Vapid-Commitment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.8%

Resolved

Trades

321

lifetime

Volume

$5.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 05-10 16:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% $-18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775082600	5	$552	945	473	+472	open	—	04-01 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$250	284	284	+0	Down	+$30	05-10 15:54
btc updown 5m 1775082300	2	$204	179	173	+6	open	—	04-01 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	6	$191	263	263	+0	Up	+$31	05-10 15:44
btc updown 5m 1775082000	2	$164	114	111	+3	open	—	04-01 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	6	$153	436	436	+0	Up	+$26	05-10 15:48
btc updown 5m 1775081700	2	$123	101	97	+4	open	—	04-01 22:15
btc updown 5m 1774536300	2	$113	78	77	+1	open	—	03-26 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	7	$109	102	102	+0	Down	+$9	05-07 02:12
btc updown 5m 1774534500	2	$105	77	75	+1	open	—	03-26 14:19
btc updown 5m 1775081400	2	$96	112	107	+5	open	—	04-01 22:11
btc updown 5m 1775076300	2	$96	94	91	+3	open	—	04-01 20:48
btc updown 5m 1775489700	4	$93	181	171	+10	open	—	04-06 15:39
btc updown 5m 1774546200	2	$92	70	69	+1	open	—	03-26 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$90	269	0	+269	Up	$-90	05-10 15:56
btc updown 5m 1775077200	2	$82	74	72	+2	open	—	04-01 21:03
btc updown 5m 1775080500	2	$80	58	56	+2	open	—	04-01 21:56
btc updown 5m 1774536900	2	$78	123	121	+2	open	—	03-26 14:56
btc updown 5m 1774536600	3	$77	72	57	+15	open	—	03-26 14:51
btc updown 5m 1774545900	2	$75	73	72	+1	open	—	03-26 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	5	$74	121	121	+0	Up	$-12	05-07 02:33
btc updown 5m 1775418300	4	$71	67	65	+2	open	—	04-05 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	4	$70	64	64	+0	Down	+$10	05-07 02:07
btc updown 5m 1774534200	4	$66	38	38	+0	open	—	03-26 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$59	44	44	+0	Down	+$9	05-08 00:32
btc updown 5m 1774544400	2	$52	49	48	+1	open	—	03-26 17:00
btc updown 5m 1774546500	2	$52	66	65	+1	open	—	03-26 17:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	5	$50	57	57	+0	Down	$-13	05-07 02:18
btc updown 5m 1775490000	2	$50	58	56	+3	open	—	04-06 15:42
btc updown 5m 1775075400	2	$49	36	35	+1	open	—	04-01 20:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 16:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x07049e…
05-10 16:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4f708c…
05-10 15:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	269	33¢	$90	0xae3505…
05-10 15:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	121	80¢	$96	0xb92c51…
05-10 15:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	121	33¢	$40	0x7cb317…
05-10 15:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	162	27¢	$44	0x4dfacb…
05-10 15:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	162	43¢	$70	0x04cde9…
05-10 15:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	102	1¢	$1	0xcedd26…
05-10 15:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	95	4¢	$4	0x1cc3c8…
05-10 15:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	209	2¢	$4	0x513a59…
05-10 15:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	215	5¢	$10	0x87bd9c…
05-10 15:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	125	68¢	$84	0x0695d2…
05-10 15:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0xa9e38a…
05-10 15:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	39	41¢	$16	0x7c8003…
05-10 15:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0x373f2f…
05-10 15:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	133	40¢	$53	0x45aa6e…
05-10 15:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	133	30¢	$40	0x20cd39…
05-10 15:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	91	46¢	$42	0xb0ebe8…
05-10 15:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0x64e376…
05-08 00:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa1401d…
05-08 00:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	65	1¢	$1	0xcdb8a7…
05-08 00:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x0e8c3b…
05-08 00:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	37	56¢	$21	0xcf5fda…
05-08 00:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	37	59¢	$22	0x8988a1…
05-08 00:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x7a8d82…
05-08 00:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x22d0f7…
05-08 00:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	44	77¢	$34	0x748cd9…
05-08 00:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x3f41f4…
05-08 00:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x27a8e6…
05-08 00:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0xdf9019…
05-08 00:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x8a4adf…
05-08 00:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	56	25¢	$14	0x815338…
05-08 00:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xe984f7…
05-08 00:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0xd8740e…
05-08 00:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xa45d54…
