Tough-Vanilla — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.4%

Resolved

Trades

2,411

lifetime

Volume

$5.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 07-02 00:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 203 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	19	$41	45	44	+1	open	—	04-25 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	4	$36	31	36	-5	open	—	04-25 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	10	$27	31	25	+5	open	—	04-25 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	10	$24	25	25	+1	open	—	04-25 23:28
btc updown 5m 1775652300	4	$21	20	10	+10	open	—	04-08 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	3	$21	24	24	+0	open	—	05-15 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	10	$21	25	25	+1	open	—	04-25 22:43
btc updown 5m 1774997400	6	$20	22	10	+12	open	—	03-31 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	8	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	04-25 20:39
btc updown 5m 1774997700	4	$17	19	5	+14	open	—	03-31 23:00
btc updown 5m 1775664000	3	$17	25	0	+25	open	—	04-08 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	7	$17	20	15	+5	open	—	04-25 19:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	6	$15	15	15	+1	open	—	04-26 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	6	$15	15	15	+1	open	—	04-26 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	6	$15	15	15	+0	open	—	04-26 04:05
btc updown 5m 1775665200	4	$14	15	5	+10	open	—	04-08 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	6	$14	15	15	+1	open	—	04-26 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	9	$14	20	20	+1	open	—	04-26 03:59
btc updown 5m 1775856900	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	04-10 21:38
btc updown 5m 1774997100	5	$13	14	5	+9	open	—	03-31 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	5	$13	15	15	+0	open	—	04-25 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	6	$13	15	15	+0	open	—	04-25 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	4	$13	14	14	+0	open	—	05-17 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	4	$13	14	13	+1	open	—	05-17 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	5	$13	14	13	+1	open	—	05-17 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	7	$12	14	14	+0	open	—	05-20 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	8	$12	14	14	+0	open	—	05-20 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	5	$12	14	13	+1	open	—	05-17 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	5	$12	14	14	+0	open	—	05-19 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	4	$12	14	14	+0	open	—	05-17 23:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 03:33:50	btc updown 15m 1782963000	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xb37b40…
07-02 03:33:49	btc updown 15m 1782963000	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa38ee9…
07-02 03:03:05	btc updown 15m 1782961200	Down	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0x3c64de…
07-02 03:03:05	btc updown 15m 1782961200	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x16a68a…
07-02 02:48:32	btc updown 15m 1782960300	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$2	0x3312e8…
07-02 02:05:07	btc updown 15m 1782957600	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2bb7a6…
07-02 02:05:05	btc updown 15m 1782957600	Up	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0xa77ae3…
07-02 02:05:05	btc updown 15m 1782957600	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x571ec8…
07-02 01:58:32	btc updown 5m 1782957300	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xa091ef…
07-02 01:54:26	btc updown 5m 1782957300	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xae1748…
07-02 01:50:59	btc updown 5m 1782957000	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xe49849…
07-02 01:49:14	btc updown 5m 1782957000	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x2e77f7…
07-02 01:46:43	btc updown 5m 1782956700	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x706bbb…
07-02 01:45:02	btc updown 5m 1782956700	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb61a83…
07-02 01:40:16	btc updown 5m 1782956400	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa849bf…
07-02 01:37:34	btc updown 5m 1782956100	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x376dee…
07-02 01:24:35	btc updown 5m 1782955500	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9b1e8d…
07-02 01:23:58	btc updown 5m 1782955200	Up	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0xcff4a0…
07-02 00:00:35	btc updown 15m 1782950400	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x8fa0be…
07-01 23:38:46	btc updown 15m 1782948600	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x732690…
07-01 23:25:58	btc updown 5m 1782948300	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xa62c51…
07-01 23:14:31	btc updown 5m 1782947700	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x790732…
07-01 23:10:44	btc updown 5m 1782947400	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb7531e…
07-01 23:10:44	btc updown 5m 1782947400	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xa62a1f…
07-01 22:19:19	btc updown 15m 1782944100	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xfe9865…
07-01 22:19:17	btc updown 15m 1782944100	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x3bc212…
07-01 22:03:44	btc updown 15m 1782943200	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x7f473f…
07-01 22:03:44	btc updown 15m 1782943200	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x61a070…
07-01 21:54:52	btc updown 15m 1782942300	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xb7bf87…
07-01 21:03:10	btc updown 15m 1782939600	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x28b535…
07-01 21:03:10	btc updown 15m 1782939600	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1f1388…
07-01 18:49:20	btc updown 15m 1782931500	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8c27c3…
07-01 18:30:44	btc updown 5m 1782930600	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x9d2e31…
07-01 18:30:44	btc updown 5m 1782930600	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1bf93d…
07-01 18:24:52	btc updown 5m 1782930300	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x74c45f…
07-01 18:04:43	btc updown 15m 1782928800	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x9fd80c…
07-01 17:18:05	btc updown 15m 1782926100	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc59558…
