Zany-Muscatel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$197

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.7%

Resolved

Trades

3,049

lifetime

Volume

$20.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 05-14 04:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 20% $-197

Politics

31% — —

Other

6% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 1041 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	38	$1.9K	1,831	1,831	+0	open	—	01-28 02:06
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	21	$919	2,281	2,309	-28	open	—	01-25 08:30
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	6	$778	704	704	+0	open	—	01-23 10:15
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	8	$764	1,095	1,095	+0	open	—	01-30 03:40
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	2	$659	400	400	+0	open	—	01-15 19:35
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	2	$481	282	282	+0	open	—	01-15 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	124	$405	622	330	+292	Down	$-22	05-09 09:42
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	8	$252	259	259	+0	open	—	01-25 02:59
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	12	$237	208	208	+0	open	—	01-25 02:59
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	4	$197	1,403	1,403	+0	open	—	01-25 05:20
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	8	$189	200	200	+0	open	—	01-25 05:20
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$165	95	95	+0	open	—	01-24 21:58
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$154	700	700	+0	open	—	02-10 19:36
will israel strike lebanon on january 22 2026	3	$152	99	99	+0	open	—	01-22 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	56	$147	149	151	-2	Up	$-8	05-08 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	67	$141	284	0	+284	Down	$-1	05-13 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	35	$131	207	103	+104	Up	$-2	05-09 08:35
will israel strike lebanon on january 23 2026	3	$130	99	99	+0	open	—	01-22 18:45
will israel strike lebanon on january 24 2026	3	$125	96	96	+0	open	—	01-22 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	17	$124	187	179	+8	Down	+$42	05-10 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	56	$122	229	0	+229	Down	$-7	05-13 18:59
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$109	1,042	1,042	+0	open	—	01-15 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	47	$109	207	0	+207	Up	$-7	05-13 16:12
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$106	6,250	6,250	+0	open	—	02-10 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	52	$105	207	0	+207	Up	$-3	05-13 14:12
sol updown 15m 1770963300	38	$103	210	0	+210	open	—	02-13 06:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	47	$101	189	167	+22	Down	+$9	05-08 06:42
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	2	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	01-25 00:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	19	$97	122	122	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	40	$96	185	0	+185	Up	$-6	05-13 14:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 04:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xfb0a3e…
05-14 04:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8b5697…
05-14 04:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x125043…
05-13 20:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	26	10¢	$3	0x4a5a32…
05-13 20:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0x09578e…
05-13 20:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x57e849…
05-13 20:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb7390b…
05-13 20:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x919d63…
05-13 20:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc4c48c…
05-13 20:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb7c18a…
05-13 20:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1f06bc…
05-13 20:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9b304f…
05-13 20:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x45559f…
05-13 20:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x76a452…
05-13 20:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4b9964…
05-13 20:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfcb9a3…
05-13 20:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x541f86…
05-13 20:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x623f19…
05-13 20:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb40b46…
05-13 20:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x9ee110…
05-13 20:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x57bf8c…
05-13 20:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x06b1d2…
05-13 20:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	42¢	$1	0x547c47…
05-13 20:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb96562…
05-13 20:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe38e5d…
05-13 20:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xba3fff…
05-13 20:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xee1bd3…
05-13 20:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc29ce2…
05-13 20:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3ecaeb…
05-13 20:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x02bb04…
05-13 20:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x19e569…
05-13 20:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xfbbc82…
05-13 20:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x37a9d0…
05-13 20:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe16b32…
05-13 20:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x555b0c…
05-13 20:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x2a172f…
05-13 20:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb61e16…
05-13 20:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8cd717…
05-13 20:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xddb3e4…
05-13 20:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x982318…
05-13 19:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xfd9947…
05-13 19:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xea4871…
05-13 19:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$0	0x1ff79d…
05-13 19:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$4	0xb0101c…
05-13 19:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xab6856…
05-13 19:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x7a460e…
05-13 19:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x63f54e…
05-13 19:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xbf3d3a…
05-13 19:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x9cd3b2…
05-13 19:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x658605…
05-13 19:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe956f9…
05-13 19:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd70461…
05-13 19:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb86c77…
05-13 19:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xdbe9c0…
05-13 19:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x392876…
05-13 19:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xe2fd90…
05-13 19:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x8bfda8…
05-13 19:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x123984…
05-13 19:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb0d60f…
05-13 19:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x8d10de…
05-13 19:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x8a8dab…
05-13 19:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x5950ec…
05-13 19:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x8e7f96…
05-13 19:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x71b90e…
05-13 19:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0x52bd6c…
05-13 19:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6eb537…
05-13 19:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x9afd36…
05-13 19:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0x3e74bc…
05-13 19:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x1974cf…
05-13 19:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x80dd43…
05-13 19:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x162de6…
05-13 19:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xd7fab3…
05-13 19:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x4e08c9…
05-13 19:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe82cb6…
05-13 19:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x7ff899…
05-13 19:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2c1773…
05-13 19:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x3155a9…
05-13 19:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x4f6b9c…
05-13 19:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc89016…
05-13 19:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa2fc64…
05-13 19:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xb378ca…
05-13 19:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x891cd3…
05-13 19:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x5ae293…
05-13 19:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0f307c…
05-13 19:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1d0e4a…
05-13 19:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x81c100…
05-13 19:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x06c1b5…
05-13 19:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xb76f08…
05-13 19:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x9a58f6…
05-13 19:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x3e87e6…
05-13 19:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xf96a6a…
05-13 19:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xbaf931…
05-13 19:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5fb737…
05-13 19:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf22123…
05-13 19:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x9aa3d0…
05-13 19:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x15a937…
05-13 19:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xee64eb…
05-13 19:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xdcf0b4…
05-13 19:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xb1e66e…
05-13 19:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xbde69c…