Oddball-Yourself — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.3%

Resolved

Trades

353

lifetime

Volume

$1.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 05-22 15:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 17% $-11

Other

17% — —

Politics

5% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeast hit 474 million subscribers by march 31 977 964	14	$160	297	297	+0	open	—	03-30 16:30
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 12PM ET	11	$144	339	0	+339	open	—	04-30 16:29
btc updown 5m 1776768900	2	$85	54	53	+2	open	—	04-21 11:00
btc updown 5m 1776768600	3	$47	63	34	+30	open	—	04-21 10:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	5	$46	63	63	+0	open	—	05-17 17:43
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$41	50	46	+4	open	—	04-28 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	5	$36	49	22	+26	open	—	05-17 18:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	11	$32	31	31	+0	open	—	05-17 17:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	4	$29	29	29	+0	open	—	05-17 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	4	$28	17	17	+0	open	—	05-18 01:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	6	$28	47	47	+0	open	—	05-17 18:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	3	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	05-18 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	5	$28	30	44	-14	open	—	05-17 18:27
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	3	$24	51	51	+0	open	—	04-23 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	8	$24	21	21	+0	open	—	05-17 17:52
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	3	$23	51	51	+0	open	—	03-31 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	4	$19	45	0	+45	open	—	05-17 19:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	5	$19	22	22	+0	open	—	05-17 18:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	3	$19	29	17	+13	open	—	05-17 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$18	16	16	+0	open	—	05-18 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	3	$16	24	11	+13	open	—	05-17 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$16	29	0	+29	open	—	05-17 18:14
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	3	$14	45	45	+0	open	—	03-31 15:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-18 02:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 18:33
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-18 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-17 18:20
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	5	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-16 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 17:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 15:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x74c467…
05-18 02:19:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0x6a772e…
05-18 02:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x59372e…
05-18 02:16:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xbf3996…
05-18 02:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe79f31…
05-18 02:15:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x561ca0…
05-18 02:14:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x075a76…
05-18 02:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	16	78¢	$13	0xd9631f…
05-18 02:11:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x21a5c6…
05-18 02:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x0aab77…
05-18 02:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xe84652…
05-18 02:05:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xb46539…
05-18 02:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf6091c…
05-18 02:04:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x35d7f4…
05-18 02:03:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x5a5386…
05-18 02:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x731da5…
05-18 02:02:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xe49936…
05-18 02:00:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xbf8853…
05-18 02:00:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xf4fc02…
05-18 01:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x72f2ee…
05-18 01:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x2a20f4…
05-18 01:58:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x4a9104…
05-18 01:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x58e391…
05-18 01:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6928fb…
05-18 01:55:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfca9ed…
05-18 01:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc34c0d…
05-18 01:54:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf23fad…
05-18 01:52:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0xad31a8…
05-18 01:51:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xff6558…
05-18 01:49:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcee9fb…
05-18 01:46:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x2a2305…
05-18 01:46:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xe99e6a…
05-18 01:46:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa180d5…
05-18 01:45:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x94efaa…
05-18 01:43:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x491d32…
05-18 01:42:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd7454e…
05-18 01:41:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x139bf4…
05-18 01:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x05bfe1…
05-18 01:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0xdaab1a…
05-18 01:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x72dc50…
05-18 01:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc38b1e…
05-18 01:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x1b48e3…
05-18 01:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xfbd74b…
05-18 01:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xd5fc94…
05-18 01:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x344d35…
05-17 19:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xdcd79f…
05-17 19:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$2	0x73e30b…
05-17 19:22:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x1b38a5…
05-17 19:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x517561…
05-17 19:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x40f85b…
05-17 19:20:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7eccd2…
05-17 19:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc2aa95…
05-17 19:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x600320…
05-17 19:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x23a47a…
05-17 19:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x8cb564…
05-17 19:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x329b02…
05-17 19:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	66¢	$6	0x98c96b…
05-17 19:03:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	60¢	$6	0xa9f121…
05-17 19:03:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x995265…
05-17 19:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x674457…
05-17 19:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x9a45c8…
05-17 19:02:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x1a7a7c…
05-17 19:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd75bb6…
05-17 19:00:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x62fae2…
05-17 18:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x4a54fc…
05-17 18:59:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xdf410d…
05-17 18:58:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x443485…
05-17 18:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x971a66…
05-17 18:55:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x1fc353…
05-17 18:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xf76e02…
05-17 18:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x682349…
05-17 18:53:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb14c90…
05-17 18:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xdcf668…
05-17 18:52:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9e1bbc…
05-17 18:51:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xfc4dea…
05-17 18:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc4fddc…
05-17 18:44:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x4a429b…
05-17 18:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd6fa8a…
05-17 18:41:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xd2304a…
05-17 18:39:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x2568ad…
05-17 18:39:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	17	24¢	$4	0xd02d41…
05-17 18:38:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	25	22¢	$5	0xf1b061…
05-17 18:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x5edd65…
05-17 18:36:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf0a7eb…
05-17 18:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x131751…
05-17 18:35:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x470dda…
05-17 18:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x854f7e…
05-17 18:33:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x3ce04a…
05-17 18:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x97c21e…
05-17 18:33:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x72f028…
05-17 18:32:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x339ba7…
05-17 18:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x42f2f7…
05-17 18:31:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7cb696…
05-17 18:29:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	19	27¢	$5	0x1163a8…
05-17 18:28:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x7e7d7f…
05-17 18:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	19	28¢	$5	0x250c41…
05-17 18:27:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xf91c09…
05-17 18:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	25¢	$3	0xb52156…
05-17 18:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xbdf8d5…
05-17 18:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	14	26¢	$4	0xec7423…