Frank-Expression — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.5%

Resolved

Trades

3,102

lifetime

Volume

$93.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 05-23 04:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

65% — —

Other

21% 75% +$10

Crypto

12% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	50	$6.6K	4,816	4,816	+0	open	—	04-15 21:01
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	61	$5.4K	6,688	7,382	-694	open	—	03-31 06:55
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	33	$4.3K	3,840	3,840	+0	open	—	03-29 21:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	27	$3.0K	2,065	2,065	+0	open	—	04-07 23:01
will uae strike iran by march 31	64	$2.4K	5,267	5,267	+0	open	—	03-14 17:32
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	35	$2.3K	5,043	5,043	+0	open	—	04-09 10:13
will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	45	$2.2K	2,178	2,289	-110	open	—	03-08 19:50
will iran strike israel on march 10	41	$2.0K	1,648	1,698	-50	open	—	03-10 15:19
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	10	$1.9K	1,944	1,944	+0	open	—	04-07 22:07
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	24	$1.8K	1,257	1,569	-312	open	—	03-28 21:01
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	23	$1.7K	5,643	5,643	+0	open	—	04-04 15:58
Iran leadership change by March 13?	10	$1.5K	862	862	+0	open	—	03-10 07:47
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	17	$1.2K	992	992	+0	open	—	03-07 23:16
iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	28	$1.2K	671	671	+0	open	—	03-06 23:06
military action against iran ends on march 30 2026	15	$1.1K	605	605	+0	open	—	03-12 19:52
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	19	$1.1K	2,120	2,120	+0	open	—	03-11 19:41
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	17	$1.1K	1,543	1,543	+0	open	—	03-12 12:22
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	6	$933	1,105	1,105	+0	open	—	04-01 12:16
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	10	$929	1,040	1,040	+0	open	—	04-12 22:18
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	24	$913	2,882	2,882	+0	open	—	03-14 03:23
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	23	$912	800	800	+0	open	—	04-08 14:36
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	4	$904	854	854	+0	open	—	04-10 17:49
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	29	$833	2,524	2,524	+0	open	—	04-13 17:05
usisrael strike yemen by march 14	31	$805	1,895	1,964	-69	open	—	03-12 23:42
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 14 2026	6	$779	741	741	+0	open	—	04-13 17:06
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	3	$704	370	370	+0	open	—	03-05 21:31
will turkey strike iran by march 31	9	$702	391	391	+0	open	—	03-09 22:54
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	5	$661	400	400	+0	open	—	04-20 12:53
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	15	$639	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	03-06 19:50
will iran strike israel on march 6	13	$637	418	463	-45	open	—	03-07 10:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 04:12:35	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x642c29…
05-23 00:10:45	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	32	17¢	$5	0x752370…
05-23 00:09:27	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	148	17¢	$25	0xc14fe4…
05-23 00:08:45	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	400	24¢	$96	0xe196fc…
05-12 23:21:02	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0xbdca4d…
05-03 03:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6bc8ad…
05-02 19:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x048fc0…
05-02 19:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xaa21a5…
05-02 19:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa03079…
05-02 14:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x54332d…
04-30 07:32:10	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x7d3db2…
04-28 05:24:46	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	52	9¢	$5	0x913580…
04-28 00:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x047eae…
04-28 00:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4abe32…
04-27 20:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7f5b8d…
04-27 20:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2168d6…
04-27 20:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x5c13ae…
04-26 02:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe854fa…
04-26 01:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf9eba8…
04-25 22:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa31a9e…
04-25 05:20:04	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa3f0d1…
04-25 02:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x047f49…
04-25 00:16:56	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xe845ef…
04-24 21:25:08	Solana Up or Down - April 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe1d16c…
04-24 19:07:14	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0xa29713…
04-24 18:06:30	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	48	79¢	$38	0xbef347…
04-24 18:05:08	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	Yes	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0xc356e7…
04-24 17:32:52	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x9d5044…
04-24 17:06:42	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	34	86¢	$29	0x1b9c7e…
04-24 17:04:10	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	Yes	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x0e1db4…
04-24 08:29:58	xrp updown 5m 1777019100	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc2ca73…
04-24 08:05:00	xrp updown 5m 1777017600	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xee92bf…
04-24 07:45:00	sol updown 5m 1777016400	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x33e3d4…
04-24 07:25:00	btc updown 5m 1777015200	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd95909…
04-24 07:14:58	eth updown 5m 1777014600	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc76c98…
04-24 07:14:56	btc updown 5m 1777014600	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x394b56…
04-24 06:50:00	btc updown 5m 1777013100	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x76b8f6…
