Mushy-Cage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$37

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.9%

Resolved

Trades

211

lifetime

Volume

$4.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 05-14 04:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 43% +$37

Other

8% — —

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774857000	4	$274	184	182	+2	open	—	03-30 07:55
btc updown 5m 1774856400	5	$237	150	147	+2	open	—	03-30 07:45
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$200	303	0	+303	open	—	03-29 14:56
btc updown 5m 1775199600	3	$196	191	122	+69	open	—	04-03 07:04
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$176	147	147	+0	open	—	04-01 14:01
btc updown 5m 1774857600	2	$140	177	0	+177	open	—	03-30 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$133	135	0	+135	open	—	04-25 21:20
btc updown 5m 1774855500	2	$129	82	81	+1	open	—	03-30 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	4	$121	251	0	+251	Up	+$30	05-08 07:54
btc updown 5m 1775197800	3	$111	164	0	+164	open	—	04-03 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	4	$110	126	0	+126	Down	+$16	05-08 07:59
btc updown 5m 1775200800	1	$110	187	0	+187	open	—	04-03 07:24
btc updown 5m 1775200500	1	$105	110	0	+110	open	—	04-03 07:19
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$101	64	64	+0	open	—	03-30 08:46
btc updown 5m 1774851000	1	$100	134	0	+134	open	—	03-30 06:11
btc updown 5m 1774849500	1	$100	121	0	+121	open	—	03-30 05:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	4	$100	148	0	+148	Down	+$48	05-09 07:04
btc updown 5m 1775198700	2	$100	122	0	+122	open	—	04-03 06:49
will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	1	$81	94	0	+94	open	—	04-12 18:36
btc updown 5m 1775052300	1	$66	181	0	+181	open	—	04-01 14:05
btc updown 5m 1774855800	2	$61	43	42	+1	open	—	03-30 07:36
btc updown 5m 1775199000	2	$60	164	0	+164	open	—	04-03 06:54
btc updown 5m 1774861500	1	$51	52	0	+52	open	—	03-30 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$50	63	0	+63	Down	$-50	05-09 06:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$50	65	0	+65	Down	+$15	05-09 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	05-08 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$40	118	0	+118	Up	$-40	05-08 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	3	$40	134	0	+134	Up	$-40	05-08 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$40	51	0	+51	Up	+$11	05-08 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	3	$38	73	23	+50	Up	+$6	05-08 07:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 04:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x16e883…
05-14 04:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x97a853…
05-14 04:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x458e25…
05-14 04:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xf2a1a2…
05-14 04:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x4834d5…
05-14 03:28:23	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	23	15¢	$3	0x2ac95f…
05-09 16:22:48	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xf60248…
05-09 09:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xdd6aa3…
05-09 07:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x931b4f…
05-09 07:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x46056e…
05-09 07:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x49607a…
05-09 07:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xc9871a…
05-09 06:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x09e97f…
05-09 06:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x15df95…
05-09 06:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x96e2d0…
05-09 06:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x871c95…
05-09 06:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa0995c…
05-09 06:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x6df6af…
05-09 06:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x2d6954…
05-09 06:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x782f19…
05-09 06:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x44ac92…
05-09 06:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa6eb58…
05-09 06:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xa40a6d…
05-09 06:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0xadf0b7…
05-09 06:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xf7ab2b…
05-08 08:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x093017…
05-08 08:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x1c2991…
05-08 08:15:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x466c70…
05-08 08:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x1e6e05…
05-08 08:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc4934f…
05-08 08:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x21b1c9…
05-08 08:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x4bb3ab…
05-08 07:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xa6b920…
05-08 07:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x962eaf…
05-08 07:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x116a4b…
05-08 07:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x1ad219…
05-08 07:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x517dd4…
05-08 07:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x994679…
05-08 07:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x39e47a…
05-08 07:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xa9730d…
05-08 07:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0x46c7fc…
05-08 07:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1e0ce3…
05-08 07:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x8924f9…
05-08 07:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x35a4c4…
05-08 07:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x747de6…
05-08 07:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x45c54f…
05-08 07:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x159a1a…
05-08 07:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xdeeb95…
05-08 07:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb01f3b…
05-08 07:23:49	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	9¢	$10	0x87c469…
05-08 07:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x02e467…
05-08 07:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4422b2…
05-08 07:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x432a3b…
05-08 07:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x1074f0…
05-08 06:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	70	29¢	$20	0x1d2aa9…
05-08 06:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xe99d7d…
05-08 06:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	90	22¢	$20	0x9508d7…
05-08 06:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x823357…
05-08 06:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x38d027…
05-08 06:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x944738…
05-08 06:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0x2ac8a0…
05-08 06:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb64f04…
05-08 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x538c1b…
05-08 06:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa2c938…
05-08 06:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc1eba4…
05-08 06:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd0c270…
05-08 06:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x850b29…
05-08 06:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0x391899…
05-08 06:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xd590e2…
05-08 06:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0xb8e1d6…
05-08 06:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x55f3db…
05-08 06:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xb04a78…
05-08 06:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x18bffb…
05-07 03:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe9d7ca…
05-07 03:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x0d8941…
05-07 03:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x30292a…
05-07 03:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x35c8c4…
05-03 06:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0xd9784e…
05-03 06:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2712d1…
05-03 06:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xf63e0a…
05-03 06:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x51e1a4…
05-03 06:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x32ae71…
05-02 04:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x5e1667…
05-01 15:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x55db23…
05-01 15:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcb98ee…
05-01 15:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xfe4319…
05-01 15:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3ef496…
04-26 14:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x566b63…
04-26 14:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0a69f9…
04-26 12:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa2dff5…
04-25 21:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	135	99¢	$133	0xcdea08…
04-25 13:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xafa8c4…
04-25 10:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xaeab3c…
04-25 10:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xd88a07…
04-25 10:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x096b26…
04-19 15:52:48	btc updown 5m 1776613800	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd4e53a…
04-19 15:49:14	btc updown 5m 1776613500	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc6b16d…
04-19 15:43:30	btc updown 5m 1776613200	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xac0854…
04-19 12:29:40	btc updown 5m 1776601500	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x383570…
04-19 11:44:42	btc updown 5m 1776598800	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x768b1f…