05-08 00:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xc5479f…
05-08 00:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xaf46de…
05-07 02:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x1e56ec…
05-07 02:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xdd4c2f…
05-07 02:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x37245a…
05-07 02:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x986ad7…
05-07 02:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xfba735…
05-07 02:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xcb1d3a…
05-07 02:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x4a3f7d…
05-07 02:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0x755dac…
05-07 02:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xd62be3…
05-07 02:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	30	39¢	$12	0x1c0c7e…
05-07 02:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xa21107…
05-07 02:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	22	81¢	$18	0xd93124…
05-07 02:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x851166…
05-07 02:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	58	3¢	$2	0xb17341…
05-07 02:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xd844db…
05-07 02:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe74919…
05-07 02:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	62	48¢	$30	0x5a7b8a…
05-07 02:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	62	37¢	$23	0x5fbc66…
05-07 02:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	46	51¢	$24	0x0e4df0…
05-07 02:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	46	39¢	$18	0x1b8f19…
05-07 02:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	30	69¢	$21	0x6a8e4e…
05-07 02:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x6f3346…
05-07 02:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	57	33¢	$19	0x2231aa…
05-07 02:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xffea1e…
05-07 02:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x9fa62b…
05-07 02:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5b6729…
05-07 02:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x49cbd3…
05-07 02:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	49	69¢	$34	0x04f966…
05-07 02:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xe93719…
05-07 02:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xd19913…
05-07 02:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc87292…
05-07 02:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	53	47¢	$25	0x332157…
05-07 02:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x089827…
05-07 02:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x26de41…
05-07 02:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	27	75¢	$20	0xa2f1c1…
05-07 02:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x6de15a…
05-07 02:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	37	55¢	$20	0x2efc6f…
05-07 02:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0xf1c235…
04-12 22:03:21	btc updown 5m 1776031200	Up	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x61c552…
04-12 22:00:11	btc updown 5m 1776031200	Up	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xcefb21…
04-12 21:58:01	btc updown 5m 1776030900	Down	SELL	93	9¢	$8	0x98129f…
04-12 21:55:57	btc updown 5m 1776030900	Down	BUY	98	30¢	$30	0x21029f…
04-12 21:15:11	btc updown 5m 1776028500	Down	BUY	44	47¢	$21	0x54dfaf…
04-12 21:13:11	btc updown 5m 1776028200	Up	SELL	27	5¢	$1	0x15fb7f…
04-12 21:10:13	btc updown 5m 1776028200	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x95d737…
04-12 21:08:27	btc updown 5m 1776027900	Up	SELL	33	10¢	$3	0xc15fd4…
04-12 21:06:03	btc updown 5m 1776027900	Up	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x02113a…
04-06 23:30:33	btc updown 5m 1775518200	Down	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x93a4b8…
04-06 18:40:31	btc updown 5m 1775500800	Up	BUY	45	35¢	$16	0x627f38…
04-06 18:36:19	btc updown 5m 1775500500	Up	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x395e33…
04-06 18:35:09	btc updown 5m 1775500500	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5f70b3…
04-06 18:33:19	btc updown 5m 1775500200	Up	SELL	14	38¢	$5	0xd4a7c9…
04-06 18:32:55	btc updown 5m 1775500200	Up	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x540590…
04-06 15:42:39	btc updown 5m 1775490000	Up	SELL	56	49¢	$28	0xa76a2e…
04-06 15:41:55	btc updown 5m 1775490000	Up	BUY	58	38¢	$22	0xfa0fbd…
04-06 15:39:43	btc updown 5m 1775489700	Up	SELL	123	19¢	$23	0x0aaa15…
04-06 15:37:11	btc updown 5m 1775489700	Up	BUY	131	19¢	$25	0xabf4d2…
04-06 15:36:01	btc updown 5m 1775489700	Up	SELL	48	53¢	$25	0xd4ce96…
04-06 15:35:13	btc updown 5m 1775489700	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x208edd…
04-06 15:31:57	btc updown 5m 1775489400	Down	SELL	30	69¢	$20	0x844547…
04-06 15:30:29	btc updown 5m 1775489400	Down	BUY	31	44¢	$14	0x782cef…
04-06 15:28:51	btc updown 5m 1775489100	Up	SELL	21	68¢	$14	0x41e7f9…
04-06 15:25:19	btc updown 5m 1775489100	Up	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x317cfb…