$3	4	2	+1	Up	+$0	05-11 18:03
dota2 liquid ts8 2026 08 14	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	08-14 10:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	$-0	05-13 16:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 10:17:30	dota2 liquid ts8 2026 08 14	Team Spirit	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xb2c9b2…
05-24 09:34:16	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x8d9e18…
05-24 05:25:10	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xa1e317…
05-23 23:20:00	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x22721b…
05-23 23:05:35	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x0b88e4…
05-23 23:05:32	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x3379d6…
05-13 16:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x7c54eb…
05-13 16:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2c7fc1…
05-11 18:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x337038…
05-11 18:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xae5133…
05-11 18:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xee0abf…
05-11 18:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x72165b…
05-11 18:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x31fb39…
05-11 17:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x3fb0ef…
05-11 17:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x318628…
05-11 17:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x36a03a…
05-11 17:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xf8c2e7…
05-11 17:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa52cfe…
05-11 17:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6a9375…
05-11 17:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xc72896…
05-11 17:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa08726…
05-11 17:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x229444…
05-11 17:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xdf531e…
05-11 17:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8cad90…
05-11 17:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5960c4…
05-11 17:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xfa4c9d…
05-11 17:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x3326df…
05-11 17:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x473757…
05-11 17:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xfb905d…
05-11 17:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x753fd1…
05-11 17:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xc6e9ec…
05-11 17:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x74e42b…
05-11 17:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1c89d9…
05-11 17:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2703c6…
05-11 17:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x21efde…
05-11 17:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x9f3d2c…
05-11 17:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x52266b…
05-11 17:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb8cb99…
05-11 17:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x6c5783…
05-11 17:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd2cdc1…
05-11 17:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xf3bf80…
05-11 17:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x57a6c7…
05-11 17:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xb6e52b…
05-11 17:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xc7279b…
05-11 17:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe3e6e0…
05-11 17:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x27f2c7…
05-11 17:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x31d48b…
05-11 17:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x75b2e8…
05-11 17:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe1cd94…
05-11 17:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x8f9c3e…
05-11 17:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5baa7b…
05-11 17:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	94¢	$3	0xe68e10…
05-11 17:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x64267e…
05-11 17:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x1c2b83…
05-11 17:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x47f080…
05-11 17:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x3b9f79…
05-11 17:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x9b84a4…
05-11 17:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf42dd0…
05-11 17:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8e2323…
05-11 17:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x396fa7…
05-11 17:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xee063c…
05-11 17:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xfa0cd3…
05-11 17:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0xe2a27e…
05-11 17:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9909d4…
05-11 17:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$2	0x3a1ff3…
05-11 17:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1a9ccc…
05-11 17:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x42a76a…
05-11 17:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb09563…
05-11 17:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x331119…
05-11 17:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x168444…
05-11 17:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xb06d7f…
05-11 17:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x9173fd…
05-11 17:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x475be7…
05-11 17:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0xda2d2e…
05-11 17:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x431b19…
05-11 17:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7dc0bf…
05-11 17:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xbf9f41…
05-11 17:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x147e43…
05-11 17:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0xf8023b…
05-11 17:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xddbafa…
05-11 17:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x13b9ae…
05-11 17:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x9bcf20…
05-11 17:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x7b1c0b…
05-11 17:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xd3553a…
05-11 17:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x757df8…
05-11 17:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0xd9881d…
05-11 17:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xb9d2d4…
05-11 17:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0xf364dc…
05-11 17:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x075bc1…
05-09 12:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xaec236…
05-09 12:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x356bc5…
05-09 12:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x15afae…
05-09 12:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x6bec22…
05-09 12:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	19	37¢	$7	0x48e765…
05-09 12:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x78cb3e…
05-09 12:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x8fdb38…
05-09 12:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa7279e…
05-09 12:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x75914f…
05-09 12:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0xe34c31…
05-09 12:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x97b023…