Mundane-Blackfish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$19.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$398

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-02 10:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% +$8

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 7?	1	$2.1K	2,084	0	+2,084	No	+$4	05-08 02:18
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 7?	1	$2.1K	2,080	0	+2,080	Yes	+$4	05-07 07:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 6?	1	$2.1K	2,075	0	+2,075	No	+$4	05-07 02:10
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5?	1	$2.1K	2,068	0	+2,068	No	+$4	05-06 02:39
ethereum above 3000 on january 16	1	$1.1K	1,076	0	+1,076	open	—	01-16 02:56
will the price of ethereum be greater than 3600 on january 15	1	$1.1K	1,075	0	+1,075	open	—	01-15 04:03
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 14	1	$1.1K	1,072	0	+1,072	open	—	01-14 03:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 13	1	$1.1K	1,070	0	+1,070	open	—	01-13 03:34
ethereum above 2800 on january 12	1	$1.1K	1,067	0	+1,067	open	—	01-12 03:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 11	1	$1.1K	1,066	0	+1,066	open	—	01-11 03:02
will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 10	1	$1.1K	1,065	0	+1,065	open	—	01-10 03:16
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 9	1	$1.1K	1,064	0	+1,064	open	—	01-09 03:58
ethereum above 2500 on january 8	1	$1.1K	1,063	0	+1,063	open	—	01-08 02:38
will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 7	1	$1.1K	1,062	0	+1,062	open	—	01-07 03:57
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-20 08:29
amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	06-09 08:22
bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	07-02 10:58
bill clinton in jail by december 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-27 09:49
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-23 09:32
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	04-17 03:05
bitcoin above 76k on february 7	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	02-06 07:37
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 4	6	$6	6,360	0	+6,360	open	—	01-04 02:33
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	06-25 09:02
bitcoin above 64k on march 27	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-26 05:35
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-21 05:54
bitcoin above 64k on march 13	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-12 02:26
will bitcoin dip to 62k march 2 8	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-07 13:46
will iranian officials visit the white house by february 28	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-25 02:03
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 1?	1	$4	2,108	0	+2,108	open	—	05-02 01:30
will bitcoin reach 79k on april 21	1	$4	2,086	0	+2,086	open	—	04-22 01:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 10:58:14	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xfe32c0…
06-25 09:02:35	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x42ae09…
06-21 05:54:35	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6bf5ca…
06-09 08:22:04	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9ddf7e…
05-20 08:29:29	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb5977a…
05-13 02:37:16	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	2,079	0¢	$4	0xcb315a…
05-08 02:18:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	2,084	100¢	$2,080	0xc044a2…
05-07 07:41:43	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	2,080	100¢	$2,076	0x823bb8…
05-07 02:10:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	2,075	100¢	$2,071	0xf9f1ff…
05-06 02:39:08	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5?	No	BUY	2,068	100¢	$2,064	0xe4cfbb…
05-05 01:58:18	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	2,084	0¢	$4	0x5400f6…
05-02 01:30:58	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	2,108	0¢	$4	0xc2ddab…
04-27 01:29:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2,078	0¢	$4	0xc80c73…
04-22 01:11:56	will bitcoin reach 79k on april 21	Yes	BUY	2,086	0¢	$4	0xaab593…
04-17 03:05:32	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x3b3718…
04-10 13:46:03	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x40e62d…
03-26 05:35:51	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x83d310…
03-12 02:26:17	bitcoin above 64k on march 13	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7d0c08…
03-07 13:46:05	will bitcoin dip to 62k march 2 8	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc24110…
02-25 02:03:32	will iranian officials visit the white house by february 28	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd6355a…
02-11 03:26:55	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xcf4522…
02-06 07:37:03	bitcoin above 76k on february 7	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xc62d07…
02-02 12:57:42	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd00df0…
01-31 08:21:16	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfecc18…
01-30 09:33:24	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa0eca4…
01-30 03:50:52	will the price of xrp be between 2pt30 2pt40 on january 30	Yes	BUY	1,078	0¢	$1	0x61ecfa…
01-27 09:49:11	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x46a06b…
01-26 12:33:07	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x921197…
01-26 03:16:28	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 26	Yes	BUY	1,070	0¢	$2	0xa0de80…
01-23 09:32:30	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd95182…
01-23 03:20:12	will the price of ethereum be between 3600 3700 on january 23	Yes	BUY	1,062	0¢	$1	0xc66f39…
01-19 13:20:04	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0f43b5…
01-16 02:56:00	ethereum above 3000 on january 16	Yes	BUY	1,076	100¢	$1,075	0xc54506…
01-15 04:03:24	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3600 on january 15	No	BUY	1,075	100¢	$1,072	0xd7a99a…
01-14 03:27:06	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 14	No	BUY	1,072	100¢	$1,070	0x4d7ec2…
01-13 03:34:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 13	No	BUY	1,070	100¢	$1,068	0x4603c3…
01-12 03:19:08	ethereum above 2800 on january 12	Yes	BUY	1,067	100¢	$1,066	0x251d60…
01-11 03:02:18	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 11	No	BUY	1,066	100¢	$1,065	0x740043…
01-10 03:16:04	will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 10	No	BUY	1,065	100¢	$1,064	0x962dd1…
01-09 03:58:48	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 9	No	BUY	1,064	100¢	$1,063	0x0160a3…
01-08 02:38:59	ethereum above 2500 on january 8	Yes	BUY	1,063	100¢	$1,062	0x78a5e8…
01-07 03:57:07	will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 7	No	BUY	1,062	100¢	$1,061	0x181b2b…
01-04 02:33:35	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 4	Yes	BUY	1,065	0¢	$1	0x9de5c8…
01-04 02:32:31	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 4	Yes	BUY	1,063	0¢	$1	0x1b5dfb…
01-04 02:30:53	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 4	Yes	BUY	1,060	0¢	$1	0x7cbee1…
01-04 02:29:39	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 4	Yes	BUY	1,055	0¢	$1	0x37e784…
01-04 02:28:31	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 4	Yes	BUY	1,058	0¢	$1	0x611dd4…
01-04 02:25:51	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 4	Yes	BUY	1,059	0¢	$1	0xb62d2a…