Youthful-Instrument — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.4%

Resolved

Trades

259

lifetime

Volume

$5.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 06-09 17:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 50% $-19

Politics

6% — —

Other

4% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	5	$446	682	649	+33	open	—	04-27 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3PM ET	5	$392	313	306	+7	open	—	04-27 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$263	267	255	+12	open	—	04-27 07:02
will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	1	$260	2,097	0	+2,097	open	—	04-25 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6AM ET	9	$244	235	227	+8	open	—	04-28 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	2	$206	196	196	+0	open	—	05-17 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	3	$170	153	153	+0	open	—	04-29 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4PM ET	6	$150	553	0	+553	open	—	04-27 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5AM ET	10	$127	253	240	+14	open	—	04-28 09:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	4	$127	106	104	+3	open	—	04-27 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	5	$125	145	145	+0	Up	$-25	05-11 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	5	$121	116	111	+5	open	—	04-27 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	4	$119	81	81	+0	Down	+$7	05-11 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	4	$117	158	158	+0	open	—	05-22 22:39
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	5	$113	8,407	8,407	+0	open	—	05-22 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7AM ET	2	$113	128	128	+0	open	—	05-01 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	7	$108	79	76	+2	open	—	04-27 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	6	$107	86	84	+3	open	—	04-27 09:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 26?	1	$100	3,250	0	+3,250	open	—	04-24 23:21
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians	1	$100	182	0	+182	open	—	05-13 23:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	6	$99	69	67	+2	open	—	04-27 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$87	250	233	+17	open	—	04-27 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	4	$80	57	56	+1	open	—	04-28 09:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4AM ET	4	$71	41	41	+1	open	—	04-28 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$69	71	71	+0	open	—	04-30 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$67	58	58	+0	open	—	04-29 06:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	4	$63	44	43	+1	open	—	04-27 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	3	$60	135	29	+106	open	—	04-27 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$57	333	333	+0	open	—	05-23 07:58
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	4	$54	807	0	+807	open	—	05-17 18:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:01:45	btc updown 5m 1781024400	Down	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0x5494be…
06-09 17:01:25	btc updown 5m 1781024400	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x34df3c…
05-26 00:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x3844e2…
05-26 00:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x3e9584…
05-26 00:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x6f19b5…
05-26 00:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xcad9a7…
05-26 00:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xb1d1ce…
05-23 08:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	50	29¢	$15	0xf0944b…
05-23 08:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	46	33¢	$15	0xf550e2…
05-23 07:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	333	5¢	$17	0xf3a067…
05-23 07:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	333	12¢	$40	0x79ec23…
05-23 07:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x26faa8…
05-22 22:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	91	59¢	$54	0x301770…
05-22 22:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x8f9d9b…
05-22 22:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	67	43¢	$29	0x190ba2…
05-22 22:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	67	21¢	$14	0x632954…
05-22 22:37:03	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	SELL	8,407	0¢	$13	0x172f80…
05-22 22:34:11	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	2,227	1¢	$27	0xa2b6fe…
05-22 22:16:46	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	1,281	1¢	$15	0x8438c9…
05-22 21:56:46	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$12	0xf5d7d6…
05-22 21:52:57	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	3,899	1¢	$47	0x1cb07c…
05-17 18:18:34	LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	LOUD	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0xd4d6d6…
05-17 18:17:03	LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	LOUD	BUY	133	3¢	$4	0xa7b67e…
05-17 18:14:17	LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	LOUD	BUY	120	8¢	$10	0x59a94b…
05-17 18:08:24	LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	LOUD	BUY	304	10¢	$30	0xceed9d…
05-17 06:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Down	SELL	196	54¢	$106	0xa7e3df…
05-17 04:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xb19e22…
05-16 17:40:23	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Spirit	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x6cd983…
05-16 17:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x2c9f8a…
05-16 17:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x7d12a1…
05-16 17:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	27	7¢	$2	0xe19e52…
05-16 17:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x50e9fd…
05-16 17:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x361ed8…
05-16 17:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4cf90a…
05-16 17:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0xc53220…
05-16 17:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x21afaa…
05-16 17:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4185d1…
05-16 09:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xea8a59…
05-15 07:05:35	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb6248e…
05-13 23:22:39	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings	Chennai Super Kings	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x145819…
05-13 23:21:49	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians	Punjab Kings	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x9836e4…
05-12 01:23:01	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	3,310	1¢	$33	0x9b99d3…
05-11 09:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	93	21¢	$20	0x2bf2a4…
05-11 09:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x504a84…
05-11 09:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x4d8c95…
05-11 09:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	52	58¢	$30	0x200fc4…
05-11 09:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x34922e…
05-11 09:38:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0xeddcf0…
05-11 09:35:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x56b09c…
05-11 09:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0x5ef5eb…
05-11 09:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0xf784f6…
05-11 09:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	48	64¢	$31	0x4eaa17…
05-11 09:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x7e5670…
05-11 09:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xa58ba3…
05-11 09:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x3f41c4…
05-11 09:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x0f56ab…
05-09 08:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x13ea67…
05-09 08:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x52c5f4…
05-09 08:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x57b678…
05-06 19:32:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	828	0¢	$1	0x98915e…
05-05 05:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xe54363…
05-01 11:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xa58873…
05-01 11:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	128	40¢	$51	0xd79fd3…
05-01 11:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	128	48¢	$62	0xf3c550…
05-01 09:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	133	3¢	$4	0xcb001d…
05-01 09:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x64a07b…
05-01 09:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x7c20e8…
05-01 09:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x3fa871…
05-01 09:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0xc9c838…
05-01 09:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x194aa1…
05-01 09:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	23	54¢	$12	0xe4069a…
05-01 09:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x355575…
05-01 08:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0xdb7d70…
05-01 08:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xfd20a8…
05-01 08:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x0f92a6…
04-30 23:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xad5bf2…
04-30 23:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xf578b8…
04-30 23:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	71	68¢	$49	0x000d52…
04-30 23:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x5bb0a4…
04-29 08:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x5594f5…
04-29 08:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x364a75…
04-29 08:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x7ac64d…
04-29 08:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x3fa283…
04-29 08:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	21	42¢	$9	0x1366f1…
04-29 08:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x8d4972…
04-29 08:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xe9d607…
04-29 08:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x286abf…
04-29 08:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x249891…
04-29 08:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb926eb…
04-29 07:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0c099f…
04-29 07:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x91cc7f…
04-29 07:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	34	6¢	$2	0x7535b6…
04-29 07:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4cf226…
04-29 07:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0bafb9…
04-29 07:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	26¢	$1	0x859efc…
04-29 07:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xcf64fc…
04-29 07:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x26c9db…
04-29 07:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x842aa9…
04-29 07:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x91a422…
04-29 07:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7bbd4c…