04-24 06:34:56	btc updown 5m 1777012200	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc56fa3…
04-24 06:10:00	sol updown 5m 1777010700	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x25a6b3…
04-24 05:55:00	eth updown 5m 1777009800	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x522311…
04-24 05:40:00	btc updown 5m 1777008900	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x09d88b…
04-24 05:34:56	xrp updown 5m 1777008600	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0d873f…
04-24 05:34:54	btc updown 5m 1777008600	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe82c14…
04-24 05:30:00	xrp updown 5m 1777008300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5df1ec…
04-24 05:19:58	btc updown 5m 1777007700	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe39bd9…
04-24 05:14:56	btc updown 5m 1777007400	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x36c903…
04-24 05:09:56	btc updown 5m 1777007100	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x861826…
04-24 04:54:58	btc updown 5m 1777006200	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x90ce15…
04-24 04:49:52	btc updown 5m 1777005900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdc931f…
04-24 04:44:56	btc updown 5m 1777005600	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3492b4…
04-24 04:20:12	btc updown 5m 1777004100	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x231b20…
04-24 04:15:00	xrp updown 5m 1777003800	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe54933…
04-24 03:59:56	sol updown 5m 1777002900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6481ae…
04-24 03:50:00	btc updown 5m 1777002300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x83ae9c…
04-24 03:44:58	xrp updown 5m 1777002000	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb53b1d…
04-24 03:19:56	eth updown 5m 1777000500	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x58375a…
04-24 03:05:00	xrp updown 5m 1776999600	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe943a4…
04-24 03:05:00	eth updown 5m 1776999600	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0511cb…
04-24 02:45:04	xrp updown 5m 1776998400	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe748ab…
04-24 02:40:02	eth updown 5m 1776998100	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4c8510…
04-24 02:40:00	btc updown 5m 1776998100	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb15508…
04-24 02:40:00	xrp updown 5m 1776998100	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2f71aa…
04-24 02:19:58	btc updown 5m 1776996900	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe7cd43…
04-24 02:15:00	sol updown 5m 1776996600	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3a3a99…
04-24 02:14:58	btc updown 5m 1776996600	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7788cc…
04-24 02:09:54	btc updown 5m 1776996300	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5d2c45…
04-24 01:30:00	eth updown 5m 1776993900	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x970b9b…
04-24 00:54:56	btc updown 5m 1776991800	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x17a0e7…
04-24 00:40:00	xrp updown 5m 1776990900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x23d7be…
04-24 00:29:56	btc updown 5m 1776990300	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x85d8f4…
04-24 00:15:00	btc updown 5m 1776989400	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0681c6…
04-23 23:20:00	bnb updown 5m 1776986100	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xed2545…
04-23 23:15:00	bnb updown 5m 1776985800	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x52a981…
04-23 20:38:46	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xdbba9d…
04-23 07:10:12	btc updown 5m 1776927900	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x9915f5…
04-23 06:50:02	sol updown 5m 1776926700	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x273139…
04-23 06:15:00	btc updown 5m 1776924600	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc03d00…
04-23 06:00:08	xrp updown 5m 1776923700	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x76d9c4…
04-23 06:00:04	xrp updown 5m 1776923700	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x32d212…
04-23 05:59:58	eth updown 5m 1776923700	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5ed23e…
04-23 05:54:56	btc updown 5m 1776923400	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2cea5a…
04-23 05:44:54	btc updown 5m 1776922800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8165ba…
04-23 05:29:58	eth updown 5m 1776921900	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xca20a2…
04-23 05:20:00	sol updown 5m 1776921300	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xec5d6a…
04-23 05:15:04	eth updown 5m 1776921000	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf4dd38…
04-23 05:15:02	btc updown 5m 1776921000	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x11d472…
04-23 05:14:58	sol updown 5m 1776921000	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbb5920…
04-23 05:10:00	xrp updown 5m 1776920700	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd23a69…
04-23 05:09:58	btc updown 5m 1776920700	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa8bb90…
04-23 05:04:52	btc updown 5m 1776920400	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6c54fa…
04-23 04:55:00	btc updown 5m 1776919800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfda478…
04-23 04:24:58	btc updown 5m 1776918000	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x2d2d20…
04-23 04:04:58	btc updown 5m 1776916800	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x262560…
04-23 03:49:58	btc updown 5m 1776915900	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x55e344…
04-23 03:49:54	eth updown 5m 1776915900	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf5798c…
04-23 03:40:00	eth updown 5m 1776915300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4e4da4…
04-23 03:19:56	sol updown 5m 1776914100	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5353e6…
04-23 03:04:58	eth updown 5m 1776913200	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x04077c…
04-23 03:04:56	sol updown 5m 1776913200	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xee7602…
04-23 02:54:58	sol updown 5m 1776912600	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfb84e3…