Somber-Nonsense — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

880

lifetime

Volume

$25.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 06-30 21:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

59% — —

Sports

34% 100% +$1

Politics

4% 100% +$4

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lal mal bet 2026 02 15 bet	2	$2.1K	1,190	1,190	+0	open	—	02-15 21:54
fl1 lyo ogc 2026 02 15 lyo	2	$1.9K	979	979	+0	open	—	02-15 21:41
nba okc lac 2026 04 08	2	$1.5K	776	776	+0	open	—	04-09 04:06
nba bkn det 2026 03 07	4	$1.3K	732	732	+0	open	—	03-08 01:40
mwoh can cze 2026 02 18	1	$1.1K	1,185	0	+1,185	open	—	02-18 05:09
mwoh can swi 2026 02 13	1	$1.0K	1,150	0	+1,150	open	—	02-13 04:32
wbc jap cze 2026 03 10	4	$624	314	314	+0	open	—	03-10 14:53
epl wes mac 2026 03 14 draw	2	$561	291	291	+0	open	—	03-14 21:55
nhl fla edm 2026 03 19	3	$527	269	269	+0	open	—	03-20 03:09
nba nyk lac 2026 03 09	5	$416	250	250	+0	open	—	03-10 04:29
nhl utah las 2026 03 19	2	$386	200	200	+0	open	—	03-20 04:40
epl lee mac 2026 02 28 mac	7	$303	200	200	+0	open	—	02-28 19:25
epl bur bre 2026 02 28 bre	4	$282	163	163	+0	open	—	02-28 17:02
mwoh cze can 2026 02 12	1	$280	333	0	+333	open	—	02-12 05:35
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	9	$271	200	200	+0	open	—	03-31 01:06
iran strike on israel by february 28	4	$245	146	146	+0	open	—	02-28 08:07
will st johns win the 2025 2026 big east mens basketball regular season championship	3	$245	136	136	+0	open	—	03-07 05:39
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$235	135	135	+0	open	—	03-16 02:54
nba lac lal 2026 02 20	4	$209	128	128	+0	open	—	02-21 05:39
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	7	$202	150	150	+0	open	—	03-29 06:41
nhl car van 2026 03 04	4	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	03-05 05:41
nba ind lac 2026 03 04	5	$194	100	100	+0	open	—	03-05 05:21
nhl cal nyi 2026 03 14	2	$194	100	100	+0	open	—	03-15 01:35
nba sas lac 2026 03 16	2	$193	100	100	+0	open	—	03-17 04:31
nhl col sea 2026 03 12	2	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	03-13 04:00
efl ars mnc 2026 03 22 mnc win	2	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	03-22 18:21
nba sas det 2026 02 23	2	$191	100	100	+0	open	—	02-24 02:33
nhl cal nj 2026 03 12	2	$187	100	100	+0	open	—	03-13 01:29
will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	2	$186	100	100	+0	open	—	03-03 14:19
wbc can usa 2026 03 13	5	$186	100	100	+0	open	—	03-14 04:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 21:29:37	will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x5dd48b…
06-25 04:07:37	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xd670a6…
06-25 02:16:44	world cup scoreless team 20260607162032311	Yes	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x399cce…
06-24 23:03:01	world cup scoreless team 20260607162032311	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xdd665f…
06-24 07:16:35	will starmer say mrpt speaker 20 times during the next pmq 20260610160650629	Yes	BUY	28	84¢	$24	0x14aa4f…
06-24 06:12:59	will starmer say mrpt speaker 20 times during the next pmq 20260610160650629	Yes	BUY	22	84¢	$18	0x6391bb…
06-23 17:17:53	will cristiano ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc506d0…
06-22 14:41:35	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xda76e8…
06-21 18:30:46	will the announcers say what a save during the spain vs saudi arabia fifa world cup match 20260618180505071	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x55721f…
06-21 13:43:49	Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd98a9e…
06-21 00:55:46	Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x7f1b78…
06-20 20:30:04	will germany reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120751	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xb5249a…
06-20 18:31:28	will the announcers say what a save during the netherlands vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260618175419626	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x1bceb9…
06-20 13:53:14	will spain reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120763	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x5c0336…
06-20 13:37:43	will england reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120779	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x1d05cb…
06-20 09:58:05	will spain reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120763	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x253970…
06-20 07:52:58	will argentina reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120771	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x65de82…
06-20 07:34:08	will lautaro martnez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0c90ae…
06-20 06:06:38	will the announcers say what a save during the brazil vs haiti fifa world cup match 20260618174914475	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xf6d13e…
06-20 02:25:49	will the announcers say what a save during the brazil vs haiti fifa world cup match 20260618174914475	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xc18882…
06-19 23:11:46	will cristiano ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x9399c4…
06-19 16:11:13	will the announcers say header during the germany vs ivory coast fifa world cup match 20260618175650873	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe346a9…
06-19 12:51:32	will lautaro martnez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4224d7…
06-19 11:38:29	Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x4a930d…
06-19 08:41:55	Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x398654…
06-19 07:29:28	will julin lvarez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x7a413f…
06-19 05:55:34	Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x49e2f5…
06-19 05:15:25	Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x655ede…
06-19 02:51:02	will the announcers say what a save during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751368	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x21d036…
06-19 02:40:47	will the announcers say what a save during the spain vs saudi arabia fifa world cup match 20260618180505071	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xa29fa5…
06-19 01:08:19	will the announcers say what a save during the spain vs saudi arabia fifa world cup match 20260618180505071	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xe4e595…
06-18 08:00:58	will the announcers say what a save during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751368	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xda5e79…
06-18 06:20:55	will the announcers say what a save during the canada vs qatar fifa world cup match 20260616212316347	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x28c35d…
06-18 05:47:05	will the announcers say what a save during the czechia vs south africa fifa world cup match 20260616211456429	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x9d02f4…