07-01 17:18:05	btc updown 15m 1782926100	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x5803d0…
07-01 16:55:19	btc updown 5m 1782924900	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x74f4c2…
07-01 16:51:28	btc updown 5m 1782924600	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0cac25…
07-01 16:48:28	btc updown 5m 1782924300	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x6b2475…
07-01 16:31:25	btc updown 5m 1782923400	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8ab82e…
07-01 16:17:20	btc updown 5m 1782922500	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x46f924…
07-01 15:34:04	btc updown 5m 1782920100	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdbdfad…
07-01 15:29:41	btc updown 5m 1782919800	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb58c01…
07-01 15:16:17	btc updown 5m 1782918900	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$1	0x98acba…
07-01 15:16:17	btc updown 5m 1782918900	Up	BUY	1	42¢	$1	0x2de095…
07-01 15:09:29	btc updown 5m 1782918600	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xeb8d17…
07-01 15:09:16	btc updown 5m 1782918300	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xe8e36d…
07-01 15:09:16	btc updown 5m 1782918300	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb371ce…
07-01 14:38:16	btc updown 5m 1782916500	Up	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xf2fe77…
07-01 14:38:16	btc updown 5m 1782916500	Up	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x3c9736…
07-01 14:38:16	btc updown 5m 1782916500	Up	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x319f7f…
07-01 14:35:32	btc updown 5m 1782916500	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x51404d…
07-01 14:29:08	btc updown 5m 1782916200	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc15d40…
07-01 14:24:47	btc updown 5m 1782915900	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x447324…
07-01 14:15:38	btc updown 5m 1782915300	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x00c09c…
06-30 12:29:26	btc updown 5m 1782822300	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7250a2…
06-30 12:10:04	btc updown 5m 1782821400	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x23b20d…
06-30 12:10:02	btc updown 5m 1782821400	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1a261c…
06-30 12:05:02	btc updown 5m 1782821100	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xdf4542…
06-30 12:01:56	btc updown 5m 1782820800	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x9f3dcb…
06-30 11:59:34	btc updown 5m 1782820800	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xf1bdb2…
06-30 11:59:23	btc updown 5m 1782820800	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbde8d5…
06-30 11:57:56	btc updown 5m 1782820800	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa6b973…
06-30 11:54:11	btc updown 5m 1782820200	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xd736b2…
06-30 11:40:08	btc updown 5m 1782819600	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xbc20b8…
06-30 11:33:16	btc updown 5m 1782819300	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x946bfe…
06-30 11:32:22	btc updown 5m 1782819000	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x27b968…
06-30 11:32:22	btc updown 5m 1782819000	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0e2b67…
06-30 11:31:53	btc updown 5m 1782819000	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xd3ceef…
06-30 11:12:35	btc updown 5m 1782818100	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1a5da9…
06-30 11:12:14	btc updown 5m 1782817800	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xe10fbd…
06-30 10:53:34	btc updown 5m 1782816900	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x86659c…
06-30 10:52:59	btc updown 5m 1782816600	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x78f724…
06-30 10:49:10	btc updown 5m 1782816600	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x15a6f2…
06-30 10:48:01	btc updown 5m 1782816300	Up	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0xb493f7…
06-30 10:45:43	btc updown 5m 1782816300	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xa992ba…
06-30 10:44:59	btc updown 5m 1782816300	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7d2a65…
06-30 10:37:01	btc updown 5m 1782815700	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb5354a…
06-30 10:36:01	btc updown 5m 1782815700	Up	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0xdc220c…
06-30 10:36:01	btc updown 5m 1782815700	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x38919f…
06-30 10:04:05	btc updown 5m 1782813600	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa4a791…
06-30 10:02:22	btc updown 5m 1782813600	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xc12366…
06-30 09:59:41	btc updown 5m 1782813300	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc4804c…
06-30 09:59:02	btc updown 5m 1782813300	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xbbcd04…
06-30 09:59:02	btc updown 5m 1782813300	Down	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0x0eb94b…
06-30 09:57:22	btc updown 5m 1782813300	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa38276…
06-30 09:50:01	btc updown 5m 1782813000	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x16e829…
06-30 09:44:52	btc updown 5m 1782812700	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x54aa46…
06-30 09:39:10	btc updown 5m 1782812400	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1ce692…
06-30 09:38:55	btc updown 5m 1782812100	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x038130…
06-30 09:35:01	btc updown 5m 1782812100	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x37f591…
06-30 09:34:26	btc updown 5m 1782811800	Up	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0x07c2d8…
06-30 09:34:25	btc updown 5m 1782811800	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xb81fcd…
06-30 09:34:25	btc updown 5m 1782811800	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x142c39…
06-30 09:31:34	btc updown 5m 1782811800	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x0a7bad…
06-30 09:27:40	btc updown 5m 1782811800	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3235ee…
06-30 09:27:37	btc updown 5m 1782811500	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xda9fc1…
06-30 09:22:07	btc updown 5m 1782811500	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xaa5cf7…