Leading-Outlay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.6%

Resolved

Trades

140

lifetime

Volume

$1.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-11 00:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% $-33

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	6	$89	78	72	+6	Up	$-0	05-07 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	5	$74	77	71	+6	Down	$-16	05-11 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	3	$61	75	35	+40	Down	$-19	05-11 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$56	42	42	+0	Up	+$16	05-06 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	3	$55	64	27	+37	Down	$-25	05-06 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	3	$54	71	35	+36	Up	+$9	05-06 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	4	$52	29	29	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	3	$51	69	47	+23	Down	$-6	05-07 06:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	4	$51	44	44	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$50	31	31	+0	Up	+$10	05-07 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$48	36	36	+0	Up	+$8	05-06 23:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$46	28	28	+0	Down	+$6	05-06 23:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$40	68	0	+68	Down	$-40	05-07 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	2	$25	47	0	+47	Up	+$22	05-07 06:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$25	49	0	+49	Down	$-25	05-07 07:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	3	$23	24	3	+21	Down	+$2	05-06 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$20	34	0	+34	Down	$-20	05-07 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$20	34	0	+34	Up	+$14	05-07 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$20	40	0	+40	Down	$-20	05-07 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$20	22	0	+22	Up	+$2	05-06 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$20	27	0	+27	Up	+$7	05-07 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$20	26	0	+26	Up	+$6	05-07 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$20	32	0	+32	Up	+$12	05-07 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	5	$20	24	14	+10	Down	+$8	05-06 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$18	31	31	+0	Down	$-2	05-07 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$16	21	14	+6	Down	+$3	05-07 00:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$16	16	16	+0	Down	+$12	05-06 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	3	$11	20	0	+20	Up	$-1	05-06 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$10	05-07 06:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	3	$8	9	3	+6	Down	+$2	05-06 22:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 00:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x40bcb7…
05-11 00:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	37	42¢	$16	0x2e29c8…
05-11 00:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xc83262…
05-11 00:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	34	40¢	$14	0x7a2e83…
05-11 00:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xa69be0…
05-11 00:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x64232b…
05-11 00:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x9d5b3b…
05-11 00:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x61f9b9…
05-11 00:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x6006bf…
05-11 00:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x697bf0…
05-11 00:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	35	60¢	$21	0xab42cd…
05-11 00:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xc5979d…
05-07 07:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x01e482…
05-07 07:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x64b986…
05-07 07:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0xfdddca…
05-07 07:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x2b5904…
05-07 07:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x84edf6…
05-07 07:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x8a7b5d…
05-07 07:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xa2db8c…
05-07 06:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x00693f…
05-07 06:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xb8136c…
05-07 06:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	47	24¢	$11	0x076dba…
05-07 06:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x4ea905…
05-07 06:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x37e287…
05-07 06:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x21507d…
05-07 06:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	67	57¢	$38	0x906b45…
05-07 06:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x145232…
05-07 06:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xb11ba0…
05-07 06:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x804317…
05-07 06:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x7d2313…
05-07 06:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa292ca…
05-07 06:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xf6d111…
05-07 06:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x1e1743…
05-07 06:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9332ac…
05-07 06:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa1598e…
05-07 06:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x58e330…
05-07 06:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x288f5c…
05-07 06:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	31	25¢	$8	0xd96668…
05-07 06:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x6822fc…
05-07 05:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc64aee…
05-07 05:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x64dd87…
05-07 00:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x4ba3bc…
05-07 00:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0x7e24ea…
05-07 00:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xe55878…
05-07 00:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xaffc40…
05-07 00:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x9541c6…
05-07 00:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xc9d8dc…
05-07 00:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x64322e…
05-06 23:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x7623fa…
05-06 23:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	35	39¢	$14	0x070552…
05-06 23:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x158500…
05-06 23:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	36	77¢	$28	0x3c2f32…
05-06 23:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xd7b3fe…
05-06 23:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xd9d54d…
05-06 23:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	27	55¢	$15	0xe7e7c7…
05-06 23:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x2a3b20…
05-06 23:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	42	87¢	$36	0x57743b…
05-06 23:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xcc397f…
05-06 23:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	28	91¢	$26	0xd15d02…
05-06 23:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x1a5470…
05-06 23:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc3f6ac…
05-06 23:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa7bc50…
05-06 23:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x5dd2af…
05-06 23:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x043224…
05-06 23:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xa0ec98…
05-06 23:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa55190…
05-06 23:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	75¢	$7	0xc41f93…
05-06 23:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb4629c…
05-06 23:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	34	54¢	$18	0x8547ce…
05-06 23:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x086d11…
05-06 22:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0xbe921a…
05-06 22:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x69df9e…
05-06 22:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	35¢	$3	0xc68c99…
05-06 22:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6084ca…
05-06 22:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe01a4e…
05-06 22:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0xa23525…
05-06 22:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc72c7c…
05-06 22:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xcb85c3…
05-06 22:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4154b5…
05-06 22:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc47ab9…
05-06 22:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x9dc93b…
05-06 22:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa2690c…
05-06 22:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x84374e…
05-06 22:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7ee1b4…
05-06 22:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x11ec3e…
05-06 22:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xea5978…
05-06 22:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x110377…
05-06 22:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xd6aaf0…
05-06 22:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf50686…
05-06 22:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa58879…
05-06 22:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xca6b54…
05-06 22:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0x686de1…
05-06 22:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xba519b…
05-06 22:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xe581e4…
05-06 22:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xddfc7b…
05-06 22:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x2c8482…
05-06 22:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xf50de7…
05-06 22:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x1625d4…
05-06 22:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xda47f7…
05-06 22:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x69b630…