06-04 02:54:10	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x56d137…
06-04 02:37:54	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xe50e61…
06-03 11:33:59	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x1e2afc…
06-03 03:21:19	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xd11c0e…
06-02 03:13:31	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6fb73d…
05-31 15:17:57	Will GitLab (GTLB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xfbbc4d…
05-31 03:42:57	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xa5c53d…
05-31 02:41:54	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x48cbae…
05-30 03:25:38	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x46389e…
05-25 07:34:32	Will AutoZone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x4fc3ce…
05-25 06:01:31	Will AutoZone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xabfc62…
05-23 10:42:34	Will Salesforce (CRM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xbb6292…
05-23 03:49:55	Will Salesforce (CRM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x33d83b…
05-20 04:00:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x932a6b…
05-20 02:43:52	Will Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x09b8ac…
05-12 01:06:38	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x0d8ff8…
05-09 18:39:37	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbc552e…
05-06 01:23:12	Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x23f6fa…
05-04 05:06:24	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xe88f7c…
05-03 19:17:58	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x519b97…
05-01 04:21:26	Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xa153b7…
05-01 02:12:54	Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xcac33a…
05-01 01:09:18	Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x98bbde…
04-30 04:15:12	Will Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xa10d27…
04-30 03:50:06	Utah vs. Golden Knights	Utah	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x89502c…
04-28 05:58:36	Will BP (BP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xeee13d…
04-25 02:41:48	Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x6372e7…
04-25 02:33:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x05e2ba…
04-25 02:33:34	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xe4ce35…
04-24 02:17:14	pg quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 24 2026 1pt56	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x7472f8…
04-24 01:29:00	Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x83547a…
04-21 20:01:04	ibkr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 21 2026 0pt60	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xa9f1a2…
04-20 10:08:56	hon quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 23 2026 2pt32	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x658fa3…
04-20 02:19:26	efx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 21 2026 1pt7	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x7739c4…
04-20 00:42:46	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xb240f7…
04-19 22:57:14	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc5de73…
04-19 21:13:42	bx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 23 2026 1pt34	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x84d9c2…
04-19 05:26:46	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x91488f…
04-19 05:25:50	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa94936…
04-19 05:20:54	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x49cd71…
04-18 23:05:38	nba hou lal 2026 04 18	Rockets	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x612e9b…
04-17 03:42:48	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x8b3e53…
04-17 03:39:36	bx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 23 2026 1pt34	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x0df7c8…
04-17 00:08:28	will trump say million or billion or trillion 15 times during no tax on tips roundtable	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xa4a98b…
04-16 19:29:42	lal rea ala 2026 04 21 rea	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x50b89b…
04-16 16:53:22	lal rea ala 2026 04 21 rea	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x8e33fe…
04-16 10:31:06	bk quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 16 2026 1pt93	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x39a41d…
04-16 10:22:24	nhl stl utah 2026 04 16	Utah	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x47e36e…
04-16 10:22:24	nhl stl utah 2026 04 16	Utah	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x052d31…
04-16 05:55:24	will trump say beautiful 3 times during tpusa events on april 17	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xc05513…
04-16 03:18:44	mlb nym lad 2026 04 15	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xb0f19a…
04-16 03:17:44	nhl tor ott 2026 04 15	Senators	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5ec3a0…
04-16 00:40:20	will trump say beautiful 3 times during tpusa events on april 17	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xd535a7…
04-15 12:58:06	will trump say beautiful 3 times during tpusa events on april 17	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x9a61f3…
04-15 11:18:34	hon quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 23 2026 2pt32	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x8bac5e…
04-15 10:29:16	bx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 23 2026 1pt34	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x89b85b…
04-15 10:00:44	axp quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 23 2026 3pt99	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x8a333a…
04-15 09:18:16	will trump say sleepy or biden or obama 10 times during tpusa events on april 17	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x179be6…
04-15 07:37:36	nhl tor ott 2026 04 15	Senators	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xb4d2de…
04-15 01:23:34	ibm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 1pt81	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xca62f6…
04-15 01:22:48	txn quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 22 2026 1pt36	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xe663d8…
04-14 20:52:14	t quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt55	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x5d747b…
04-14 13:28:15	nhl wsh cbj 2026 04 14	Blue Jackets	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x10774f…
04-14 13:10:43	nhl wsh cbj 2026 04 14	Blue Jackets	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbd35dc…
04-14 13:05:35	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x383f79…
04-14 04:55:31	blk quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 14 2026 12pt26	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x923571…