Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$51.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$794

Open exposure

$1.97K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-29

last 07-02 21:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

62% 100% +$2

Other

27% 100% +$13

Tech

8% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+1,977	$1,972	100¢	$2.0K	+$3	07-02 21:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$2.0K	1,977	+1,977	open	—	07-02 21:50
kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	1	$2.0K	1,959	+1,959	open	—	06-21 21:09
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$2.0K	1,955	+1,955	open	—	06-17 21:25
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	1	$1.9K	1,944	+1,944	open	—	06-12 19:35
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	1	$1.9K	1,942	+1,942	open	—	06-10 18:59
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	1	$1.9K	1,936	+1,936	open	—	06-05 17:35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$1.9K	1,931	+1,931	open	—	06-02 19:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$1.9K	1,915	+1,915	open	—	06-01 19:36
Trump out as President by May 31?	1	$1.9K	1,913	+1,913	open	—	05-23 22:17
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1.9K	1,907	+1,907	open	—	05-20 21:31
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	1	$1.9K	1,891	+1,891	open	—	05-16 22:22
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	1	$1.9K	1,873	+1,873	No	+$2	05-06 22:15
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	1	$1.9K	1,871	+1,871	Yes	+$13	05-02 05:34
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$1.8K	1,858	+1,858	open	—	04-21 11:10
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	1	$1.8K	1,843	+1,843	open	—	04-17 15:59
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	4	$1.8K	1,841	+1,841	open	—	04-15 07:25
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	6	$1.8K	1,814	+1,814	open	—	04-13 20:44
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$1.8K	1,797	+1,797	open	—	04-09 09:46
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$1.8K	1,793	+1,793	open	—	04-06 02:47
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1.8K	1,782	+1,782	open	—	03-14 06:01
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$1.8K	1,775	+1,775	open	—	03-12 18:26
us strikes iraq by march 7	22	$1.8K	1,773	+1,773	open	—	03-08 06:29
will iran strike israel on march 3	1	$1.8K	1,757	+1,757	open	—	03-05 10:33
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$1.7K	1,753	+1,753	open	—	02-02 23:15
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	2	$1.7K	1,714	+1,714	open	—	01-29 21:30
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	1	$1.7K	1,679	+1,679	open	—	03-20 19:00
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	5	$1.6K	1,629	+1,629	open	—	05-15 06:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$906	907	+907	open	—	05-16 03:25
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	1	$723	725	+725	open	—	05-15 22:01
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	1	$255	256	+256	open	—	05-15 03:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 21:50:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,977	100¢	$1,972	0x606fb4…
06-21 21:09:14	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	1,959	100¢	$1,955	0x500f4c…
06-17 21:25:32	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,955	100¢	$1,953	0x47bef9…
06-12 19:35:58	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	1,944	100¢	$1,942	0xbd2925…
06-10 18:59:54	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,942	100¢	$1,936	0xb5a609…
06-05 17:35:19	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	1,936	100¢	$1,932	0x4b80e9…
06-02 19:28:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,931	99¢	$1,914	0x164a45…
06-01 19:36:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,915	100¢	$1,913	0x354555…
05-23 22:17:43	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	1,913	100¢	$1,907	0xd83ffc…
05-20 21:31:16	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,907	100¢	$1,897	0x3f0d3d…
05-16 22:22:13	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,891	100¢	$1,887	0xa3dabc…
05-16 03:25:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	907	100¢	$906	0x6e708d…
05-15 22:01:05	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	No	BUY	725	100¢	$723	0xc60284…
05-15 06:30:56	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	729	100¢	$728	0x0f67cd…
05-15 06:24:53	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa668d5…
05-15 06:23:15	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$110	0x474f3f…
05-15 06:11:07	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x606e56…
05-15 06:10:45	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	751	100¢	$750	0xc70855…
05-15 03:47:51	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	256	100¢	$255	0x7b24a8…
05-06 22:15:58	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	1,873	100¢	$1,871	0x0bc6b0…
05-02 05:34:38	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,871	99¢	$1,858	0xba5697…
04-21 11:10:14	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	1,858	99¢	$1,843	0x6cedae…
04-17 15:59:04	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	1,843	100¢	$1,841	0x57a5ae…
04-15 07:25:10	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	No	BUY	910	98¢	$896	0x4b5850…
04-15 07:19:14	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	No	BUY	666	98¢	$656	0x9cfdab…
04-15 07:17:04	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf06505…
04-15 06:55:00	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	No	BUY	264	98¢	$260	0xc12f67…
04-13 20:44:09	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0x8d6d26…
04-13 20:42:03	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0xdc4a52…
04-13 20:34:35	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x4b506b…
04-13 20:33:11	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0xbb35a8…
04-13 20:29:15	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	225	99¢	$223	0x24ca50…
04-13 20:29:05	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	1,297	99¢	$1,285	0xfab422…
04-09 09:46:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1,797	100¢	$1,793	0x9ad961…
04-06 02:47:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,793	100¢	$1,788	0xaf624d…
03-20 19:00:21	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1,679	100¢	$1,674	0x8c053e…
03-20 18:58:29	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	109	100¢	$108	0x87346b…
03-14 06:01:47	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,782	100¢	$1,775	0x8c954a…
03-12 18:26:27	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	1,775	100¢	$1,773	0x5198dc…
03-08 06:29:11	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	422	99¢	$419	0x327f2c…
03-08 06:28:51	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x8d6365…
03-08 06:27:23	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x72ba0a…
03-08 06:26:21	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x21ba1e…
03-08 06:26:13	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb572eb…
03-08 06:25:03	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0xf479ae…
03-08 06:24:19	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0779e1…
03-08 06:23:39	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1227d7…
03-08 06:22:59	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	368	99¢	$364	0x3787c2…
03-08 06:22:27	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xea3bcf…
03-08 06:22:21	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x86fdd7…
03-08 06:21:57	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x64dd88…
03-08 06:21:35	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x419b9a…
03-08 06:21:29	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x77164b…
03-08 06:21:25	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3d9444…
03-08 06:21:19	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0xe9c6a7…
03-08 06:21:15	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x872fff…
03-08 06:21:11	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0xd8466a…
03-08 06:21:05	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	205	99¢	$203	0x38016a…
03-08 06:21:01	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0x72dea6…
03-08 06:20:55	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xcd11a0…
03-08 06:20:49	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	83	98¢	$81	0x8aff1d…
03-05 10:33:13	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	1,757	100¢	$1,753	0x30ab9f…
02-02 23:15:16	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,753	98¢	$1,714	0xf4d093…
01-29 21:30:30	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	Yes	BUY	1,537	99¢	$1,524	0xe98da4…
01-29 21:30:14	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	Yes	BUY	178	99¢	$176	0xa62077…