Frilly-Tram — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-07 13:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 100% +$0

Other

22% 100% +$4

Politics

16% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$299	150	150	+0	open	—	01-16 08:20
Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$237	120	120	+0	open	—	01-23 07:07
ethereum above 2500 on march 23	1	$201	201	0	+201	open	—	03-23 12:19
will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	02-27 13:31
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$197	200	0	+200	open	—	04-05 13:39
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$196	200	0	+200	open	—	03-29 06:04
ethereum above 2700 on february 7	1	$188	188	0	+188	open	—	02-07 07:06
Espresso FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$180	180	0	+180	Yes	+$0	02-13 08:09
ethereum above 2500 on february 11	1	$180	180	0	+180	open	—	02-11 14:37
Tria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$180	180	0	+180	open	—	02-04 05:28
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$180	180	0	+180	open	—	03-06 07:44
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$179	180	0	+180	open	—	03-17 11:15
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$170	170	0	+170	open	—	01-16 12:23
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	3	$170	170	0	+170	open	—	02-20 07:25
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$160	161	0	+161	open	—	01-28 05:18
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$160	160	0	+160	open	—	03-03 04:42
ethereum above 1600 on march 9	1	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	03-09 07:25
bitcoin above 60k on february 17	1	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	02-17 13:11
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	1	$130	130	0	+130	open	—	01-23 07:07
will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$128	135	0	+135	open	—	03-12 09:02
bitcoin above 60k on february 23	1	$120	121	0	+121	open	—	02-23 11:08
another us strike on venezuela on january 9	1	$102	102	0	+102	open	—	01-10 05:44
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	01-31 04:28
will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	2	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	02-27 13:31
will ethereum dip to 2200 in january 2026 518	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	01-31 04:29
Immunefi FDV above $1.4B one day after launch?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	01-23 07:08
will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	01-31 04:29
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	2	$33	30	30	+0	open	—	06-01 10:55
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	05-30 09:40
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-20 04:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 13:02:18	lol al blg 2026 06 08	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xb9459d…
06-01 10:55:06	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Anyone's Legend	SELL	30	28¢	$8	0x6ee161…
06-01 04:02:11	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Anyone's Legend	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x295b87…
05-30 09:40:18	LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x5aa1e2…
05-20 06:52:13	LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x9fb116…
05-15 06:08:46	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x2b9479…
05-10 03:24:58	LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x6f2e81…
05-03 06:47:26	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x9f9004…
05-03 06:38:20	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x7e9591…
04-29 06:41:12	LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x609398…
04-20 04:37:38	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x159ed9…
04-20 04:37:04	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0597aa…
04-05 13:39:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x4a35dd…
03-29 06:04:46	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0x7345b5…
03-29 06:04:36	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	136	98¢	$134	0xedfefc…
03-23 12:19:33	ethereum above 2500 on march 23	No	BUY	201	100¢	$201	0x146af0…
03-17 11:15:49	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$179	0x04e2df…
03-12 09:02:41	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	135	95¢	$128	0x43be14…
03-09 07:25:25	ethereum above 1600 on march 9	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x217154…
03-06 07:44:21	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xf62b8e…
03-03 04:42:09	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x81cf85…
02-27 13:31:43	will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	No	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x59db88…
02-27 13:31:33	will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x518d97…
02-26 07:58:48	will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xea64da…
02-26 07:58:42	will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x42ad61…
02-23 11:08:20	bitcoin above 60k on february 23	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$120	0x3e9d69…
02-20 07:25:54	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x153842…
02-20 07:24:28	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x39658f…
02-20 06:44:56	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xbd88ad…
02-20 06:05:46	will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x521b53…
02-20 06:05:40	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3baa62…
02-17 13:11:47	bitcoin above 60k on february 17	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x2cdfb4…
02-17 11:56:03	will ethereum dip to 800 in february 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9a6457…
02-17 11:55:57	will ethereum dip to 1000 in february 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd91b76…
02-13 08:09:45	Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x63f227…
02-13 08:09:17	Espresso FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x70f2ff…
02-11 14:37:03	ethereum above 2500 on february 11	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x4aead9…
02-07 07:06:35	us strikes iran by february 7 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1a5473…
02-07 07:06:17	ethereum above 2700 on february 7	No	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0x4c832a…
02-04 05:30:56	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x06d1a4…
02-04 05:30:50	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x67a170…
02-04 05:28:12	Tria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x6fe9a3…
01-31 04:29:22	will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x450683…
01-31 04:29:08	will ethereum dip to 2200 in january 2026 518	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9a25aa…
01-31 04:28:40	us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb4ec4c…
01-28 05:18:57	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcab737…
01-28 05:18:33	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	161	100¢	$160	0xa8c428…
01-23 07:08:30	Immunefi FDV above $1.4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc66adb…
01-23 07:07:58	will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x809564…
01-23 07:07:20	Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xe884bc…
01-19 07:44:36	Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	120	98¢	$117	0x596938…
01-19 05:59:10	Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x128389…
01-19 05:58:12	Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf5f5fb…
01-16 12:28:56	footballfun fdv above 200m one day after launch xh08	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5ad420…
01-16 12:28:10	Over $16M committed to the Space public sale?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0aa8cb…
01-16 12:23:38	Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0xbd4814…
01-16 08:20:56	Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x032813…
01-14 16:20:50	Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0xaa985b…
01-14 09:38:48	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x24168d…
01-12 12:18:18	Over $14M committed to the Space public sale?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf8af55…
01-12 12:17:02	Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc48c7b…
01-12 12:16:52	Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x91b593…
01-12 12:16:10	Trove FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5d187d…
01-10 05:45:18	us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1b3719…
01-10 05:44:30	another us strike on venezuela on january 9	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xc5dc2f…