0x4794c72030bd8158df327b5694e11221d2efb342 — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.4%

Resolved

Trades

143

lifetime

Volume

$763

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-09 18:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 100% +$1

Politics

7% 0% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	5	$50	30,000	20,000	+10,000	Yes	$-10	05-09 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	4	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	05-03 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	4	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	05-03 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	5	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	05-04 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$13	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-04 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	05-04 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-04 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-04 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-03 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-03 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 13:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	3	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-03 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	3	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 00:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 18:31:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x18a64a…
05-09 18:30:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0x118ad7…
05-09 18:27:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x0c914c…
05-09 18:27:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0x76319b…
05-09 18:07:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x3be5fd…
05-04 20:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xef7ab3…
05-04 20:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xda3294…
05-04 14:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7e07d8…
05-04 14:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x6e4975…
05-04 14:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd75ee6…
05-04 14:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x78f766…
05-04 14:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x21001e…
05-04 14:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xdf49b5…
05-04 14:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x74b447…
05-04 14:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xae2fef…
05-04 14:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xde4bb8…
05-04 14:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xacbabf…
05-04 14:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6076e2…
05-04 14:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x5a7df5…
05-04 14:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1fba3e…
05-04 14:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x0bf2cc…
05-04 13:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x8ad58f…
05-04 13:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x6f499d…
05-04 13:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x5b4dc4…
05-04 13:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x785e77…
05-04 13:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4c764e…
05-04 13:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3fba16…
05-04 13:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xbd4017…
05-04 13:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe692fb…
05-04 13:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xef8eb5…
05-04 13:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x9dba1f…
05-04 13:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x8e18ab…
05-04 13:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x94d023…
05-04 13:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3d0a40…
05-04 13:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x34b96e…
05-04 13:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x58c813…
05-04 12:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe18037…
05-04 11:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb39f5c…
05-04 11:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe79906…
05-04 11:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xaefee2…
05-04 11:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x3d6f89…
05-04 10:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x8c5d5c…
05-04 10:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd96d08…
05-04 10:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb58f55…
05-04 10:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0c123c…
05-04 10:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc53d12…
05-04 10:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xcf9a75…
05-04 10:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xad0022…
05-04 01:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x81e7ea…
05-04 01:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xad8699…
05-04 00:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xa3b78d…
05-04 00:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x614f4a…
05-04 00:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xffc33f…
05-04 00:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x10ecc6…
05-04 00:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x38c02c…
05-04 00:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x8ff0b3…
05-04 00:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x6d8dd2…
05-04 00:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xfa5031…
05-04 00:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xfbd251…
05-04 00:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x13999a…
05-04 00:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x98d3c2…
05-04 00:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9df7b9…
05-04 00:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4bf335…
05-04 00:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x769ff9…
05-04 00:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x48140a…
05-04 00:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xaa6086…
05-04 00:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x2f9faa…
05-04 00:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xab0c07…
05-04 00:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa60b30…
05-04 00:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xcd2ee6…
05-03 23:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x6c8c0c…
05-03 23:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x128bfa…
05-03 23:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x274c56…
05-03 23:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x59256c…
05-03 23:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xae5420…
05-03 23:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xbc339b…
05-03 23:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xcd7f04…
05-03 23:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf87c19…
05-03 23:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x72d2c3…
05-03 23:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x2cc2bd…
05-03 23:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x1b64af…
05-03 23:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x35900c…
05-03 23:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x4688e6…
05-03 22:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf9dc5a…
05-03 22:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x893514…
05-03 22:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x53a4e5…
05-03 22:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x96e269…
05-03 18:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x4c8777…
05-03 18:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x5548f8…
05-03 18:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x26a4ad…
05-03 18:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xf99f34…
05-03 18:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x37c5b6…
05-03 18:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xdb7107…
05-03 17:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x5f065b…
05-03 17:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x4dbb6f…
05-03 17:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x4a6ab7…
05-03 17:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x8edb13…
05-03 17:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xd5f0a2…
05-03 17:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x3248a6…
05-03 17:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x958625…