Ambitious-Part — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$132

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$159

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 06-24 18:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

48% 0% —

Politics

45% 100% +$132

Crypto

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	7	$696	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-15 11:44
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	3	$653	500	500	+0	open	—	05-24 02:24
fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	1	$630	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	06-19 15:51
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$468	600	0	+600	No	+$132	05-03 22:18
fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	1	$399	700	0	+700	open	—	06-18 22:19
fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	2	$350	700	0	+700	open	—	06-22 16:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$303	310	0	+310	open	—	05-10 15:50
bitcoin above 72k on april 15	1	$296	300	0	+300	open	—	04-15 12:02
fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	1	$162	300	0	+300	open	—	06-24 18:32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$115	500	0	+500	open	—	05-11 14:43
fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	2	$112	90	90	+0	open	—	06-21 22:45
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 4pt5	1	$40	180	0	+180	open	—	06-23 16:10
Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-16 01:54
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$25	23	23	+0	open	—	05-03 11:41
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 11?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-11 00:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 18:32:32	fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	300	54¢	$162	0x95f981…
06-23 16:10:08	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	180	22¢	$40	0xaea16d…
06-22 16:42:14	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	350	50¢	$175	0x276c8d…
06-22 16:37:26	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	350	50¢	$175	0x764742…
06-21 22:45:22	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	90	80¢	$72	0xf9249d…
06-21 21:43:52	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	90	45¢	$40	0xe23fe6…
06-19 15:51:17	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	1,500	42¢	$630	0xd9d109…
06-18 22:19:23	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	700	57¢	$399	0x580d75…
05-24 02:24:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	SELL	350	59¢	$206	0x7f20c4…
05-24 02:01:10	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	SELL	150	71¢	$106	0xe64a5d…
05-24 01:54:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	500	68¢	$340	0x2e0a7f…
05-16 01:54:53	Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb317e8…
05-11 14:43:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	23¢	$115	0xf5d24b…
05-11 00:44:43	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x8d586f…
05-11 00:33:06	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x3f0cfb…
05-10 15:50:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	310	98¢	$303	0x4d0947…
05-03 22:18:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	600	78¢	$468	0x9e6892…
05-03 11:41:24	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	23	55¢	$12	0xdf2cdd…
05-03 10:05:58	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0xa01b73…
04-15 12:02:40	bitcoin above 72k on april 15	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$296	0xa5226e…
04-15 11:44:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	Yes	SELL	510	28¢	$143	0x96b8af…
04-15 11:44:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	Yes	SELL	11	28¢	$3	0xc45ebf…
04-15 11:43:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	Yes	SELL	9	28¢	$2	0xc1be64…
04-15 11:41:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	Yes	SELL	169	28¢	$47	0x992815…
04-15 11:39:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x9e7eb8…
04-15 11:37:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	Yes	SELL	298	30¢	$89	0xfc4eb4…
04-15 11:24:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	Yes	BUY	1,000	41¢	$410	0x48ccab…