Revolving-Education — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$809

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$25

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 06-13 07:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

31% 100% +$1

Tech

29% — —

Politics

28% — —

Sports

9% 100% +$3

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+25	$21	100¢	$25	+$4	06-13 07:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	1	$100	106	0	+106	open	—	01-14 08:30
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$79	84	0	+84	open	—	04-27 13:29
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$46	27	27	+0	open	—	03-30 06:18
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	2	$46	33	33	+0	open	—	02-15 05:09
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$44	23	23	+0	open	—	04-27 13:27
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	02-24 12:01
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	2	$35	19	19	+0	open	—	04-27 13:27
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	03-06 05:20
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	1	$34	35	0	+35	open	—	01-23 08:51
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	1	$30	33	0	+33	open	—	03-27 02:40
will israel strike gaza on february 1 2026	1	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	02-02 03:03
Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$28	0	28	-28	open	—	01-23 08:50
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$24	34	0	+34	open	—	04-04 06:46
Trove FDV above $10M one day after launch?	1	$23	24	0	+24	open	—	01-20 08:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$21	25	0	+25	open	—	06-13 07:45
us strikes yemen by february 28 2026	1	$21	22	0	+22	open	—	02-24 12:02
will ron eller be the republican nominee for ms 02	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-11 11:15
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	1	$17	42	0	+42	open	—	04-27 13:28
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	05-06 08:54
gpt 5pt5 released by april 17 2026	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	04-14 12:59
will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	1	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	02-15 05:13
will javokhir sindarov win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	1	$14	21	0	+21	open	—	04-04 06:46
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	2	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	02-24 12:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	1	$13	14	0	+14	Yes	+$1	05-06 08:55
will carlos eduardo palenque win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	03-21 02:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$12	14	0	+14	open	—	05-30 13:46
us strike on nigeria by february 28 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	02-24 12:03
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$11	14	0	+14	Yes	+$3	03-06 05:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 07:45:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0xd988eb…
05-30 13:46:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0xc4124c…
05-06 08:55:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xd3b60f…
05-06 08:54:52	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x229890…
04-27 13:29:26	Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	94¢	$79	0xf9bb52…
04-27 13:28:48	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	42	40¢	$17	0x7deee2…
04-27 13:27:18	Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xbb3643…
04-27 13:27:02	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x1ba1c6…
04-14 12:59:35	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$21	0x43141d…
04-14 12:59:23	gpt 5pt5 released by april 17 2026	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x89fb93…
04-04 06:46:33	will javokhir sindarov win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	Yes	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0xd3b8c1…
04-04 06:46:19	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	34	70¢	$24	0x4c8dca…
03-30 06:18:18	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$26	0xf79bd7…
03-27 02:40:33	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x7644e7…
03-21 02:12:03	will carlos eduardo palenque win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xb974ed…
03-11 11:15:09	will ron eller be the republican nominee for ms 02	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9f0b47…
03-06 05:21:11	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x79aa7d…
03-06 05:20:53	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xf08a94…
03-06 05:20:29	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x4a5e91…
02-24 12:03:26	us strike on nigeria by february 28 2026	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x9107e7…
02-24 12:02:56	us strikes yemen by february 28 2026	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0xab7b92…
02-24 12:01:38	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0x62f6de…
02-24 12:01:22	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x259ad7…
02-15 05:13:35	will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0xe0d436…
02-15 05:13:13	Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	Yes	BUY	19	83¢	$16	0xd9ed53…
02-15 05:11:27	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x7a269b…
02-15 05:09:43	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	Yes	SELL	33	50¢	$16	0x7d4607…
02-06 07:26:35	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x628fb7…
02-06 07:25:51	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	No	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0x304eaa…
02-02 03:04:08	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	Yes	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x1bbdd5…
02-02 03:03:50	will israel strike gaza on february 1 2026	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xb15338…
01-23 08:51:18	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x2378de…
01-23 08:50:58	Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x2765ed…
01-20 08:24:14	Trove FDV above $10M one day after launch?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x480842…
01-14 08:30:08	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xea64cc…